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Big balloons from hardly improbable results Wednesday..

Thursday, March 7th, 2013

Late sextet sequence Wednesday at GP had 4 low priced results — all between 5-2 and 7-2 — and a pair of $30 winners. While that would make you think things were seemingly hittable, the multis proved tricky and paid great with returns of $5,071 (P4), $7,600 (P5) and $13,883 (P6)! While willing to use $29 nightcap winner Chia Spice (Best Value 3rd choice) in the P4 play, it was the kind of day where $6.40 Maracuya and $7.60 Heart and Pride eluded me in the pair of MSW events that began the skien. As I said to Johnny D, it felt like a day that had potential to be lucrative, but the way in which it played out to arrive at its’ generosity was different than anticipated. At least it was to me. Hope you did OK. Some good racing at Hallandale again Thursday including the 2nd start of Calistoga (4th)..

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T/24′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dark Cove 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Right One 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Workin for Hops 8-1 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Nineinthenine 6-1 7th

4th: OC/C, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Calistoga 6-5? Will be 2-5..

Most Likely: #7 Calistoga 6-5 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #2 Crumb 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Pow Wow Wow 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Putyourdreamswaway 6-1 5th

5th: CLM/N1Y, F&M-4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$308,418 Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Most Likely: #3 Lady of Samaria 3-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Political Miss 2-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Meadow Touch 5-1 WON ($13.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Zeffee 6-1 3rd

6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 5f-T/84′ (P5, P3, DD)

Tough group to decipher. Watch board for clues to start your P5. Pedigree notes for the firsters include Quintile (Langfuhr) being a half to turf route stake winner Solvig (Caerleon); Naughty Nightie (Red Giant) a half to Anak Nakal (Victory Gallop); Street Trick (Street Sense) a half to Hierro (Hard Spun)..

Best Value: #10 Pepper Ridge 8-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Coarsegold 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Naughty Nightie 6-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Gotcha Good 4-1 6th

7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Absolutcat 10-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Leave It to Bern 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Moonstock 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Vero’s Hero 3-1 WON ($5.40)

8th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 11f-T/24′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Aigue Marine 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #4 Thislilsoulofmine 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Turns My Head 4-1 4th

9th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T/84′ (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Formative 3-1 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #6 Eulonia 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Kibosh 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Parranda 10-1 3rd

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Baby Gitana 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Mary Cole 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Fip Flap 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Mrs. Sinatra 3-1 WON ($7.20)

<$30 P6 Play:

5: 3-4-9
6: 5-8-9-10-12
7: 2-9
8: 1
9: 2-6
10: 1-2-4-8-9

3x5x2x1x2x5 = 300 x .10 = $30.00

<$50 P5 Play:

6: 5-8-9-10-12
7: 2-9
8: 1
9: 2-6
10: 1-2-4-8-9

5x2x1x2x5 = 100 x .50 = $50

$0.50 Pick 5 (12,13,14,15,16/4,13,14/1,7,9/2,5,10,13/2) Paid $2.40 (4OF5) x 2 = $4.80

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-4-9-10
8: 1-4
9: 2-6-9
10: 1-2-4-8-9

5x2x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

$0.50 Pick 4 (4,13,14/1,7,9/2,5,10,13/2) Paid $25.00

Quirky MDN races make Gulfstream tricky

Wednesday, March 6th, 2013

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-T/84′ (P6, P3, DD)

$262,140 Rainbow 6 Jackpot starts here..

Favored pair have plenty going for them but Run Austin Run (12-1) worth a look in second start moving to lawn and stretching out. Wildcat Heir progeny under the radar on grass

Most Likely: #1 Third Martini 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Fort Morgan 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Run Austin Run 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Mecke Mantle 10-1 10th

6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Real Estate SCR’D (cross-entered for Friday’s 4th) returns for O/B Peter Blum and Mr. Jerkens after 4.5 years on shelf. Won the Moseley at Suffolk when last seen. Working well including well received blowout Sunday per Mike Welsch. There is a lot of speed signed up for this..

