Caught late P4 and conso’d in chalky P6 Thursday at Belmont, but we won’t have to worry about too many short prices Saturday. $32k P6 and $350k guaranteed P4 sequences are nothing short of impossible with an average of 11 horses in each race including an intriguing edition of the Sheepshead Bay. I could use 4-6 horses in each event in the P4/P6 sequences and not feel overly confident about hitting anything! But let’s give it a try as a great 3 day weekend of racing kicks off!

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

$32k P6 C/O starts here..

4-6-8-10-11-12-16 remain in after off turf SCR’s..

Most Likely: #8 Shy Humor 4th
Next Best: #10 Tricky Guy 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 It’s Truly Ahvee WON ($6.90)
Super Add: #16 Cameron Canyon 2nd

6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Skinny Peter 9-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Antenna 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Fulton Street 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Political Justice 6-1 WON ($5.20)

7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Late P4 starts with another maniacal heat that has far too many possibilities to cover on any reasonable multi-race play with class droppers galore, layoff returnees and several with less than obvious turf form. Dee Tee’s own Ausable Chasm involved here and a check of any kind would be a pleasant surprise as she tries stretching out on the lawn for the first time from the widest berth of 12..

Best Value: #2 Silent Joy 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Royal Sighting 6-1 WON ($16.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Truly Devoted 7-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Lillehammer 8-1 12th

8th: Sheepshead Bay (G2), F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

Assume going in that the turf will have plenty of give to it and 2nd time North America Juddmonte mare Principal Role should benefit from it. Motion has said Aruna will come out if the course is too soft..

Best Value: #6 Principal Role 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Distorted Legacy 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Aruna 3-1 WON ($6.10)
Most Likely: #4 Hit It Rich 7-2 2nd

9th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Much like the 7th, a race that has perhaps 8 conceivable winners with all 12 possible thereafter. Don’t be shy about taking swings with giant price horses..

Most Likely: #8 Unbridled Command 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 L L Flying Notes 30-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Chilton 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Out of Your Mind 15-1 10th

10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT

A fitting end to this mind-bending slate..

Most Likely: #8 Gossip Column 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Irish Humor 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Mr. Rosenthal 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Life of the City 3-1 –

<$150 P6 Play:

5: 6-8-10
6: 1-6-8-9
7: 2-9-10
8: 6-7
9: 8
10: 8

3x4x3x2x1x1 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-9-10
8: 6-7
9: 1-3-4-8-9
10: 3-5-6-7-8

3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

HOLLYWOOD PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: American H. (G2), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Plenty of viable options for beating vulnerable Mr. Commons at too short a number..

Best Value: #8 Mobilized 8-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Mr. Commons 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Compari 7-2 4th
Super Add: #9 Liberian Freighter 12-1 3rd

Week flying by after a Preakness that has had all viewers — dedicated or casual — abuzz. Nothing sets the game and even general sporting observers into a frenzy like a Triple Crown bid. I’ll Have Another appears better suited to the challenge than many of those that have fallen short in recent years with a pedigree and style that work for the 12f ‘Test of the Champion’. Other pluses as we arc towards Elmont include the remarkably unflappable Mario Gutierrez and the ‘dig deep’ victory in the Preakness, historically a more positive harbinger of Belmont success than an open length romp.

Going back to the weekend, after a bad Friday, Preakness action proved excellent for the bankroll with DWL’s $19 Skyring anchoring big returns within the Murphy itself and through multi-race punts involving the race. Hope everyone enjoyed the coverage and did well. Off the turf action Wednesday at Belmont provided surprising fireworks that resulted in a $28k carryover into Thursday’s good card. Only the 9th race has come off the turf. 3rd, 6th, 7th remain on…

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$28k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Diamond District 3-1 WON ($6.10)
Best Value: #4 Roaring Conquest 4-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Stonecoldsteamer 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Saxaphone Len 6-1 4th

5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Mischief Maker 6-5 WON ($2.90)
Next Best: #2 Lil’bella 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Sweet Kakes 6-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Mary P. Jones 15-1 4th

