Churchill Backstretch is Derby’s Lifeblood

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By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | 7 comments

Among the pleasures of attending the lead up to Derby are the memorable moments that become indelible on your memory for years to come. Whether it’s a quiet moment with awestruck members of ‘small time’ outfits that have arrived at the front door of history, or an uproarious impromptu press gathering around a racing legend, being on the Churchill backstretch in the days before the big race are really why you come here.

Today’s moments came fast and furious, beginning and ending with as ubiquitous a Derby figure as we have, Bob Baffert. As Steve Haskin and I waited by his barn for Pioneerof the Nile to come out for a jog, the stories started rolling from the cosmopolitan, white-haired cowboy who is in search of his 4th Derby win.

Baffert got to talking about buying horses during the Derby run-up, and after a chestnut Derby worker cantered past, let it be known that he had a shot at purchasing Summer Bird from his owner-breeder. A vet recommendation kept Baffert from closing the deal, but that led to the more interesting tale of how Ernie Paragallo almost ended up as Silver Charm’s owner.

Bloodstock vampire Buzz Chace had followed Silver Charm after Baffert had purchased him, and was interested in buying the modestly pedigreed Silver Buck son for his top client at the time, the long-reviled and currently-disgraced Paragallo. A deal was coming together during the lead up to the 1996 Derby with Baffert having the 2 year old Silver Charm available for viewing in his barn at Churchill as he prepared Cavonnier for the rose run.

But before a deal could be consummated, Chace and Paragallo were distracted by the embroglio of Unbridled’s Song’s barking dogs. Had Unbridled’s Song not had the egg bar shoes to deal with Derby Day or the problems that they presented them and Jimmy Ryerson, Chace and Paragallo might have ended up with back to back Derby winners. Instead, Baffert brought the inexpensive Silver Charm up to top owner Bob Lewis who said immediately that he’d take the colt.

You could say the rest was history, but that isn’t totally true. Baffert explained to Lewis that the gray was already named Silver Charm, a moniker Baffert thought ordinary. Baffert told the famously genteel Lewis that with the colt being by Silver Buck out of a Poker mare, they could call the colt ‘Pokerforabuck’. “Ah, now Bob,” said Lewis, “I don’t know… I don’t think Beverly would be too keen on that name.” Silver Charm stuck.

Being on the Churchill backstretch means having the opportunity to move from three time Derby winning trainers like Baffert to guys like Tim Ice, a trainer in his first Derby in his first year as a trainer out on his own. And with Baffert having had a shot at buying the horse he trains for Dr. Jayaraman, meeting Ice as Summer Bird cooled out from a workout had an immediate urgency. 

“Baffert should have called me if the vet didn’t like Summer Bird,” Ice laughed. “I’d have told him there was nothing wrong with this colt.” Ice is a tall and laconic type that strikes me instantly as a Southwestern version of Mike Trombetta. It was on my first Derby visit as a member of “At the Races” that spending time around Trombetta, his team of three and Sweetnorthernsaint, kindled an annual interest in the people that are coming to their first Derby. 

For Ice, the experience of making it to the Derby is still sinking in, and he readily admits that it was the owners who pushed him to try the Arkansas Derby. The late running effort in just his third career start propelled Summer Bird, Ice and journeyman rider Chris Rosier into this improbable spot. Ice certainly didn’t think he’d be saddling a Derby starter when he sent the camera-friendy Birdstone rednut to a March 1 maiden special weight win at Oaklawn. 

Being in Louisville is leaving Ice predictably awestruck as he records his own indelible moments. Nick Zito, who of course trained Summer Bird’s sire Birdstone, made a point of visiting Ice upon the young trainer’s arrival. “It was so classy,” Ice said. “That he would come seek me out and welcome us, wish us luck and offer his barn to us. I really appreciated that.”

Watching the legends around the backstretch is a show in itself, and Zito is one of those that commands attention whether he has a Derby horse or not. This year he does not, though Just a Coincidence will go in the Withers and has the look of a stakes horse in waiting.

