Preakness draw at 5p this afternoon with anticipated group of 13 expected to pass entry box. Belmont P4 and good HOL feature of interest today (7:07p), and note a good 6f ‘Tom Ridge’ stake at Presque Isle at 8p..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Something Gold 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Dance Floor Maniac 8-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Augusta Dude 6-1 5th
Super Add: #9 My Man Jake 15-1 6th

7th: CLM/N2Y, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Platinumplus 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #3 Double Dinghy Day 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 It’s Not for Love 6-1 WON
Super Add: #10 Mollyisintheclouds 8-1 5th

8th: OC/C, 3+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 D’wild Ride 5-2 3rd
Most Likely: #6 Saarlight 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Sapphire Sky 3-1 WON
Super Add: #4 My Dinah 10-1 4th

9th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Sly 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #10 Prince Woodman 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Eldoktori 8-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Matt’s a Giant 12-1 6th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-8 (5-9)
7: 3-4
8: 1-6-7
9: 2

MAIN: 2x2x3x1 = $12 x $5 = $60
Back-Up: 2x2x3x1 = $12

HOLLYWOOD PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

7th (7:07p): OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f

Very good feature at HollyPark this afternoon with well-matched group of 7 going 8.5..

Best Value: #3 Turf and Sky (6-1): Martin Jones has done little wrong this year, and there’s lots to like about his 5yo Sky Mesa gelding in this spot. Away since December, shows steady series of serious sunrise semesters including 3 straight efforts at three-quarters since 4/18. Should sit nice stalk and go trip splitting field early as trio to his outside tangle. Should provide right price around which to key.. 5th

Not sure how the one P6 ticket that connected Friday ($35k) was able to include the $40 and $37 winners of the 6th and 7th, but god bless ’em… I couldn’t have strung those two horses together in a sequence under any condition. The $1 P4 returned over $4k. Long-running Dwyer Stakes Saturday at Belmont, with Dee Tee featured on the undercard as Lloydobler faces off against a quality group in the third. Thanks to Gary Sciacca and Chuck Simon of course who continue to make the Stable project a thrill for the 100+ involved! I wish I could be at Belmont today, and hope the partners and the rest of the supportive DTers enjoy the action.

BELMONT PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: NYB-CLM/N2L, 3+, 7.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Book 12-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Bridge to Nowhere 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Cromwell Alley 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Full Tilt Noogie 12-1 8th

2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Diva’s Gold 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 SCR
Exotics Use: #8 Fantastic Lisa 4-1 WON
Super Add: #2 East Coaster 12-1 2nd

3rd: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best of luck and safe trip to Lloyd and Edgar. Tim Ice turnback runner looms very dangerous here, and at 5-1, is the key. For those of us behind Lloydobler, the ideal scenario is to walk on the front end or stalk one of the firsters who could pop and stop. Serious and well-matched group including A.P. Indy colts from Albertrani out of no less than Gr. I winning racemares Got Koko and Harmony Lodge..

Best Value: #3 Graysonia 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Lloydobler 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Kells Blues 3-1 4th

4th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

#12 (AE) So Scott (5-1) is a use should he draw in..

Most Likely: #4 Desenfrenado 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Strings and Arrows 20-1 9th
Next Best: #2 N P Cat 10-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Crescent Moon Dr. 8-1 5th

5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Olive Eye 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Sonnys Lady 12-1 12th
Next Best: #9 Tidal Slam 7-2 WON
Super Add: #10 Spiritual Tune 4-1 8th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 5-8-9
3: 3-5
4: 2-4-6-7-8-9
5: 1-11

3x2x6x2 = $72

6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Super Shape 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #1e SCR
Best Value: #6 Mr. Boubon Street 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Gimmearoutine 8-1 WON

7th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Muy Guapo 5-1 WON-DQ’D TO 2ND
Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #9 Virtues Under Fire 3-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Spencerific 8-1 5th

8th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Note that #12 Good Karma (12-1) is an interesting inclusion should he draw in..

Most Likely: #7 Quiet On the Tee 8-5 6th
Best Value: #10 Flowersonyourback 10-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Relatively Ready 4-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Volponi Dragon 12-1 7th

9th: 93rd Dwyer (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Carnivore 10-1 5th
Most Likely: #2 Drosselmeyer 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Soaring Empire 5-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Fly Down 7-2 WON

10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Mustang Island 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Cayo Hueso 12-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Onzain 3-1 6th
Super Add: #10 L. C. Bulgari 12-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2/SCR-11
8: 1-7-10
9: 1-2-4
10: 1-2-3-10

1x3x3x4 = $36

Fell agonizingly short of even a conso in the big Churchill carryover Thursday, but was not unhappy with the capping or approach. Budget of <$200 got 4 of 6 with other two winners on the slate, and P4 came through for $105 to take some of the sting out of the miscue. Those that played and scored received $20k for their trouble, while the Super High 5 mutuel came back a robust $30k. Hope all did OK and had fun going after the $4,000,000 pot. Quirky Belmont P4 Friday in anticipation of the weekend which includes Dee Tee’s LLOYDOBLER in the Belmont 3rd (Saturday) and REDBOARD KING in the Philly 6th (Sunday).

