Suffered through 2nd straight dreadful skien at Saratoga before at least finding range in the last 4 at Del Mar with trifecta hits in each. Double carry DMR P6 was pretty well laid out for ATR listeners by Steve Davidowitz on Thursday’s show, and the noted capper-author hit the $17,200 himself on one of his back-ups. Small C/O at Spa with excellent Baruch as the stake feature in advance of mammouth Travers Day card Saturday.

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Es Mia 8-5
Best Value: #1 Song for Pupcake 8-1
Next Best: #4 Rebellious Chic 7-2
Super Add: #8 Triple Tax Exempt 12-1

6th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Spanky Fischbein 3-1
Next Best: #1a Arcata 2-1
Best Value: #9 Lucky Dreamer 6-1
Super Add: #6 Grasberg 4-1

7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

NOTE: AE-11 Crema d’Oro DRAWS IN, and is very employable in exotics at the least in turf bow..

Most Likely: #6 Loxy Lady 3-1
Best Value: #5 Treat Her Right 12-1
Next Best: #3 A.P. Light 4-1
Super Add: #4 Pearl of Valor 7-2

8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Master 5-2
Best Value: #8 Everybodywantsone 8-1
Next Best: #7 Certifiably Royal 7-2
Super Add: #5 Native Mambo 4-1

9th: 51st Bernard Baruch (Gr. II), 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Justenuffhumor 9-5
Best Value: #3 Mambo Meister 8-1
Next Best: #5 Cowboy Cal 5-2
Exotics Use: #2 Yate’s Black Cat 10-1

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 1-3-5 with 1-3-5 with 1-2-3-5-8-9 with 1-2-3-5-8-9 (3x2x4x3 = 72 x .10 = $7.20)

10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #3 True Crusader 9-2
Best Value: #6 Wild Conga 6-1
Next Best: #9 Lone Cypress 7-2
Super Add: #7 No Detour 3-1

<$250 P6 Play:

5: 10
6: 1-2
7: 3-5-6
8: 2-5-7-8
9: 1
10: 3-6-7-8-9

1x2x3x4x1x5 = 120 x $2 = $240

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-6
8: 1-2-5-7-8
9: 1
10: 3-6-7-8-9

3x5x1x5 = $75

Good luck!
Steve

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Pletcher entry 3-1 2nd/6th
Best Value: #5 Longing for Malibu 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Lofty Banner 7-2 4th

2nd: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Uncle Pat 4-1 4th
Most Likely: #8 Ten Carrot Nikki 9-5 5th
Next Best: #5 Spencerific 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Malibu Gardens 8-1 6th

3rd: NY Turf Writers Cup H. (Gr. I), 4+, 19f-Hurdles (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Sermon of Love 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Mixed Up 8-5 5th
Next Best: #1 Slip Away 4-1 6th

4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Cableknit 9-5 5th
Next Best: #6 Lalique 4-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Queen Ann 12-1 7th
Super Add: #7 J Z’s Revenge 8-1 WON

5th: CLM/N2Y, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Prince Woodman 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #2B Sextant 3-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Indian Ashton 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Straight Romance 15-1 WON

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 4-5-8
3: 1-2-4
4: 1-3-6-7
5: 2-5

3x3x4x1 = $72

6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 El Commodore 6-1 9th
Most Likely: #6 Vamos a Ver 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 King Rock 12-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Ulterior Motive 5-1 8th

7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Tobruk 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #4 Woodrunner 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Joey’s Chance 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Three Bridge Road 12-1 9th

8th: NYB-OC/C, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Southside Babe 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #5 Absolute Heaven 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Motor City Mama 8-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Mine Or Who’s 5-1 5th

9th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Inti 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Indymine 8-1 10th
Next Best: #7 William T 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Risque 3-1 7th

$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-3-6-7
5: 2-5
6: 2-6
7: 3-4
8: 4-5-9
9: 2