Best Value: #4 Storm Clouds Ahead 10-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Spin Zone 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Kaleidosound 3-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Haverhill 6-1 WON ($7.40)

7th: MSW, 3yo, 5f-T/24′ (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Silver Value 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Best Man 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Shore Runner 4-1
Exotics Use: #1 Heart and Pride 6-1 WON ($7.40)

8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Sketchy group..

Best Value: #6 Resolute Babe 6-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Andele 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Miss Moonshine 4-1 7th
Super Add:#1e Amerman entry 6-1 2nd/4th

9th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 9f-T/84′ (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Rapacious 4-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Attendant 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Hampstead Heath 5-1 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Film Making 6-1 3rd

10th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Rough group..

Most Likely: #7 Devil’s Joy 3-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Raglin River 6-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Chia Spice 12-1 WON ($29.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Corinthia 8-1 8th

<$50 P5 Play:

6: 2-4-6-9
7: 5
8: 1-3-4-6
9: 2-5-9
10: 7-8

4x1x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-5-10
8: 1-3-4-6
9: 2-5-9
10: 4-6-7-8

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

P4 score helps bankroll for huge Saturday

Saturday, March 2nd, 2013

Good Friday fell short of being a great Friday leaving 4th choice Oliver’s Tale off the Santa Anita C/O P5 play, a $4,800 miscue, but come into the weekend well ahead thanks to the $822 P4 and other assorted nicely priced winners and multis throughout the day. In New York, thought I was in position to nab 5 of 6 conso and a little P4, but 30-1 Barrera firster Shaunna Alexandra upended those hopes and tripped a $113k double C/O into Saturday’s fun Gotham card. Nick Canani and I had a chuckle after $12.00 Visionary Man ran down 4-5 Late Starter in the Big A 7th after I had told him on ATR he wasn’t sneaking the 10-1 ML runner past anyone. Rajiv Maragh got his first win since being injured with Visionary Man, while a hook-up with Villanesca and streaking Flying Zealous was worth $325 ($1).

Hope everyone did well. In addition to the NY carryover, there is a $94k P5 jackpot at Gulfstream and the Rainbow 6 is back up to $154k.

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: NY-OC/N1X, 4+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$113k Double P6 C/O starts here..

Good start to the sextet. Master Cip doesn’t have to stretch out successfully and may get company..

Best Value: #1 Big City Boy 8-1 (A) 5th
Next Best: #4 Master Cip 6-5 (A) 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Late SCR
Super Add: #8 Take a Walk 15-1 (C) 6th

7th: 73rd Top Flight H. (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Consensus is that if Summer Applause can gather herself back to her best sophomore form, she’ll top this set. However, at least 4 of these are as good on paper as her, including 3 (Twice the Lady, Royal Lahaina, Withgreatpleasure) that have never been off the board on the AQU Inner Track (Combined 9/3-5-1). Not a clear cut event..

Most Likely: #4 Summer Applause 5-2 (A) WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #7 Withgreatpleasure 8-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #1 Twice the Lady 5-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Sisterly Love 3-1 (C) 5th

8th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Dark Roast 8-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #1e Klaravich entry 9-5 (A) WON/6th
Exotics Use: #2 Sneaky Freud 5-2 (B) 5th
Super Add: #10 Gentle Jim 30-1 (C) 11th

9th: 38th Tom Fool H. (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Interestingly, in an era of lower figs, the Tom Fool owns a Beyer Index of 111 with recent winners like Calibrachoa (111, 107), Munnings (111) & Lucky Island (114). That gets you thinking about consistent speed and what Comma to the Top may bring to the table. Under Rosario, a brilliant front end rider, Comma to the Top may very well get away with what will be soft early tickings for him. Unless Head Heart Hoof is able to engage him early, Comma to the Top won’t be caught. Fun edition of this and a good harbinger of what lies ahead for the Carter and Met Mile..