6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Start of P4 and major key to the C/O as 2yo’s turf sprint. Interesting firsters #5 Jump for Kitten (By Kitten’s Joy and full to solid Kid Canuck) and #8 Leader Avenue (out of excellent MSW Dyna Da Wyna) meld with KEE baby race exiters (#4 Brazilian Court SCR, #6 Almost an Angel, #7 Joha) and one or other of Breen-Hall Bernstein colts (FTS #1 Bye Bye Bernie or 2nd timer #1 Bern Identity SCR). Not sure how you exclude any from serious tickets..

Most Likely: #5 Jump for Kitten 4-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Almost an Angel 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Leader Avenue 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Joha 5-2 WON ($5.80)

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

This is a good, tough race, but as opposed to the difficult 6th where a clear winner is murky, if Revenue runs back to her performance turf dashing at Gulfstream, she’s best here..

Most Likely: #4 Revenue 4-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Limonar 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Finding Neverland 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Button Girl 7-2 4th

8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Spring to the Sky 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Catalan 6-1 WON ($9.90)
Next Best: #1 Poppa’s Pick 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Trouble in Dodge 3-1 4th

9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #1 Runawayeightyfour 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #12 Purge Bird 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Freudian Therapist 50-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 SCR

<$125 P6 Play:

4: 4-5-9
5: 8
6: 1-5-6-7-8
7: 4-7
8: 3-5
9: 1

3x1x5x2x2x1 = 60 x $2 = $120

$2 Pick 6 (9/6,8/4,7,10/9,11/5/1,2,6,7,8,9,11) Paid $22.20 (5OF6) x 2 = $44.40

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-5-6-7-8
7: 1-4-7-9-10
8: 1-2-3-5
9: 1

5x5x4x1 = 100 x .50 = $50

$0.50 Pick 4 (4,7,10/9,11/5/1,2,6,7,8,9,11) Paid $86.75

 

Belmont P6 almost went un-hit again but ultimately rewarded 2 players for $430k each. Pimlico action was alternately chalky and surprising with the turf affairs producing $40 and $50 winners that were very hard to reach. Graded events were highlighted by Pletcher exacta in the Susie and outstanding Special that saw superb performances from the trifecta of Alternation, Nehro and Endorsement. Marathon day post-ATR Friday didn’t end until well past 1a this morning after interminable trip to Baltimore and am late getting this out. Friday’s ATR featured extensive analysis of the stakes portion of today’s Preakness card. Here’s a rundown of the tabs..

PIMLICO RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: 61st Gallorette (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Zagora 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #7 Laughing 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Baltimore Belle 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Smart Sting 5-1 4th

4th: ALW/C, 3yo, 8.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #4 Paynter 4-5 WON ($2.20)
Next Best: #3 Brimstone Island 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Space Race 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Respectful Ed 6-1 3rd

5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Some way to start the early P4. A 14 horse turf sprint..

Best Value: #11 Pendulum 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #14 Wire Funds 9-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Usmc Semper Fi 20-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Corundum 5-1 8th

6th: 3rd Chick Lang, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Don’t get the even money on Innocent Man. At all..

Best Value: #2 Trippi’s Secret 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Innocent Man 1-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Laurie’s Rocket 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Il Villano 5-1 WON ($9.20)

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Clare Skies Ahead 4-1 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #8 Happy Choice 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Nekia’s Vow 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Magical Merry 6-1 5th

8th: 26th MD Sprint H. (G3), 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Must-pay $168k C/O P5 starts here..

Best Value: #4 Wildcat Brief 10-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Diski Dance 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Hamazing Destiny 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Super Add: #1 Immortal Eyes 5-1 6th

<$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-6-9-11-14
6: 2-3
7: 2-8
8: 1-3-4-7-8

5x2x2x5 = 100 x .50 = $50

9th: J. W. Murphy, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

You can cover the Clement ML bookend faves (#1 Easy Crossing/#12 Achilles-SCR) in multis and exotics, but you should be taking chances in this race. Could generate fireworks..