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Calvello 10-1
Most Likely: #4 Sydney Road 7-2
Next Best: #5 Brecciate 5-1
Super Add: #8 Hot Money 5-2

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Academy Run 7-5
Best Value: #8 Syo Defenceman 5-1
Next Best: #7 Western Flyer 8-1
Super Add: #4 Xodo 10-1

8th: S/ALW, 3yo-F, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bahama Bound 7-5
Best Value: #3 Jersey Shore Girl 6-1
Next Best: #1a (POE) Conga Bella 5-1
Exotics Use: #2 Repreive 6-1

9th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Best Value: #2 Quisom 5-1
Most Likely: #8 Sweet Madness 5-2
Next Best: #11 Catty Madeline 3-1
Super Add: #3 Seven in a Row 10-1

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-6-8
7: 5-8
8: 1-3-4
9: 2-8-11

4x2x3x3 = $72

PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS

PRE-SCRATCHES

7th: 4th Inaugural, 3yo-F, 6f

Best Value (Key Horse): #6 Derwin’s Star (10-1): Steve Klesaris owns this trainee that he snared for $10k at Laurel. Demolished a Woodbine ALW field by 8 en route to 4th straight win. Wildcat Heir progeny are berserk on synthetic (29% W’s; 68% ITM), and see no reason why this miss can’t stalk and go here..

Good luck!
Steve

CHURCHILL DOWNS

PRE-SCRATCHES

$947,641 P6 CARRYOVER

5th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Berlioz 5-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Batten 6-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Gold Bells Spin 4-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Sir Jock 6-1 5th

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Speedy Solution 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Coastal Art 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Dabossman 5-1 WON
Super Add: #6 Liquid Fire 10-1 7th

7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Quiet by Seven 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Refined Silk 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Love That Kitten 4-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Bharat 5-1 3rd

8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Nothing more unwelcome in a big money sequence than a nickel claimer where form cycles are regularly unreliable guages of upcoming performance; Looks to me like 6 can win, so you’ll have to adjust depth of your spread based on budgetary restrictions..

Most Likely: #9 Classic Emily 9-2 9th
Next Best: #8 Sun Valley Storm 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Karacuda 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Ladyofthesouth 20-1 8th

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (DD, Super)

This should be a very good race..

Most Likely: #5 Kimmyv 5-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Millenia 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Missippi Martini 4-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Middlemarch 6-1 6th

10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

$147,055 HIGH 5 CARRYOVER

Be aware that AE-14 Bird Island (3-1) has drawn into the field..

Most Likely: #1 Groundwork 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #14 Bird Island 3-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Ghost Chapel 6-1 4th
Super Add: #12 Lode of Gold 4-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #10 Necaise 5-1 WON; #6 Tuxedo Affair 8-1 6th

<$200 P6 Play:

5: 5
6: 5-11
7: 4-6-7-9
8: 8-9
9: 5-7
10: 1-7-14

1x2x4x2x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-6-7-9
8: 3-8-9
9: 5-7
10: 1-6-7-10-12-14

4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (6/8/5/10) Paid $105.30

Full Derby-Oaks Weekend recap tomorrow with the $970k Churchill carryover, but in the meantime, good old weekday action resumes with the sextet at Belmont… Hope everyone enjoyed the weekend and profitted from the insights the ATR lineup tried to provide here and on ATR. More tomorrow.

As mentioned on ATR yesterday, Rich Migliore underwent successful surgery Tuesday. Here is a post box address if you wish to send a card or note to Mig. He’ll really appreciate it…

Richard Migliore
2517 Rt. 44, #11 #253
Salt Point, NY 12578

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

7-2 on Mystic City is a terrific price. She is a lot closer to the 6-5 favorite than that…

Best Value: #7 Mystic City 7-2 2nd
Most Likely: #1 (POE) In Te Domine 6-5 WON
Next Best: #4 Considerate 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Fiona Storm 8-1 6th

5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S. P3, DD, Super)

With Rice second choice a very likely winner and several price horses ideal for exotics fun, playing against Zito fave #6 Taza (5-2)..

Most Likely: #8 MISS HANKY PANKY 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Emotional 10-1 6th
Exotics Use #6 Taza 5-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Amelia the Cat 8-1 4th

6th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Hangingbyathread is always solid, but if Believeinmenow has anything left, and Bond does very well bring horses back off long breaks, he looms the horse to beat..

Most Likely: #9 Hangingbyathread 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Believeinmenow 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Old Man Buck 8-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Xela 5-1 WON

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Challenging group of maiden turf dashers with a number of ‘must includes’ and a couple of ‘could surprise’ types; Excluding #4 Colour the Wind (4-1) within race due to pretentious spelling, but will consider for multi’s..

Best Value: #10 Emma Song 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #6 Nefertiti 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Stormy Dixie 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Straight Tiara 12-1 8th

8th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Salt Water Reign 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Motor City Mama 7-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Sorority Sister 6-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Bailzee 3-1 3rd

9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Very difficult group to decipher..

Most Likely: #7 Diamond Dina 5-2 WON
Best Value: #2 Storm Gal 10-1
Next Best: #6 Higher Incentive 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Silvercup Baby 8-1 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-9
7: 6-10
8: 2-3-5
9: 2-3-6-7-9-10

2x2x3x6 = $72