As the morning wound down, I ran back into Baffert, still holding court where I left him an hour earlier. As D. Wayne Lukas rode away on his oversize pony, Baffert was already laughing. “He said they asked him to be on Dancing with the Stars,” Baffert snickered about his conversation with “DWL”. I asked Baffert if he didn’t believe Lukas. “That’s Wayne,” he said. “You take everything he says and divide by 4.”

Baffert wasn’t through skewering legends this day either. Having launched into a War Emblem tale, Baffert dropped a bomb on Pat Day when he came over to say hello. “You know you could have ridden War Emblem?,” Baffert told a stunned Day. “You could have ridden 2 Derby winners instead of just Lil E. Tee.” 

Moments later, Baffert’s admission gained credence when Day’s long time agent Doc Danner entered the conversation. With Day looking at his former book holder open-mouthed, Danner grudgingly admitted that Baffert had not only called him with the offer to give War Emblem to Day, but that Baffert warned him that Day’s Wood Memorial winner Buddha, wouldn’t even make the Derby. 

As Baffert tells his stories, I admittedly revel in the retelling of moments and players that are part of racing history. Simultaneously, I think about a guy like Tim Ice who may be making the only Derby visit of his career, or starting a string of visits to Louisville the way the soon to be enshrined Baffert was when sophomore Cavonnier and juvenile Silver Charm were in the same shed only 13 years ago.

Quirky Saturday of racing on heels of a demanding few days at Keeneland. Open and odd Lexington cast featured as part of another challenging P4 today at Keeneland. Charles Town quad has great late night stakes series, and carryovers are available at Aqueduct and Santa Anita! Enjoy the day… ATR moves to Churchill Downs Monday for its’ annual 2 week Derby run-up.

WOODBINE

PRE-SCRATCHES

8th: 57th Whimsical (Gr. III), F&M-4+, 6f

Best Value: #3 Proud Heiress 7-2: Turfway outfit choses this over KEE.. 3rd
Most Likely: #2 Smart Surprise 8-5: Carroll mare is fine, but not at 8-5.. 2nd
Next Best: #1 Arden Belle 8-1: Consistant sort returns as 6yo.. 6th
Super Add: #6 London Snow 12-1: Another off break; Working well.. 7th

HAWTHORNE

PRE-SCRATCHES

7th: 33rd Sixty Sails (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 9f

Santa Teresita is a play-against here. Why would Guillot take this avowed turf/syth runner here for dirt rather than KEE for her prefered surface(s)?

Most Likely: #3 Swift Temper 4-1: Romans’ mare close in Sabin last; Got rest.. WON
Best Value: #5 Kathleens Reel 5-1: Stalked and went in perfect prep.. 6th
Next Best: #1 Santa Teresita 7-5: No faster than the top choice.. 2nd

$1 Exacta (3-1) Paid $9.90

KEENELAND

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #12 Future Story 8-1: Quick; May not have beat much in debut.. 7th
Most Likely: #2 Keertana 12-1: Proctor/Johar goes back from lawn mile.. 2nd
Next Best: #4 Ocean Colors 3-1: Big debut, injury in sloppy stake; Asmussen struggles with synth.. 4th
Super Add: #3 SCR

6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Ready’s Echo 8-5: Was wondering this week where he was.. WON
Best Value: #1 Fort Apache Star 20-1: Fahey gelding alternating efforts.. 2nd
Next Best: #7 A Diehl 7-2: Arnold gelding ran into toughies in long diploma search.. 3rd
Super Add: #5 Grand Play 6-1: Thornbury first out winner has worked 28f since.. 10th

$1 Exacta (8-1) Paid $32.60
$1 Trifecta (8-1-7) Paid $134.80

7th: ALW/N2X, F&M-4+, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Tremendously balanced and difficult filly ALW route, with 3 first out 4yo’s signed on..

Best Value: #10 Laguna Plateada 15-1: Showed footing preference with move to lawn.. 6th
Most Likely: #9 Cable 3-1: Clement 4yo impressed in ’08 NY turf pair; Ouchy and iffy.. 3rd
Next Best: #8 Namaste’s Wish 4-1: 4yo bow; Mott returnees coming in tuned up.. 7th
Super Add: #7 She’s Yummy 10-1: Stidham miss aced turf sprints in NoLa; Stretches out.. 2nd

8th: Giant’s Causeway (L), F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Utterly impossible turf sprint..