Best Value: #2 Skyring 8-1 WON ($19.60)
Next Best: #1 Easy Crossing 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: 9 Hammers Terror 8-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Mr. Handsome 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-1) $34.70
$1 Trifecta (2-1-6) $564.70
$1 Superfecta (2-1-6-9) $2,103.50

10th: 20th Allaire Dupont Distaff (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

The Murphy is the place to bet Lukas. Absinthe Minded is a weak favorite here..

Most Likely: #5 Awesomemundo 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #6 Strike the Moon 20-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Absinthe Minded 9-5 8th
Exotics Use: #9 SCR

11th: 111th Dixie (G2), 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Very nicely matched field..

Most Likely: #9 Air Support 6-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Straight Story 10-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Trend 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Smart Bid 7-2 5th

12th: 137th Preakness (G1), 3yo, 9.5f (DD, Super Hi-5)

As discussed for 2 weeks, Derby players are the principals here. Bodemeister has every advantage and opportunity to win this while I’ll Have Another appears to be poised for another premium effort. Creative Cause has proven himself tough and dependable while fans of late field addition Daddy Nose Best may be rewarded here with at least an exotics boost. Of the fresh faces, Tiger Walk should finally save ground and Zetterholm is good now..

Most Likely: #7 Bodemeister 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #9 I’ll Have Another 5-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Daddy Nose Best 12-1 9th
Best Value: #6 Creative Cause 6-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #1 Tiger Walk 30-1 8th

.50 TRI: 7-9 with 1-4-6-7-8-9 with 1-4-5-6-7-8-9-11 (2x5x6 = 60 x .50 = $30)

<$100 P5 Play:

8: 1-3-4-7-8
9: 1-2-6-9-10
10: 5
11: 4-5-7-9
12: 7-9

5x5x1x4x2 = 200 x .50 = $100

<$75 P4 Play:

9: 1-2-3-6-9-10
10: 5
11: 3-4-5-7-9-11
12: 6-7-8-9

6x1x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (2-5/9-3-9) Paid $233.10.

 

Made a few good moves Thursday at Belmont including decision to focus on smaller multi-race punts and tread lightly on treacherous looking 2 day carryover which ended up featuring $80 and $100 winners. Couldn’t find 50-1 Irish Lion in the starter handicap 8th, but did OK tabbing 40-1 wire threat Beppj (pronounced bep-ee, not bep-jay) as the on top ‘Best Value’. Indeed, Sciacca’s Beppj held on under a strong ride by Mike Luzzi who gave the quickish sister of routing turfers Mr. Hooker and Sister Berta a breather through the middle portion of the race before scooting home. In addition to the generous $83 mutuel, Beppj closed out a healthy $422 P4.

When Irish Lion won the 8th, a third carryover seemed assured, but in fact Ned Allard’s She Is a Lioness was somehow covered in the nightcap for the whole $320,000. Favored Margaret Lilian came through in the finale with Desert Bliss, my other longish notion for the day, a closing but distant 2nd at 13-1. So as a result, there will be a jackpot of 1/3 of a million drawing attention away from the Pimlico card Friday and I would think you can expect a rare NY sextet pool of more than $1,000,000.

Hope you did well Thursday and are armed for the C/O try and/or the Pimlico slate which itself boasts a $114k P5 satch.

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$320k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Dylan Dangerous 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #3 Missle Nick 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Lone Star Gold 2-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Five Card Draw 10-1 2nd

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

This is a minefield. Would love to include #10 Out of Your Mind (6-1), but is trying that less-than-impactful turf turnback..

Best Value: #2 Plainview 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Departures 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Et Al 7-2 7th
Super Add: #4 Holy Crusader 10-1 9th

6th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Not a lot to sink your teeth into here either..

