40-1 winner bankrolls $320k BEL C/O & PIM action
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Made a few good moves Thursday at Belmont including decision to focus on smaller multi-race punts and tread lightly on treacherous looking 2 day carryover which ended up featuring $80 and $100 winners. Couldn’t find 50-1 Irish Lion in the starter handicap 8th, but did OK tabbing 40-1 wire threat Beppj (pronounced bep-ee, not bep-jay) as the on top ‘Best Value’. Indeed, Sciacca’s Beppj held on under a strong ride by Mike Luzzi who gave the quickish sister of routing turfers Mr. Hooker and Sister Berta a breather through the middle portion of the race before scooting home. In addition to the generous $83 mutuel, Beppj closed out a healthy $422 P4.
When Irish Lion won the 8th, a third carryover seemed assured, but in fact Ned Allard’s She Is a Lioness was somehow covered in the nightcap for the whole $320,000. Favored Margaret Lilian came through in the finale with Desert Bliss, my other longish notion for the day, a closing but distant 2nd at 13-1. So as a result, there will be a jackpot of 1/3 of a million drawing attention away from the Pimlico card Friday and I would think you can expect a rare NY sextet pool of more than $1,000,000.
Hope you did well Thursday and are armed for the C/O try and/or the Pimlico slate which itself boasts a $114k P5 satch.
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)
$320k P6 C/O starts here..
Most Likely: #6 Dylan Dangerous 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #3 Missle Nick 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Lone Star Gold 2-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Five Card Draw 10-1 2nd
5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)
This is a minefield. Would love to include #10 Out of Your Mind (6-1), but is trying that less-than-impactful turf turnback..
Best Value: #2 Plainview 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Departures 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Et Al 7-2 7th
Super Add: #4 Holy Crusader 10-1 9th
6th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Not a lot to sink your teeth into here either..
Most Likely: #5 Simply Stunning 6-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Loblolly Pine 10-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Pogonia 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Sunday to Remember 7-2 2nd
7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)
Just how much can you depend on Touch of Revenge? Will be a single on many tix in this rag tag assembly. This would be a helluva spot for 0-for-42 City Vice (7yo) to break her maiden, wouldn’t it? Believe it or not, her ’11 turf sprints are competitive here.. WON ($42.20)
Most Likely: #12 Touch of Revenge 7-5 5th
Best Value: #8 Blazing Arches 10-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Sweetest Peach 20-1 10th
8th: OC/C, 3+, 9f-IT (DD)
Most Likely: #1e Ribaudo entry 2-1 4th/6th
Next Best: #2 Belo Action 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Freshman Dorm 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Hyper 7-2 WON ($7.40)
9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)
Best Value: #9 Shalangar 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Modest 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Tapaway 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #1 Pervis 30-1 2nd
<$150 P6 Play:
4: 6
5: 2-9
6: 2-5-7
7: 8-10-12
8: 1
9: 1-5-7-9
1x2x4x3x1x4 = 72 x $2 = $144
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 2-5-7
7: 6-8-10-12
8: 1-2-6
9: 1-5-7-9
3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
PIMLICO RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES
NOTE: .50 P4’s, P3’s & Trifectas, .10 Supers available throughout card..
5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3)
#2 (POE) Imoratas (Ghostzapper), a half to MGSW on turf My Princess Jess, makes turf debut and other half of entry no doorknob either..
Most Likely: #2e Corrales-Stronach entry 7-2 9th/12th
Best Value: #3 Wingo Star 12-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Shimmering Forest 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Moving West 5-1 6th
6th: 19th Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P3)
It’s Me Mom always tough but she’ll have some front end company..
SCR’S of Red’s Round Table and Romantic Cuvee..
Most Likely: #4 Bold Affair 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #7 It’s Me Mom 8-5 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Afleet Lass 8-1 3th
7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3)
Most Likely: #4 Emma’s Kiss 4-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Seeyouinthetown 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Queen Chatanika 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Nuit de Chance 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #14 Shanana 30-1 4th
8th: 27th Miss Preakness, 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3)
$115k P5 C/O starts here..
SCR: #6 Gypsy Robin ran Tuesday — and won — at Presque Isle and Singlet is out too..
Most Likely: #7 Agave Kiss 1-1 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #4 Millionreasonswhy 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Painted Woman 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Ageless 20-1 3rd
<$75 P4 Play:
5: 2-3-9-10
6: 4-5-7
7: 4-8-10-12
8: 2-4-7
4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
9th: 7th Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3)
As mentioned Thursday on ATR, #7 Super Chunky is one of the more juicy ideas on this afternoon’s slate..
Best Value: #7 Super Chunky 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Ben’s Cat 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Zeb 10-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Disco Dandy 12-1 7th
10th: 88th Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P3)
As much as I like Mamma Kimbo, she is going to be an outrageous underlay here. Welcome Guest looks like the horse to beat to me at a square price and I’m very fearful of Pletcher’s involvement here..
Best Value: #3 Welcome Guest 4-1 6th
Next Best: #7 In Lingerie 5-1 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Mamma Kimbo 6-5 4th
Super Add: #8 Wildcat’s Smile 10-1 3rd
11th: 13th Very One, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3)
Most Likely: #6 Inspired 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 High Quality 10-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Well Deserved 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Miss Oil 20-1 7th
12th: 42nd Pimlico Special (G2), 3+, 9.5f (Special-Preakness Double, Super Hi-5)
Hymm Book and Toby’s Corner will get a pace set up here and both will be priced fairly..
Most Likely: #3 Hymm Book 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Toby’s Corner 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Mission Impazible 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Endorsement 8-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #7 Yawanna Twist 12-1 7th
<$75 P5 Play:
8: 4-7
9: 2-7-9-10-11-12
10: 2-3-4-7
11: 6
12: 1-3-6
2x6x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
<$75 P4 Play:
9: 2-7-9-10-11-12
10: 2-3-4-7
11: 5-6
12: 1-3-6
6x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72