P4 score helps bankroll for huge Saturday
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Good Friday fell short of being a great Friday leaving 4th choice Oliver’s Tale off the Santa Anita C/O P5 play, a $4,800 miscue, but come into the weekend well ahead thanks to the $822 P4 and other assorted nicely priced winners and multis throughout the day. In New York, thought I was in position to nab 5 of 6 conso and a little P4, but 30-1 Barrera firster Shaunna Alexandra upended those hopes and tripped a $113k double C/O into Saturday’s fun Gotham card. Nick Canani and I had a chuckle after $12.00 Visionary Man ran down 4-5 Late Starter in the Big A 7th after I had told him on ATR he wasn’t sneaking the 10-1 ML runner past anyone. Rajiv Maragh got his first win since being injured with Visionary Man, while a hook-up with Villanesca and streaking Flying Zealous was worth $325 ($1).
Hope everyone did well. In addition to the NY carryover, there is a $94k P5 jackpot at Gulfstream and the Rainbow 6 is back up to $154k.
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: NY-OC/N1X, 4+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)
$113k Double P6 C/O starts here..
Good start to the sextet. Master Cip doesn’t have to stretch out successfully and may get company..
Best Value: #1 Big City Boy 8-1 (A) 5th
Next Best: #4 Master Cip 6-5 (A) 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Late SCR
Super Add: #8 Take a Walk 15-1 (C) 6th
7th: 73rd Top Flight H. (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)
Consensus is that if Summer Applause can gather herself back to her best sophomore form, she’ll top this set. However, at least 4 of these are as good on paper as her, including 3 (Twice the Lady, Royal Lahaina, Withgreatpleasure) that have never been off the board on the AQU Inner Track (Combined 9/3-5-1). Not a clear cut event..
Most Likely: #4 Summer Applause 5-2 (A) WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #7 Withgreatpleasure 8-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #1 Twice the Lady 5-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Sisterly Love 3-1 (C) 5th
8th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #8 Dark Roast 8-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #1e Klaravich entry 9-5 (A) WON/6th
Exotics Use: #2 Sneaky Freud 5-2 (B) 5th
Super Add: #10 Gentle Jim 30-1 (C) 11th
9th: 38th Tom Fool H. (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Interestingly, in an era of lower figs, the Tom Fool owns a Beyer Index of 111 with recent winners like Calibrachoa (111, 107), Munnings (111) & Lucky Island (114). That gets you thinking about consistent speed and what Comma to the Top may bring to the table. Under Rosario, a brilliant front end rider, Comma to the Top may very well get away with what will be soft early tickings for him. Unless Head Heart Hoof is able to engage him early, Comma to the Top won’t be caught. Fun edition of this and a good harbinger of what lies ahead for the Carter and Met Mile..
Most Likely: #2 Comma to the Top 3-1 (A) WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #6 Consortium 8-1 (B) 4th
Next Best: #10 Smash 7-2 (B) 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Saturday’s Charm 10-1 (B) 2nd
Super Add: #1 Be Bullish 20-1 (C) 6th
10th: 61st Gotham (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)
Bulky assembly for this Wood Memorial prequel and as with Hansen a year ago, favorite (Overanalyze) draws widest heightening vulnerability thoughts. Gate slot may not be death knell for Dixie Union colt as long as Johnny finds comfortable stalking slot without losing too much ground into first turn. Several mix and match players from the Jerome and Withers are signed on with Amerigo Vespucci (20-1) and Siete de Oros (15-1) the most inviting prices and Vyjack (3-1) and Escapefromreality (6-1) plenty capable. Several graded stakes scene newcomers dive in today with Ore Pass (12-1) seemingly putting the pieces together on time for Trombetta and KMc emerging with 8-1 players Transparent (Darley) and Elnaawi (Shadwell). Would not have paid a lot of attention to Casse/Oxley’s Sky Captain (8-1) until noting that Miguel Mena bypasses a day of mounts at Fair Grounds to visit New York. He then flies to Houston for Su Casa G Casa in the Sprint Cup tonight. Absolutely wild betting affair even if you don’t choose to try and beat Overanalyze..