Most Likely: #5 Simply Stunning 6-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Loblolly Pine 10-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Pogonia 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Sunday to Remember 7-2 2nd

7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Just how much can you depend on Touch of Revenge? Will be a single on many tix in this rag tag assembly. This would be a helluva spot for 0-for-42 City Vice (7yo) to break her maiden, wouldn’t it? Believe it or not, her ’11 turf sprints are competitive here.. WON ($42.20)

Most Likely: #12 Touch of Revenge 7-5 5th
Best Value: #8 Blazing Arches 10-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Sweetest Peach 20-1 10th

8th: OC/C, 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #1e Ribaudo entry 2-1 4th/6th
Next Best: #2 Belo Action 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Freshman Dorm 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Hyper 7-2 WON ($7.40)

9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #9 Shalangar 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Modest 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Tapaway 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #1 Pervis 30-1 2nd

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 6
5: 2-9
6: 2-5-7
7: 8-10-12
8: 1
9: 1-5-7-9

1x2x4x3x1x4 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-5-7
7: 6-8-10-12
8: 1-2-6
9: 1-5-7-9

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

PIMLICO RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

NOTE: .50 P4’s, P3’s & Trifectas, .10 Supers available throughout card..

5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3)

#2 (POE) Imoratas (Ghostzapper), a half to MGSW on turf My Princess Jess, makes turf debut and other half of entry no doorknob either..

Most Likely: #2e Corrales-Stronach entry 7-2 9th/12th
Best Value: #3 Wingo Star 12-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Shimmering Forest 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Moving West 5-1 6th

6th: 19th Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P3)

It’s Me Mom always tough but she’ll have some front end company..

SCR’S of Red’s Round Table and Romantic Cuvee..

Most Likely: #4 Bold Affair 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #7 It’s Me Mom 8-5 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Afleet Lass 8-1 3th

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3)

Most Likely: #4 Emma’s Kiss 4-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Seeyouinthetown 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Queen Chatanika 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Nuit de Chance 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #14 Shanana 30-1 4th

8th: 27th Miss Preakness, 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3)

$115k P5 C/O starts here..

SCR: #6 Gypsy Robin ran Tuesday — and won — at Presque Isle and Singlet is out too..

Most Likely: #7 Agave Kiss 1-1 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #4 Millionreasonswhy 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Painted Woman 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Ageless 20-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 2-3-9-10
6: 4-5-7
7: 4-8-10-12
8: 2-4-7

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

9th: 7th Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3)

As mentioned Thursday on ATR, #7 Super Chunky is one of the more juicy ideas on this afternoon’s slate..

Best Value: #7 Super Chunky 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Ben’s Cat 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Zeb 10-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Disco Dandy 12-1 7th

10th: 88th Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P3)

As much as I like Mamma Kimbo, she is going to be an outrageous underlay here. Welcome Guest looks like the horse to beat to me at a square price and I’m very fearful of Pletcher’s involvement here..

Best Value: #3 Welcome Guest 4-1 6th
Next Best: #7 In Lingerie 5-1 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Mamma Kimbo 6-5 4th
Super Add: #8 Wildcat’s Smile 10-1 3rd

11th: 13th Very One, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3)

Most Likely: #6 Inspired 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 High Quality 10-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Well Deserved 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Miss Oil 20-1 7th

12th: 42nd Pimlico Special (G2), 3+, 9.5f (Special-Preakness Double, Super Hi-5)

Hymm Book and Toby’s Corner will get a pace set up here and both will be priced fairly..

Most Likely: #3 Hymm Book 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Toby’s Corner 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Mission Impazible 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Endorsement 8-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #7 Yawanna Twist 12-1 7th

<$75 P5 Play:

8: 4-7
9: 2-7-9-10-11-12
10: 2-3-4-7
11: 6
12: 1-3-6

2x6x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

9: 2-7-9-10-11-12
10: 2-3-4-7
11: 5-6
12: 1-3-6

6x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

Was stymied in the Belmont finale Wednesday looking for a P6 conso and solid P4 anchor when The Dood sprung the 20-1 upset with wiring returnee Why Broadway. Shivmangel’s Whywhywhy winner — brilliantly tweeted pre-race as a viable horse to try by Andy Serling — helped seal a second carryover into Thursday worth $114k. Though the nightcap beat tweaked, returns on the day were still excellent including $230 (4th-6th) and $190 (5th-7th) P3’s and quality exotics in the 4th and 5th. After an extended period of leaking money, I was happy to have a consistently positive day. Hope everyone did well. Thursday card is a bit less attractive than yesterday’s, but hard not to try the bonus pool after the serious flirtation. Meanwhile, Pimlico’s Friday card is outstanding and you should be looking forward to it as a great prequel to Saturday’s action.

