Festival Preview at TAM; 3 stakes at Arcadia

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BAY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

P5 may be too arduous to play for small money with this deep, well-matched group starting it..

Most Likely: #5 Stormy Pacific 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Examen 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Dramedy 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #13 Layton Register 7-2 9th

9th: 35th Suncoast, 3yo-F, 1m-40y (P4, P3, DD)

The endless parade of mediocrity in the sophomore filly ranks continues here..

Most Likely: #1 Irish Jasper 7-2 8th
Next Best: #3 Whimsicality 9-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Innovative Idea 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 A. P.’s Glory 8-1 6th

10th: 16th Endeavour (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Excellent cast for this early season turf test. As discussed on ATR with owner Covello, expect Testa Rossi to be more involved here. Also expect improvement from Hard Not to Like on move to Clement..

Most Likely: #1 Testa Rossi 3-1 WON-via DQ ($5.20)
Best Value: #11 Hard Not to Like 7-2 2nd-DQ’d from WIN
Next Best: #5 Principessa Ava 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 I’m Already Sexy 4-1 7th

11th: 35th Sam. F. Davis (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Fun edition of this typically mundane Tampa Bay Derby prep despite the fact that race was denied Kentucky Derby points. Rooting that Chad Stewart’s likeable Catalina Red continues to confirm bona fides but anticipate Josie Carroll’s Ami’s Flatter advances his classic credentials after excellent soph debut in dirt and stakes debut in Mucho Macho Man behind Bluegrass Singer (solid Holy Bull 3rd last week)..

Best Value: #3 Ami’s Flatter 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Catalina Red 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Ocean Knight 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #8 G Five 10-1 12th

12th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Penelope Perfect 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Lookout Raven 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Princess Mariah 9-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Stock Yard Hen 8-1 WON ($12.40)
Super/Hi-5: #6 See Trouble 6-1 2nd

P4 Grid:

9: 1-3 (A), 5-6 (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 1-11 (A), 5 (B), 4-6-7-12 (C)
11: 3 (A), 1-11 (B), 2-8-9 (C)
12: 2 (A), 1-4-9 (B), 6-9-10 (C)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Palos Verdes (G2), 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Secret Circle 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Wild Dude 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Distinctiv Passion 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Big Macher 5-2 5th

7th: 56th Arcadia (G2), 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Kaigun 5-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Za Approval 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Avanzare 4-1 WON ($13.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Edge of Reality 8-1 6th

8th: 33rd Las Virgenes (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #6 Majestic Presence 7-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Maybellene 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Callback 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #9 Miss Mandate 12-1 5th

9th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Rockin Robin 7-2 8th
Best Value: #2 Blue Law 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Just Kidding 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #10 Milton 10-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Steam Play 4-1 3rd

P4 Grid:

6: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-6 (C)
7: 4 (A), 8 (B), 2-5-9 (C)
8: 6 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-5-9 (C)
9: 2-7 (A), 9-10-11 (B), 3-12 (C)

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