Most Likely: #2 Comma to the Top 3-1 (A) WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #6 Consortium 8-1 (B) 4th
Next Best: #10 Smash 7-2 (B) 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Saturday’s Charm 10-1 (B) 2nd
Super Add: #1 Be Bullish 20-1 (C) 6th

10th: 61st Gotham (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Bulky assembly for this Wood Memorial prequel and as with Hansen a year ago, favorite (Overanalyze) draws widest heightening vulnerability thoughts. Gate slot may not be death knell for Dixie Union colt as long as Johnny finds comfortable stalking slot without losing too much ground into first turn. Several mix and match players from the Jerome and Withers are signed on with Amerigo Vespucci (20-1) and Siete de Oros (15-1) the most inviting prices and Vyjack (3-1) and Escapefromreality (6-1) plenty capable. Several graded stakes scene newcomers dive in today with Ore Pass (12-1) seemingly putting the pieces together on time for Trombetta and KMc emerging with 8-1 players Transparent (Darley) and Elnaawi (Shadwell). Would not have paid a lot of attention to Casse/Oxley’s Sky Captain (8-1) until noting that Miguel Mena bypasses a day of mounts at Fair Grounds to visit New York. He then flies to Houston for Su Casa G Casa in the Sprint Cup tonight. Absolutely wild betting affair even if you don’t choose to try and beat Overanalyze..

Best Value: #3 Escapefromreality 6-1 (A) 9th
Next Best: #11 Overanalyze 5-2 (A) 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Vyjack 3-1 (A) WON ($6.70)

“C’s”: #4 Ore Pass 12-1 11th; #5 Amerigo Vespucci 20-1 7th; #8 Elnaawi 8-1 (C) 3rd

11th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f

Yikes… Everything that goes right ahead of this could be for naught with a deep, competitive N2L to close afternoon out. Could see 9 or 10 of these winning..

Most Likely: #1 Rock Star Charlie 7-2 (A) WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #8 Superiority 12-1 (B) 6th
Next Best: #3 Tough All Day 8-1 (B) 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Ambassador Bridge 15-1 (C) 2nd

<$200 P6 Play:

6: 1-4-6/SCR
7: 4-7
8: 1-8
9: 2
10: 3-7-11
11: 1-8

3x2x2x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

$2 Pick 6 2-4/6-1-2-7-1/2/7/9 (5 correct) $50.00 x 3 = $150.00

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-2-8
9: 2-3-6-10
10: 3-7-11
11: 1-3-8-10

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (1-2-7-1/2/7/9) $48.00

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T/72′ (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Dangerous Lad 6-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Lemon View 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Hurry Up Alan 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Rock in Bage 8-1 6th

7th:OC/N2X, 4+, 11f-T/12′ (P5, P3, DD)

$94k P5 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #1 Change of Command 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Exclusive Strike 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Treasury Devil 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #8 Lucky Chappy 3-1 5th

8th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 To the Stars 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Honduran 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #11 Dyker Beach 7-2 7th
Super Add: #1 (POE) Speechmaker 6-1 4th/2nd

9th: 28th Herecomesthebride (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T/72′ (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Coffee Clique 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Tuttipaesi 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Tokyo Time 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Caroline Thomas 4-1 5th

10th: 30th Swale (G3), 3yo, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #12 Res Judicata 8-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Forty Tales 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Gombey Dancer 4-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Clearly Now 15-1 WON ($16.00)

11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m-T/12′ (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Starship Universe 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Fava 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Party Judge 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Razzleberry 6-1 WON ($16.20)

<$50 P5 Play:

7: 1-5-6-8
8: 2-6
9: 3-6-8
10: 10-12
11: 1-10

4x2x3x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-6
9: 3-6-8
10: 3-5-6-10-12
11: 1-2-4-7-8

2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

SANTA ANITA PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: 3rd Baffle, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Rosengold 8-1 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #5 Procurement 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Amarish 4-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Will True Up 8-1 2nd

6th: 31st Las Virgenes (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Fiftyshadesofhay 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Beholder 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Lady Asano 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Heir Kitty 6-1 4th

7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 You Know I Know 5-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Kir 10-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Circle the Moon 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Power Foot 5-1 WON ($14.80)

8th: OC/N1X, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Terrific ALW group..