Best Value: #4 Marina Ballerina 20-1: Off 5 weeks; Repeat of last can win this.. 2nd
Most Likely: #5 Diamondrella 3-1: Predictably better since moving Violette to Penna.. WON
Next Best: #8 Classify 10-1: Asmussen mare has many on page good enough.. 4th
Super Add: #7 Lady Chace 12-1: 4yo Margolis Tiznow may prefer dirt, but price is right.. 3rd

$1 Exacta (5-4) Paid $42.40
$1 Trifecta (5-4-7) Paid $750.20
$1 Superfecta (5-4-7-8) Paid $4,304.60

9th: Lexington (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Masala 6-1: Developing steadily; Distance a slight concern.. 4th
Best Value: #10 Parade Clown 15-1: Return to WEBN win would fit well here.. 8th
Next Best: #8 Square Eddie 9-5: BCJ runner-up has Derby dough; 1 race = 5 workouts.. 3rd
Super Add: #3 Pitched Perfectly 15-1: Overlooked and should excel in a synthetic route.. 5th

10th: MSW, 3yo-F, 9f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #8 LA ROCCA 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 After Thought 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Siren Serenade 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Gold d’Oro 5-1 2nd
High 5 Play: #6 Finish in Style 20-1 9th

$1 Exacta (8-9) Paid $22.90
$1 Trifecta (8-9-5) Paid $64.30

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-7-8-9-10-11
8: 4-5-7-8
9: 2-3-4-6-8-10
10: 8

6x4x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72

CHARLES TOWN

PRE-SCRATCHES

7th: Webb Snyder, 3+, 4.5f (P4, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Place Your Bet 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Cooper County 9-2 8th
Next Best: #9 Love’s Strong Heart 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Trust or Bust 6-1 WON

8th: Blue and Gold, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 St. John’s Gospel 8-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Colonel Rutledge 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Russell Road 3-1 WON
Super Add: #1 Top Seed 5-1 6th

9th: Sugar Maple, F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Weathered 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Super Slash 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Cowgirls Don’t Cry 3-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Spritely 6-1 (Will run) WON

10th: Charles Town Classic, 4+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Commentator 7-5 4th
Next Best: #3 Researcher 6-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Ea 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Dry Martini 10-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (3-7) Paid $66.50
$1 Trifecta (3-7-1) Paid $268.40
$1 Superfecta (3-7-1-6) Paid $1,197.80

<$100 P4 Play:

7: 1
8: 1-5-6-7-9
9: 3-4-5-8-9-10
10: 3-6-7

1x5x6x3 = $90

Good luck!
Steve

Hamm stuns KEE with $100 Appy winner..

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By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | No comments yet.

Prices continued to light up the Keeneland tote Thursday including Tim Hamm’s outrageous 50-1 stakes winner of the Gr. II Appalachian. Started nicely chasing the P6 at Santa Anita before the wheels came off past the halfway point. Hope I didn’t bury you Thursday… Looking to regain some traction at KEE today heading into a weekend highlighted by closing of Santa Anita meet, a strong middle Saturday at Lexington and a great stakes quad later in the evening at Charles Town.

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Dream of Kaylee 5-2 WON
Best Value: #6 Petch 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 More Than Willing 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 War Lap 5-1 6th

7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Limestone Edge 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Vacation 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Izanga 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Targe 8-1 4th

8th: ALW/C, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 You Go West Girl 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Ariege 8-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Tell It as It is 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Mini Mom 20-1 6th

9th: Doubledogdare (Gr. II), F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Awesome Ashley 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #8 Indescribable 5-2 WON
Next Best: #1 Tejida 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Crown of Diamonds 15-1 6th

10th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #9 Reb 3-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Keep Thinking 4-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Kennessey 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Tapit’s Brew 8-1 3rd
High 5 Play: #11 Buriedbeyondbelief 8-1 8th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3
8: 2-6
9: 1-2-4-6-7-8
10: 2-4-6-7-9-11

2x2x6x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

Keeneland bombs rule; SA C/O Thursday..

