Shirreffs' latest gem

[cmorioles]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

My number could be a little high. Myabe Z ran a 112 that day.

With regard to BP, horses do step up sometimes for a career best as also rans in a fast race. Look at Musket Man. He'd run a 99, a 102, and a 95 this year. Then he ran a 109 chasing QR in the Met Mile. What did MM run over the weekend? Around 100? Yet he somehow ran a 109 in the Met Mile. You are the numbers guy, not me, but I'm sure that this type of thing is not that unusual.

Of course he didn't run 100 this weekend. He ran much closer to 109 than 100. How can that be your evidence and you are miles wrong?

As for Shirreffs, please about the string already. He has 59 starts all year.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by cmorioles

Of course he didn't run 100 this weekend. He ran much closer to 109 than 100. How can that be your evidence and you are miles wrong?

As for Shirreffs, please about the string already. He has 59 starts all year.

You are right. I was thinking that Blame ran a 105. I was mixed up with Lookin' At Lucky. He ran a 105.

That would hardly be evidence even if I was right. It wouldn't prove anything. I was just looking for an example off the top of my head of a horse that stepped up and ran faster than they normally do, in defeat in a fast race. I gave a bad example since MM did run about a 107 or 108 in the Whitney.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

The Whitney number was very much an educated guess Rupert. Even though it made sense on paper to give it a 111 - I'm not giving that figure the benefit of the doubt.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

The Whitney number was very much an educated guess Rupert. Even though it made sense on paper to give it a 111 - I'm not giving that figure the benefit of the doubt.

I don't think that number is too far off. I think it was actually a pretty fast race. I think 1:48 4/5 was a very good time on that track that day. I'm actually surprised they ran that fast on that track after running the half in :48. That track was not very fast that day. I would not have expected them to run much faster than 1:48 and change even if the pace was fast, not on that track.