Two at Toga - 2021 edition

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Another shutout so now at $120.00 wagered and only $64.30 returned.

Wednesday August 11th

I'm not crazy about too many horses on this card. I think Gotta Go Mo in the 4th is probably the most likely winner today and considered making him my "best bet" but he's 7/5 so I'm going to take a shot with Lucky Brody who gets some class relief and faces off against a duo of favorites with possible distance limitations. I'm not totally against ML favorite Town Avenger in the 7th. She looks like a pretty talented filly but I suspect she may get bet down even more than that. Casse has been ice cold at Saratoga...but Earth Strike had some trouble last time out and still finished well and I think will appreciate the added distance. Plus Rosario is back aboard.

Best bet: Race 5 - #6 Lucky Brody, 10/1 ML (Noda/Franco).

Best value: Race 7 - #4 Earth Strike, 8/1 ML (Casse/Rosario).

Wagered: $128.00
Returned: $64.30


Well I was right to bet against the favorites in race 5…but landed on the wrong longshot. Earth Strike ran alright but finished a distant 4th. Going to go with a pair of Pletcher horses today, though I wouldn’t be shocked if we don’t get the ML prices on them.

Best bet: Race 4 - #1 Chocolate Cookie, 3/1 ML (Pletcher/I.Ortiz)

Best value: Race 10 - #12 Abaan, 6/1 ML (Pletcher/Saez)