Best Value: #3 Escapefromreality 6-1 (A) 9th
Next Best: #11 Overanalyze 5-2 (A) 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Vyjack 3-1 (A) WON ($6.70)
“C’s”: #4 Ore Pass 12-1 11th; #5 Amerigo Vespucci 20-1 7th; #8 Elnaawi 8-1 (C) 3rd
11th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f
Yikes… Everything that goes right ahead of this could be for naught with a deep, competitive N2L to close afternoon out. Could see 9 or 10 of these winning..
Most Likely: #1 Rock Star Charlie 7-2 (A) WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #8 Superiority 12-1 (B) 6th
Next Best: #3 Tough All Day 8-1 (B) 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Ambassador Bridge 15-1 (C) 2nd
<$200 P6 Play:
6: 1-4-6/SCR
7: 4-7
8: 1-8
9: 2
10: 3-7-11
11: 1-8
3x2x2x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
$2 Pick 6 2-4/6-1-2-7-1/2/7/9 (5 correct) $50.00 x 3 = $150.00
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 1-2-8
9: 2-3-6-10
10: 3-7-11
11: 1-3-8-10
3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
$0.50 Pick 4 (1-2-7-1/2/7/9) $48.00
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T/72′ (P6, P3, DD)
Best Value: #4 Dangerous Lad 6-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Lemon View 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Hurry Up Alan 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Rock in Bage 8-1 6th
7th:OC/N2X, 4+, 11f-T/12′ (P5, P3, DD)
$94k P5 C/O starts here..
Best Value: #1 Change of Command 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Exclusive Strike 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Treasury Devil 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #8 Lucky Chappy 3-1 5th
8th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #6 To the Stars 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Honduran 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #11 Dyker Beach 7-2 7th
Super Add: #1 (POE) Speechmaker 6-1 4th/2nd
9th: 28th Herecomesthebride (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T/72′ (P3, DD)
Best Value: #6 Coffee Clique 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Tuttipaesi 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Tokyo Time 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Caroline Thomas 4-1 5th
10th: 30th Swale (G3), 3yo, 7f (DD)
Best Value: #12 Res Judicata 8-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Forty Tales 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Gombey Dancer 4-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Clearly Now 15-1 WON ($16.00)
11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m-T/12′ (Super Hi-5)
Most Likely: #1 Starship Universe 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Fava 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Party Judge 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Razzleberry 6-1 WON ($16.20)
<$50 P5 Play:
7: 1-5-6-8
8: 2-6
9: 3-6-8
10: 10-12
11: 1-10
4x2x3x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 2-6
9: 3-6-8
10: 3-5-6-10-12
11: 1-2-4-7-8
2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
SANTA ANITA PARK
PRE-SCRATCHES
5th: 3rd Baffle, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 Rosengold 8-1 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #5 Procurement 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Amarish 4-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Will True Up 8-1 2nd
6th: 31st Las Virgenes (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2 Fiftyshadesofhay 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Beholder 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Lady Asano 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Heir Kitty 6-1 4th
7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2 You Know I Know 5-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Kir 10-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Circle the Moon 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Power Foot 5-1 WON ($14.80)
8th: OC/N1X, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)
Terrific ALW group..
Best Value: #9 American Blend 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Sir Bond 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Zackn’mat 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Guidopanzini 6-1 6th
9th: 13th Kilroe Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)
Superb distillation of the big Arcadia field, plus the addition of well-bred-for-turf Fed Biz..
Most Likely: #3 Suggestive Boy 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #7 Wilkinson 9-2 7th
Next Best: #8 Mr. Commons 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Fed Biz 9-2 3rd
10th: 76th Santa Anita H. (G1), 4+, 10f (DD)
Superb and balanced group for the Big Cap, one of the sport’s most august events..
Best Value: #4 Called to Serve 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Ron the Greek 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Game On Dude 6-5 WON ($4.60)
Super Add: #10 Guilt Trip 6-1 5th
11th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)
Ooof.. Tough, deep finale with some hot-working firsters..
Most Likely: #5 Storm Power 6-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Airfoil 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Bad Behavior 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Bench Press 8-1 11th
Super Add: #12 Summer Exclusive 6-1 WON ($18.20)
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 6-8-9
9: 2-3-7-8
10: 1-4-9-10
11: 5-6-10
3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72