4x2x2x2x3x1 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-4-6
7: 3-4-9
8: 4-5-9
9: 2-9

4x3x3x2 = $72

DEL MAR

PRE-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Only Be Cause 5-1 5th
Most Likely: #3 Tap Tap I Win 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Thunderfrmdownunder 5-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Catalina Fog 6-1 6th

4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Recess 5-2 6th
Best Value: #3 Mean Heat 12-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Wondrous Event 7-2 8th
Super Add: #9 Forest Miss 15-1 5th

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Warren’s Jitterbug 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Forbidden Paradise 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Go Ask Alex 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Imperatriz 5-2 5th

6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Lemon Supreme 8-1 2nd
Most Likely: #6 Free Flying Soul 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Supermodel 4-1 WON
Super Add: #3 Irish Gypsy 6-1 5th

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Coatcheck Girl 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Dextera 5-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Minute Limit 9-5 WON
Super Add: #2 Over Andover 7-2 2nd

8th: MDN CLM, Cal-bred F&M-3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #1e Harris Farm entry 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #11 Makit Till Midnite 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Lady Alex 5-2 WON
Super Add: #8 No Due Diligence 4-1 6th
High 5 Play: #4 Abandoned Gold 20-1 7th

$300 P6 Play:

3: 3-4-9
4: 3-4
5: 5-6-8
6: 1-3-4-6
7: 4
8: 1-11

3x2x3x4x1x2 = 144 x $2 = $288

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 5-6-8
6: 1-3-4-6
7: 4-5
8: 1-7-11

3x4x2x3 = $72

Travers draw Wednesday marks start of final third of Spa season. Despite highly unwelcome interruption to meet for me last week, hope to regain the solid momentum that has sustained my play the first half of Saratoga. On top of Day 25 on Union Avenue, Del Mar offers nearly $200,000 to start its’ penultimate week, with a $65k Super Hi-5 Carryover in their 9th as well…

Hope everyone did well while I was away.

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Galan Fete 5-1
Most Likely: #6 Senor Fuego 6-5
Next Best: #4 Tar Beach 4-1
Super Add: #5 Web Gem 6-1

2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Ms. Thanksgiving 4-1
Best Value: #5 Morningsideheights 6-1
Next Best: #3 Jill’s Kitten 3-1
Super Add: #1 Crystal Ocean 5-1

3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Grab bag event where someone getting a trip will make the difference..

Most Likely: #3 Cullinan 3-1
Best Value: #4 Ducduc 6-1
Next Best: #6 Home Field 4-1
Super Add: #5 Seattle Brew 8-1

4th: Pleasant Colony, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Guam Typhoon 2-1
Best Value: #1 Santana Six 4-1
Next Best: #4 Sumo 3-1

5th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Manhattan Miss 4-1
Best Value: #1 Royal Valentine 8-1
Next Best: #7 First Flute 3-1
Super Add: #8 Lyrical Bobcat 6-1

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 5-8
3: 1-3-4-5-6-7
4: 1-2
5: 1-7-10

2x6x2x3 = $72

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Nedjma 4-1
Best Value: #2 Fortheboysatthebar 12-1
Next Best: #1 Higher Incentive 5-1
Super Add: #4 Sax in the City 6-1

7th: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 The York On York 7-2
Next Best: #1 Condemned 3-1
Best Value: #10 Anwar Sadat 12-1
Super Add: #4 Wildcat Nation 6-1

8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Classical Fashion 10-1
Most Likely: #7 Sonic Sound 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Loquacious Lil 20-1

9th: 32nd Albany, NYB-3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Fiddlers Afleet 2-1
Next Best: #3 Legal Consent 7-2
Super Add: #5 Slevin 4-1

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Best Value: #8 There I Go 6-1
Most Likely: #10 Code Name 3-1
Next Best: #9 Love for a Price 7-2
Super Add: #1a As Promised 8-1

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-4-7-10
8: 3-5-7
9: 3-4-5
10: 8-10

