Breeders Cup Friday Thoughts

[The Indomitable DrugS]

I thought Court Vision had a wonderful setup and perfect trip in the Woodbine Mile win. I liked him more than The Usual QT going into that race - but I actually thought that The Usual QT ran the better race of the two that day and the outcome didn't reflect that ... so that's basically why I'm not using Court Vision and will be using The Usual QT.

This is one of the funniest Breeders Cup's I ever remember from a handicapping and betting standpoint.

I'm so used to having such strong convictions for these races because I follow all regions and circuits closely all year long. It's not like you can have those strong convictions any more - mostly because of synthetic surfaces. Only a complete fool can have strong convictions about a single horse winning in some of these races.

It's actually A LOT easier to handicap these BC cards on synthetic. It's basically synthetic form versus turf form - the Euro's are a lot stronger - and toss the dirt horses - especially the ones with speed. It's dizzying when it's on dirt.

You got the 19% takeout on super's and pick 4's at Churchill - and a lot of the biggest and better bettors are really just regional guys - so sharpies can become dopes on days like this. It's going to be interesting to see how some of these races are bet.