136th Kentucky Oaks (PP's)

[dalakhani]

I like ailalea if the price is right. I think she had valid excuses in both of those losses this year. She is bred to go this trip and there could be some pace.

What do you guys think her price will be?

[Gaining Ground]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

I like ailalea if the price is right. I think she had valid excuses in both of those losses this year. She is bred to go this trip and there could be some pace.

What do you guys think her price will be?

what are the valid excuses besides being a little wide early last time?

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by Gaining Ground

what are the valid excuses besides being a little wide early last time?

She was way wide (like 6-8 wide on both turns) at fair grounds which was not the place to be for most of the meet. I think Drugs put some pretty interesting stats up (i will have to find them) about how hard it was to win being wide there. On top of that, i don't know if she wanted to be that close up going two turns. Regardless, she still only lost by 5 lengths.

[Gaining Ground]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

She was way wide (like 6-8 wide on both turns) at fair grounds which was not the place to be for most of the meet. I think Drugs put some pretty interesting stats up (i will have to find them) about how hard it was to win being wide there. On top of that, i don't know if she wanted to be that close up going two turns. Regardless, she still only lost by 5 lengths.

she wasnt 6-8 wide on both turns. i get that she will probably be more effective off the pace. but she seemed pretty headstrong last time.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by Gaining Ground

she wasnt 6-8 wide on both turns. i get that she will probably be more effective off the pace. but she seemed pretty headstrong last time.

How wide would you say she was?

[Gaining Ground]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

How wide would you say she was?

4 wide 1st turn, maybe 4 or 5 wide 2nd turn.

the other negative to me is she was one of the only pletcher stakes horses not really running well the last few months. ive probably talked her into the win here so good luck with your oaks wagers.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by Gaining Ground

4 wide 1st turn, maybe 4 or 5 wide 2nd turn.

the other negative to me is she was one of the only pletcher stakes horses not really running well the last few months. ive probably talked her into the win here so good luck with your oaks wagers.

good luck to you as well. Blind Luck will be tough to beat.

[the_fat_man]

It's no secret that I think Blind Luck is very good. She's shown the ability to run against the setup, something none of the other fillies in the race have demonstrated. In fact, there are quite a few that need a perfect setup to win.

If I didn't know that Blind Luck was so good, I'd bet Tidal Pool off her last race. Off that race, she's the play as she got the worst of it and Blind Luck got a perfect trip. The problem, of course, is that Blind Luck has shown she can run over horses when she doesn't get the setup in her favor.