Two at Toga - 2021 edition

[moses]

Things have been pretty ugly for me lately. I'm now at:

Wagered: $160.00
Returned: $74.10

Wednesday August 18th

Best bet: Race 6 - #6 Gailhorsewind, 3/1 ML (Rice/J.Ortiz). I still think that this is a very talented turf horse and I'm going to buy-in with the rider switch and the addition of blinkers. I also wouldn't be shocked to see that 3/1 ML price drift up a bit and if that happens, I'm all over this one.
Alternate: Race 4 - #3 Blewitt, 2/1 ML (Pletcher/Saez). There is some rain in the forecast so it's possible that the turf races end up off. If so, I like Blewitt as the lone speed in this one and expect him to run much better in his 2nd start off the layoff.

Best value: Race 10 - #9 A Colt Named Susie, 30/1 ML (Noda/Samuel). This horse drops from MSW to MCL, a move that Noda isn't particularly successful with...but the one thing Samuel probably does well is sprint and I really don't like any of the likely favorites in this one...so why not take a big swing?
Alternate: Race 8 - #3 Derrynane, 5/1 ML (Clement/Rosario). I have my doubts that we're getting 5/1 on this horse...but a solid bet at that price.