Belmont Stakes Pace Scenario

[Calzone Lord]

Both Freedom Child and Golden Soul will be off my tickets.

I respect Freedom Child, but I expect him to be a pace casualty. Frac Daddy is sending inside of him and the very good Oxbow will obviously be forward. The survivor of that wave of speed probably gets to take the best shot Vyjack and Palace Malice has on the turn. It's a very tough scenario for both FC and Oxbow. The commitment to send Frac Daddy may seem irrelevant, but it's not. Whenever the pace has been 47 and change or faster, it's usually collapsed Belmont's past. If Frac Daddy really is sent from the inside, there's no chance this pace isn't at least 47.

Golden Soul will get another great pace setup, but I don't like post #14, I don't like that he had a workout postponed because he wasn't eating well, and I'm generally not a fan of Dallas Stewart horses when he runs them in New York.