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

NOTE: With Superfectas now fully expanded in NY, I’m going to stop including them in the wagering menu options on the race description..

3rd: Vanlandingham, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Stay Thirsty, the last of the 18 active horses from 2011 Derby, makes his 4yo debut here and he better come out running. Trickmeister, Joan’s Choice and Arthur’s Tale all have recency edge..

Best Value: #4 Arthur’s Tale 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Trickmeister 8-5 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Stay Thirsty 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #6 Joan’s Choice 7-2 4th

4th: CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$114k P6 C/O starts here..

Question here is how to view the pair of 7-2 fire sales in #4 Personal Assistant (Contessa) and #5 Festive Spirit (Baker). Taken 2 back for $20k (from Rudy Rod) and $50k (from Pletcher) respectively, both flopped in serious company and are now being returned to sender. Kenneally is giving up on #8 A Boy Named Em (5-1) as well. Tricky start to the sextet..

Most Likely: #3 Late SCR
Best Value: #2 Chief Wild Eagle 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Festive Spirit 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Personal Assistant 7-2 5th

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Beppj got tired when shortened last time but took them a long way and might last here with less pressure. Price will be right. 8-5 fave Simple Exchange cuts back but this move on grass never seems to work like it does on the main..

Best Value: #2 Beppj 15-1 WON ($83.00)
Next Best: #10 Portend 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Bullet Baby 5-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Simple Exchange 8-5 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 8
3: 2-4-5-6
4: 2-3-4-5-8
5: 1-2-3-5-9-10

1x4x5x6 = 120 x .50 = $60

$0.50 Pick 4 (8/5/8/2) Paid $422.00

6th:  CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 King Rock 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 I’m a Quickie 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Take Down Two 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Raynick’s Jet 15-1 4th

7th: CLM, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

#3 Tawaared another being dropped back from whence he came, but nothing seems amiss given that he’s been working steadily along since the high level try at Gulfstream. After that, start reaching for prices because Raging Wit (8-1), Moose Man (12-1), The Vin Man (15-1) and Wayward Willie (20-1) are all as viable around the money as ML 2nd/3rd choices Xodo SCR’D (3-1) and Becky’s Kitten (7-2)..

Most Likely: #3 Tawaared 5-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Raging Wit 8-1 10th
Next Best: #6 Becky’s Kitten 7-2 WON ($9.50)
Exotics Use: #8 The Vin Man 15-1 5th

8th: S/HCP, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Itsagoodtendollars 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #3 Worth a Buck 5-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Gospel Lesson 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Bernie the Maestro 5-1 3rd

9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Very slippery end to the sequences. In an utterly non-descript field, #2 Desert Bliss (12-1) may be sneaking in here under the radar as first time as a 3yo — frequently a scenario that produces new best. 2-1 fave #4 Margaret Lilian tries the turf cutback and looks like highly dubious..

Best Value: #2 Desert Bliss 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Sweet Penny 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Our Pink Ribbon 6-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Margaret Lilian 2-1 WON ($6.30)

<$50 P6 Play:

Cannot be approached seriously without a big ticket. With a big weekend ahead, let’s concentrate on the smaller multi-race wagers and submit a small action play to have a rooting interest..

4: 2-3/SCR
5: 2-3-9-10
6: 4
7: 3
8: 7
9: 2-8-9

2x4x1x1x1x3 = 24 x $2 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4
7: 3-5-6
8: 1-3-4-7
9: 2-4-8-9

1x3x4x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)