Who will be the "wise guy" horse 5/3???

[The Indomitable DrugS]

I think Monba and Tale of the Ekati have a much better shot at splitting the field than Adriano.

Adriano is one of the toughest reads, probably even the single toughest read for me in the race - if he runs 16th I wouldn't be shocked..and if he's in the exacta I wouldn't be totally shocked.

Can he win? I only say it's not impossible because I'm not entirely convinced I know where his ceiling is..and this is unquestionably a low rated Derby field.