NY & FL bombs blow up tickets; $25k C/O at Big A
Can simply not cash a meaningful ticket as seemingly certain Gulfstream P4 play — live to 6 in the anchor leg — went awry at the hands of Liz Grey’s 40-1 wire job Thoth. A Malibu Moon (9% with turf starters) colt out of an un-raced Mountain Cat mare, Thoth had two nondescript main track tries where he had been beaten a combined 32 lengths coming into this lawn bow. He had no discernible grass breeding, hadn’t been two turns, and had not shown speed in his first two starts, so he was certainly not an obvious candidate to wire a group of maidens with grassy pages and some notable tries in their PP’s.
The $82 winner wasn’t the only bulbous wire to wire surprise package of the day either, as ridiculous Most Happy Fella bested a good group of NY bred allowance foes at 45-1 at Aqueduct. In that Big A 6th, C. C. Lopez rode favored Shrimp Dancer as if he was Native Dancer, completely ignoring the dynamics of the race and failing to utilize any of his mount’s tactical speed. Affable David Donk could not have been too pleased with the performance, which saw the $93 winner get away with a :48.3 half and three quarters in 1:13.4. By the time Lopez tried to engage the leader in deep stretch, he had run out of racetrack.
As had been discussed, the challenging sequence was going to be a difficult P6 to hit even without the Bill Badgett bomb, and sure enough there is a $25k carryover into a very weak So. Ozone Park card today. I had looked at the late Gulfstream action as well, and am willing to keep swinging until I can get back into a good rhythm.
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #5 Shamroge 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 Moneyinthecuvee 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Citizen Bailey 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Mr. Paul K 10-1 6th
5th: NYB-CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Crazy Charlie 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Coney Island 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Senegal 5-1 4th
6th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 The Vin Man 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #9 Acclimate 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Crazy Coyote 3-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Laudable 8-1 5th
7th: NYB-CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Badgette 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Essex Ferry 6-5 8th
Best Value: #3 Hello Gold 10-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Western Decision 20-1 3rd
8th: S/ALW, 3yo, 6f (DD, Super)
Best Value: #3 Kidstrong Fever 9-2 WON
Most Likely: #7 Gimmeanotherwink 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Run to Grande Ave. 4-1 6th
9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m (Super)
Most Likely: #4 Two Sons 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Paying Attention 10-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Hooligan’s Delight 4-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Mom Proof 5-1 2nd
<$200 P6 Play:
4: 1-5
5: 3-8
6: 3-9
7: 5-6
8: 3-6-7
9: 3-4
2x2x2x2x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 2-3-9
7: 5-6
8: 3-7
9: 1-3-4-5-7-8
3x2x2x6 = $72
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Runaway Diva 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Atomic Flea 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Mad Mambo 5-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Givonna Alyssa 4-1 4th
$1 Exacta (9-6) Paid $14.80
$2 Trifecta (9-6-8) Paid $141.10
$0.10 Superfecta (9-6-8-5) Paid $38.34
7th: MSW, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #5 Colizeo 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Smart Sky 12-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Dreaming Blue 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Switching to Glide 15-1 10th
8th: OC/C, 4+, 9f-Outer Turf (DD, Super)
Wow… Not sure anyone in this field CAN’T win here..
Most Likely: #1e McLaughlin entry 5-2 5th/6th
Best Value: #8 Yate’s Black Cat 6-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Staying On 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Wheels Up at Noon 20-1 4th
9th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-Inner Turf (Super)
Most Likely: #5 B B Frank 7-2 5th
Best Value: #8 SCR
Next Best: #12 Fair Weather Stan 6-1 10th
Super Add: #10 Keeping the Honor 10-1 WON
@$50 P4 Play:
6: 1-5-6-8-9
7: 5
8: ALL
9: 5-8/SCR-12
5x1x7x2 = 70 x .50 = $35.00