4x3x3x2 = $72

DEL MAR

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Steve’s Afleet 3-1
Best Value: #4 Swingin Storm 6-1
Next Best: #1 Eleventh Hour 4-1
Super Add: #9 Latego Light 7-2

5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Rocket Kitty 7-2
Best Value: #6 Stanford Dolly 12-1
Next Best: #9 Mikey Bones 4-1
Super Add: #4 Raiding Party 6-1

6th: MDN CLM, Cal-bred 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 My Secret Weapon 6-1
Most Likely: #5 Victory Dash 7-2
Next Best: #9 Winning Valentine 8-1
Super Add: #13 Dislittleliteomine 15-1

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #12 Baroda Court 2-1
Best Value: #2 Thrillah 6-1
Next Best: #8 Legend of My Own 7-2
Super Add: #7 Buckatunna 6-1

8th: 17th Harry F. Brubaker (R), 3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Becrux 3-1
Next Best: #4 Tiago 5-2
Exotics Use: #6 Tiz West 7-2
Best Value: #1a Skyrush 10-1

9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super, Super High 5)

$65k Super High 5 carryover..

Most Likely: #9 Stayonit 5-2
Best Value: #8 Loyal Son 8-1
Next Best: #5 Megillah 7-2
Super Add: #14 Outside Shot 12-1
High 5 Play: #1 Fiery Rebel 8-1

$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-4-10
5: 3
6: 1-5
7: 2-12
8: 1-3-4-6
9: 8-9

3x1x2x2x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-5-9
7: 2-12
8: 1-3-4-6
9: 8-9-14

3x2x4x3 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

Straightforward day at the Spa Thursday and saw things pretty clearly with multiple on top winners, exotic hits, rolling P3’s, Late P4 and 5/6 conso in the P6. Was rather chalky but the cashers added up nicely. Hope you did well.

PLEASE NOTE: I’ll be unavoidably absent from the Spa and ‘At the Races’ for upwards of a week. Equidaily.com and Capital OTB-TV’s Seth Merrow will guest host as much ‘ATR’ as he can starting today..

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Biogio’s Rose, NYB 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Sapphire Sky 6-1
Most Likely: #2 Karakorum Fugitive 3-1
Next Best: #6 What a Pair 5-1

2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Telemachus 8-1
Most Likely: #2 Sal Paradise 4-1
Next Best: #1 Option 3-1
Super Add: #6 The Mayor 7-2

3rd: OC/N1X, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Thoroughly bizarre baby allowance..

Most Likely: #3 (POE) Red Rally 3-1
Best Value: #1a (POE) Honor in Peace 8-1
Next Best: #4 Soundman 5-2

4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Book 6-1
Most Likely: #8 Cappella Reale 2-1
Exotics Use: #3 Mr. Devil May Care 15-1
Super Add: #5 Malibu Gardens 12-1

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 1-3-8 with 1-3-8 with 1-3-5-7-8 with All (3x2x3x7 = 126 x .10 = $12.60)

5th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Doc N Roll 6-1
Most Likely: #9 Jamaludin 2-1
Next Best: #8 Hold Your Ground 3-1
Super Add: #10 Winyah 12-1

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-6-7
3: 1-3-4
4: 1-3-8
5: 6-9

4x3x3x2 = $72

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Interesting juvy set with sibs #2 Mind Over Matter (Choctaw Nation) and #1a Manaahil (Shakis) to consider (SCR). But fave #10 Awesome Maria has had time since just miss debut, and 8-1 Klesaris product #5 Sing My Song chased Adirondack show pony Magic Appeal in bow. Tom A. sends #4 Couture Cat (5-1), first daughter of the nice Petionville sprinter Runway Model, and Jolley-Roberts returnee Awesome Vow bulleted after even debut and should appreciate the added quarter mile..