Best Value: #9 American Blend 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Sir Bond 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Zackn’mat 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Guidopanzini 6-1 6th

9th: 13th Kilroe Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Superb distillation of the big Arcadia field, plus the addition of well-bred-for-turf Fed Biz..

Most Likely: #3 Suggestive Boy 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #7 Wilkinson 9-2 7th
Next Best: #8 Mr. Commons 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Fed Biz 9-2 3rd

10th: 76th Santa Anita H. (G1), 4+, 10f (DD)

Superb and balanced group for the Big Cap, one of the sport’s most august events..

Best Value: #4 Called to Serve 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Ron the Greek 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Game On Dude 6-5 WON ($4.60)
Super Add: #10 Guilt Trip 6-1 5th

11th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Ooof.. Tough, deep finale with some hot-working firsters..

Most Likely: #5 Storm Power 6-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Airfoil 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Bad Behavior 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Bench Press 8-1 11th
Super Add: #12 Summer Exclusive 6-1 WON ($18.20)

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 6-8-9
9: 2-3-7-8
10: 1-4-9-10
11: 5-6-10

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

Carryovers on both coasts ahead of big weekend

Friday, March 1st, 2013

Bad horses win bad races and leaving 4th choice Lady Jarlyn off the P4 ticket at Aqueduct cost an $800 hit when Abel Lezcano got her past the predictably vulnerable 1-2 favorite Winds of Change. That was also enough to trip a $27k carryover for Friday’s playable slate. At Santa Anita, 26-1 Kessabtsi improbably wired the P5 ending/Late P4 opening 5th producing a P5 C/O of $227k and P6 jackpot of $44k. To quote Gus McCray, “So what’s keeping you?”..

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MSW, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD)

$27,110 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Funny Money 4-5 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #5 Ms. Starella 5-2 (B) 5th
Best Value: #3 Swift Taylor 8-1 (C) WON ($16.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Love is Key Kaz 50-1 (X) 4th

5th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Talent N Passion 3-5 (A) WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #7 Seven Dreams 8-1 (C) 5th
Next Best: #3 Agualinda 4-1 (C) 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Hoboken Honey 10-1 (X) 6th

6th: OC/C, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Mikey Likes It 2-1 (A) 7th
Best Value: #3 Villanesca 5-1 (B) WON ($14.40)
Next Best: #6 Centrique 3-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Hot Roots 10-1 (C) 6th

7th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Race seems trickier than 3-5 on Late Starter indicates. Visionary Man is a contender back to race on Boxing Day and gets injry returnee Maragh who was aboard..

Best Value: #3 Visionary Man 10-1 (A) WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #6 Late Starter 3-5 (A) 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Burned Bridges 12-1 (B) 6th
Super Add: #5 Grandpa Len 5-1 (C) 5th

8th: NY-OC/C, 4+, 6f (DD)

Another well-matched set..

Best Value: #5 Mineswept 5-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #3 Flying Zealous 7-2 (A) WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #2 Verbosity 3-1 (B) 2nd
Super Add: #1 Won Great Classic 2-1 (B) 5th

9th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 6f

Most Likely: #8 Gravitate 8-5 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #6 Madre Ditutticapi 5-1 (A) 7th
Next Best: #2 Bounty Pink 9-5 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Southside Sis 6-1 (C) 4th

<$200 P6 Play:

4: 5-6
5: 2
6: 1-3-6
7: 1-3-6
8: 3-5
9: 6-8

2x1x3x3x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-6
7: 1-3-6
8: 1-2-3-5
9: 2-5-6-8

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$226,901 P5 C/O starts here..

