Superb slate for Stars/Stripes Festival at Belmont
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Bit of an agonizing P6 beat Friday with goofily contested Perfect Sting tripping up the play. Still, some good pops through the fun sequence including ATR value play pushes The Ghost Bride ($17.60) and Bold Print ($11.80). Hope everyone did well..
A pretty special first half of the year with a great 2nd act seemingly on the doorstep. Vacation technically underway until 7/13, but Belmont Stars and Stripes work done, so here it is. Happy 4th of July Weekend to all!
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)
Fun, quirky lineup with Ready for Rye trying lawn and seemingly the controlling speed. Won’t be surprised if Maker barn doesn’t improve Bad Hombre..
Most Likely: #7 Ready for Rye 5-2 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #9 Bad Hombre 12-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Cabo Cat 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Barrel of Love 12-1 2nd
6th: 13th Victory Ride (G3), 3yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)
Interesting cast for this and Super Saks will be loose up front unless Promise Me Silver engages. Enchanting Lady and Miss Ella have classy edge and Irish Jasper has continued to improve while building 8/5-0-1 mark to little fanfare. Kathballu showed improvement in last, followed it up with sharp bullet ahead of this and could contend at a big price..
Most Likely: #2 Enchanting Lady 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Kathballu 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Miss Ella 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Irish Jasper 6-1 WON ($11.80)
7th: 98th Dwyer (G3), 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)
More complex than it looks with BC Juvenile winner making trip and MGSW 2yo Blofeld seemingly ready for his sophomore coming out party. Emerging Tommy Macho, Speighster and Smart Transition complicate matters with any and all of the trio poised for graded stakes debuts out of good efforts..
Best Value: #1 Blofeld 7-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Speightster 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Texas Red 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #7 Smart Transition 12-1 4th
8th: 66th Belmont Derby (G1), 3yo, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Trio from the Penine Ridge (Dividsidero, Takeover Target, Startup Nation) and pair from the Penn Mile (Force the Pass, Granny’s Kitten) headline this set with Bolo invading from California, Canndal from France and Postulation from Ireland. Divisidero never gets tired and the longer the races go, the better he is going to be… and he’s damn good now. Rafael Hernandez can win $1,250,000 Derby today and $1,000,000 Queen’s Plate (Shaman Ghost) tomorrow..
Most Likely: #4 Divisidero 4-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Postulation 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Startup Nation 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Bolo 7-2 DNF-Pulled Up
9th: 129th Suburban (G2), 4+, 10f (P3, DD)
Coach Inge will be isolated and dangerous out front if left to own devices. Tonalist doffs blinkers and should be relaxed but can’t be left with too much to do either. Mylute was sharp in 5yo debut and is first candidate to tackle stablemate..
Most Likely: #6 Tonalist 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Mylute 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Coach Inge 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Effinex 8-1 WON ($15.60)
10th: 37th Belmont Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 10f-IT (DD)
Lady Eli simply best anywhere and should be well positioned throughout..
Most Likely: #2 Lady Eli 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #10 Outstanding 6-1 3rd-DH
Best Value: #7 Consumer Credit 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #14 Strict Compliance 10-1 6th
11th: 8th Belmont Sprint Championship (G3), 3+, 7f
In some ways, the most intriguing of the stakes because there is a legitimate speed player to challenge Private Zone in Green Gratto as well as hard knocking Moonlight Song SCR’D as presser from outside. Clearly Now had throat surgery to solve breathing issues and Bay of Plenty (4/4 when paired with I. Ortiz) sneaking in under radar after troubled Met Mile. Stallwalkin’ Dude adjusts to any pace and The Big Beast SCR’D and C. Zee will be motoring late. Open finale to top notch race day..
Most Likely: #3 Private Zone 8-5 WON ($2.70)
Next Best: #5 Clearly Now 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Green Gratto 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 C. Zee 12-1 5th
P4 Grid:
8: 4-7 (A), 2-8 (B), 1-4-5-6-9 (C)
9: 6 (A), 2-3 (B), 5 (C)
10: 2 (A), 7-10 (B), 1-11-14 (C)
11: 3-5 (A), 4-6-7 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x5 = 180 x .50 = $90
Full (Below-A/B/C): $74 (With $1 All A and A’s with 1 B Plays) $59 for all .50 Plays
All A Entries
1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 6 with 2 with 3,5 – $4.00
A’s with One B
2 $1.00 pick P4: 2,8 with 6 with 2 with 3,5 – $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,3 with 2 with 3,5 – $8.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 6 with 7,10 with 3,5 – $8.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 6 with 2 with 4,6,7 – $6.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,8 with 2,3 with 2 with 3,5 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,8 with 6 with 7,10 with 3,5 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,8 with 6 with 2 with 4,6,7 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,3 with 7,10 with 3,5 – $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,3 with 2 with 4,6,7 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 6 with 7,10 with 4,6,7 – $6.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3,5,6,9 with 6 with 2 with 3,5 – $5.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 5 with 2 with 3,5 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 6 with 1,11,14 with 3,5 – $6.00
Total: $74.00
Good luck!
Steve