Most Likely: #10 Awesome Maria 9-5
Best Value: #5 Sing My Song 8-1
Next Best: #4 Couture Cat 4-1
Exotics Use: #3 Awesome Vow 12-1

7th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Luv Gov 6-1
Best Value: #6 Brother Nick 12-1
Next Best: #1e Zito entry 8-1
Exotics Use: #7 Blue Whistler 6-1

8th: 26th Lake Placid (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Keertana 4-1
Best Value: #7 My Magic Moment 12-1
Next Best: #3 Consequence 4-1
Super Add: #4 Shared Account 7-2

9th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Pernice 5-2
Best Value: #3 One Diamond 15-1
Next Best: #9 Handled Affair 10-1
Super Add: #4 Rizzi’s Devil 20-1

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 10
7: 1-3-4-6-7-9
8: 3-5-7
9: 1-3-4-9

1x6x3x4 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

Second half of the meet opened with a rush Wednesday with $16.00 ‘Best Value’ winner Afleet Alexandra and terrific tri ($235 for $2) in off the turf opener. Though DQ of Chippewa Court to Speechifying in the 2nd depressed Double payoff (From $90 to $64), P3 to Rodman in the third paid a handsome $124 and it looked like a big day was in the offing… And then came the 4th. Tidal Pool, board’s longest shot from DWL in a 5 horse field, took away P4 chances and seemed to completely derail the afternoon for me.

Bright spot did come around later to a degree, as another of the overlaid win types that have boosted the bankroll arrived in the form of McPeek’s House of Grace (15-1 ML; Exotics Use), who blew away the 7th at 23-1 ($48.80). Exacta box of the tabs returned $218 ($1) with Next Best Beautiful Song (7-1) 2nd. The net result, while there were plenty of winning tickets cashed, was another day of just the slightest profit, as failed P3, P4 and P6 tries gobbling up more than $450. Hope you did well in the spots where it was available…

Carryover goes double with $178,000 starting in the sextet coffers. Sequence features a goofy 4 maiden affairs and confusing Saratoga Special, and will be challenging.

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Walsh Novice, 4+, 19f-Hurdles (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Nationbuilder 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #2 You the Man 3-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Left Unsaid 4-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Diamond Fever 20-1 unplaced

2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e C. Martin entry 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Grand Decision 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Lucy N Thunder 8-1 3rd

3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Trainee 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Multipass 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Quisom 5-2 3rd

4th: Solomon Northup, 3yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Ask Joe 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #5 Perfect Officer 5-2 WON
Next Best: #7 Speight the Halo 10-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Affirmatif 3-1 2nd

5th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Myrtle’s Gray 5-1 4th
Most Likely: #6 Dream Train 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Rogue’s Jewel 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Bobbi O. 5-1 WON

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-6
3: 2-4-6
4: 4-5-7-8
5: 2-4-6

2x3x4x3 = $72

6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Whirling Thunder 5-2 WON
Best Value: #6 Dukinfield 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Magnificent Max 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Fair Catch 10-1 5th

7th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Golly Day 4-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Supreme Serene 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Midnight Mass 5-1 3rd

8th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Cap the Thunder 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Patronus Charm 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Grace’s Valentine 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Justify 12-1 2nd

9th: 104th Saratoga Special (Gr. II), 2yo, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Zip Quik 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 D’ Funnybone 7-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Activity Report 20-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Fearless Cowboy 8-1 3rd

10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #5 Dear Contender 15-1 5th
Most Likely: #8 Beso Del Sur 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Proud Diva 15-1 4th
Super Add: #2 SCR

$200 P6 Play:

5: 2-6
6: 1-2-6
7: 3-6
8: 2
9: 3-6-7-9
10: 5-8

2x3x2x1x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

$2 Pick 6 (7-1-3-2-6-8) 5 Correct Paid $48.20 (X 2 in Leg A = $96.40)

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-6
8: 2
9: 1-3-6-7-8-9
10: 2-4-5-8

3x1x6x4 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (3-2-6-8) 4 Correct Paid $182.50