Top tab #2 One World a SCR..

Best Value: #6 I Run for Fun 5-1 (A) WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #3 Broadway Nika 7-2 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Valentine Boy 8-5 (B) 2nd
Super Add: #5 Sun’s Out 3-1 (C) 5th

2nd: MSW, 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Tweeted last night while capping that I’m interested to see 4yo Pegram homebred Caveman Keno debut here for Baffert. The Roman Ruler 4yo is a half to the owner/trainer’s 3yo Governor Charlie who made his own splashy bow a fortnight ago..

Best Value: #6 Incline Village 9-2 (A) 5th
Next Best: #1 Wild Media 5-2 (A) 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Candy’s Jewel 3-1 (B) 4th
Super Add: #5 Oliver’s Tale 4-1 (B) WON ($15.40)

3rd: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Grand Giant 2-1 (A) 4th
Best Value: #10 Dr. Spin 10-1 (A) WON ($23.00)
Next Best: #7 Wild Student 5-1 (B) 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Gentleman Pete 8-1 (C) 3rd

4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Top tab #6 Latin Lashes a SCR..

Mosr Likely: #9 Roll Your Eyes 7-2 (A) 7th
Next Best: #2 Rossi Reserrve 4-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Memo to Kathy 4-1 (B) WON ($12.00)
Super Add: #8 Magic Mama 5-1 (C) 3rd

5th: Cal-MSW, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Puff Pastry 9-5 (A) WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #2 Sidepocket Run 4-1 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Hanserella 4-1 (B) 2nd
Super Add: #4 Gia Is a Bella 8-1 (C) 5th

<$75 P5 Play:

1: 1-3-6
2: 1-6
3: 1-10
4: 2-7-9
5: 2-4-9-10

3x2x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-5-6
3: 1-7-10
4: 2-7-9
5: 2-4-9-10

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (5/10/7/7,10,11) Paid $822.10

Bi-coastal P4’s intrigue after nice GP hit

Thursday, February 28th, 2013

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Cross Gate 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Economic Forecast 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Artist Colony 5-2 WON ($8.70)
Super Add: #1 Baltic Coast 12-1 5th

7th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

20-1 a crazy ML on Patriotic Duty whose maidenbreaker 2 back fits with the best of this group. Style works too in race with no shortage of speed. May not win, but can be key to nice returns in well-matched affair..

Best Value: #6 Patriotic Duty 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Siero 2-1 WON ($3.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Tweet Me 5-2 2nd

8th: OC/C, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

Favored Expression (2-1) reacted negatively off career best two back and returns from another big effort on short rest. Race has makings for a scramble. Thisizsparta, another 20-1 shot, goes first time as 4yo off layoff. Gets 7# break and will be closing..

Most Likely: #4 Sacred Success 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Thisizsparta 20-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Ann’s Smart Dancer 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 McCarren Park 6-1 WON ($7.90)

9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Winds of Change 1-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Miss Conception 4-1 5th
Best Value: #6 T C Lane 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2b Lady Jarlyn 12-1 WON ($45.00)

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-7
7: 6-7-8
8: 1-2-4-6-7
9: 4-6-7

3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: S/ALW, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Baby Blake 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Maverick’s Gun 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Sanibel Sid 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Keyboard Courage 5-1 9th

6th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Chicsdigtheshark 4-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Island Sunset 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Macho Dorado 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Mel’s Game 7-2 won ($7.40)

7th: OC/N3X, 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #5 Wilyconker 5-1 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #6 Tigah 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Temple’s Door 5-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Causeithertz 2-1 3rd

8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Primed and Ready 5-2 9th
Best Value: #10 Majestic Desert 8-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Zippingaroundtown 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Warren’s Tyler S. 4-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #9 A Thousand Aces 8-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 6-7-10
6: 6-7-8
7: 1-5-6-7-8
8: 2-10-11

3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50