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By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | 6 comments
Thought I was on to a potentially nice P4 run Wednesday at KEE when wide net in the opener caught one of several several big prices on the afternoon. But the tricky sequence dashed hopes immediately after, and lone solace was the 6th race exotics. Hope you did OK. Trying again today, plus there is a nice Carryover to attack at Santa Anita…

KEENELAND

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Waccamaw 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 I’m From Dixie 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Nicole’s Passion 10-1 9th
Super Add: #11 She’s From Queens 6-1 7th

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Syriana’s Song 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #2 Venetian Causeway 5-2 WON
Next Best: #1 Dress Parade 5-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Sweet Tune 6-1 6th

8th: 21st Appalachian (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Terrific betting race..

Best Value: #9 Obsequious 6-1 7th
Most Likely: #10 SCR
Next Best: #7 Simplify 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Hot Cha Cha 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Abbott Hall 8-1 5th

9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #1 Sharpsburg Shuffle 3-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Prime Choice 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Safety Call 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Forest Tour 5-1 8th
High 5 Play: #10 Cowboy at Heart 6-1 4th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 5-8
7: 1-2-3-4-7
8: 4-5-7-9-10
9: 1-7-9

2x5x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Omega Minister 5-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Coastal Souvenir 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Mt. Davidson 6-1 5th

4th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Satellite 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Spot the Diplomat 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 My Friend Luis 7-2 4th

$1 Exacta (3-7) Paid $26.20

5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Pat the Cool Cat 5-2 WON
Best Value: #4 SCR
Next Best: #5 That’s Hot 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 SCR

6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Zaya 10-1 4th
Most Likely: #7 Mud Sweat ‘n Tears 2-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Sam’s Queen 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Red Neck Gal 6-1 3rd

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 6.5f-DHT (DD)

Most Likely: #7 ON APPROVAL 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Wind Caper 15-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Starlarks 5-2 2nd

8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #4 Afleet Magic 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Action in May 7-2 6th
Best Value: #10 Astoria Renter 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Sunday Paper 10-1 9th
High 5 Play: #2 Manifest Destiny 6-1 4th

<$300 P6 Play:

3: 5-6-7
4: 2-3-7
5: 34/SCR
6: 3-7
7: 7
8: 4-8

3x3x(1+SCR)x2x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 3-(4/SCR)-5
6: 1-3-4-7
7: 2-7
8: 4-8-10

2x4x2x3 = $48

Good luck!
Steve

Wrapped weekend action on a plus with $64 P4 returning a solid $300, and the $971 Super High 5 available for the taking with emboldened ‘best bet’ Renegade Storm on top. Hope you did well. Keeneland back with predictably quirky quad Wednesday, and after being stymied for ‘real money’ on the anchor leg at Keeneland Friday and Saturday, I figure we have to get a juicy one somewhere along the way. And obviously, could there be a better day for a ‘signer’ than April 15?

KEENELAND

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: ALW/N2X, 3yo, 1m-T (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 No Inflation 9-5
Best Value: #3 Rudy Flyer 7-2
Next Best: #5 Rockin’ Joe 8-5
Super Add: #1 Bad Jenna Lee 20-1

7th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Baryshnikov 7-2: Turns back from 9f; Mott hot..
Best Value: #2 Prince Teton 5-1: Romans’ W. Pointer faced toughies..
Next Best: #1 D’oro Diablo 3-1: Kenneally MdO was solid in debut..
Super Add: #7 Little Montie 12-1: First “L” in start #5; Cuts back..

8th: OC/N$Y, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Sly Storm 5-2: 5 of 7 $500k Proctor bay should fire fresh..
Best Value: #2 Adrhythm 12-1: A personal fave but dangerous on best..
Next Best: #6 Peisinoe 3-1
Super Add: #5 Sky Mom 7-2

9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #7 Meandyoubabe 2-1
Next Best: #1 Earstoyou 4-1
Best Value: #11 Two Grand 10-1
Exotics Use: #8 Bevy 5-1
High 5 Play: #9 Cinderella’s Wish 8-1

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-4-5
7: 1-2-3-7-8
8: 2-4-6
9: 1-7

5x5x3x2 = 150 x .50 = $75

Good luck!
Steve