Los Al Starlet, AQU & GP make for nice Saturday
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Very tricky start to quad with firsters from Jerkens & KMc and many within range that are coming off breaks, surface switches, et al..
Most Likely: #3 Wundahoeigothere 4-1 6th
Best Value: #9 D’ Kennesaw Cat 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Harp N Halo 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Skidmore 5-1 4th
7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Chapman 5-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Duval 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Oltre’ Oro 3-1 WON ($9.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Spartiatis 12-1 2nd
8th: 109th Queens County, 3+, 9f (DD)
Nice group for this. Concerned from pace standpoint that if Plainview doesn’t confront 15-1 Pletcher veteran Percussion, that one could wire. As long as there are honest fractions, Elnaawi (6-1), Vyjack (5-2), Stormin Monarcho (3-1) and the Repole entry (7-2) all demand respect. Blinkered Turco Bravo (10-1) has recent race that give him outside shot. Fun race..
Most Likely: #2 Elnaawi 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Stormin Monarcho 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Percussion 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Turco Bravo 10-1 5th
9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 6f
Most Likely: #3 Moonlight Fantasy 5-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Warm Heart 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Senso 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Lexsoya SCR
<$75 P4 Grid:
6: 3-9 (A), 5-7-8-10 (B), 2-4-6 (C)
7: 4-7 (A), 8 (B), 2-3-6 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 7 (B), 1-5-8-9 (C)
9: 3 (A), 9 (B), 4-10-12 (C)
Full (A/B/C): $73.00
Simple (A+B): 6x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A Entries
1 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 3 – $4.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,8,10 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 3 – $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 8 with 2,6 with 3 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 7 with 3 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 9 – $4.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,8,10 with 8 with 2,6 with 3 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,8,10 with 4,7 with 7 with 3 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,8,10 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 9 – $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 8 with 7 with 3 – $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 8 with 2,6 with 9 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 7 with 9 – $2.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,6 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 3 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 2,3,6 with 2,6 with 3 – $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 1,5,8,9 with 3 – $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 4,10,12 – $12.00
Total: $73.00
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
7th: MCLM/$75k, 2yo, 1m-T/84′ (P4, P3, DD)
Some very obvious players (3-6-8-9-14) but a few (5-11-12) under the radar with real chance..
Best Value: #11 Umberto 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Escondido 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Majestic Z 10-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Amazon King 9-2 4th
8th: 3rd El Prado, 3+, 7.5f-T/12′ (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #7 Mshawish 7-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #8 Midnight Cello 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Excaper 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Strong Impact 10-1 8th
9th: 4th Harlan’s Holiday, 3+, 8.5f (DD)
Most Likely: #8 Liam’s Map 7-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #2 Csaba 10-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Valid 3-12nd
Exotics Use: #4 Pants On Fire 2-1 3rd
10th: 10th South Beach, F&M-3+, 7.5f-T/12′ (Super Hi-5)
Most Likely: #6 Mabre Rose 5-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #1 Baffle Me 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Sassy Kitten 7-2 –
Exotics Use: #11 Tokyo Time 4-1 –
Super/Hi-5: #2 Red Minx 20-1 4th
<$75 P4 Grid:
7: 8-11 (A), 3-5-9-14 (B), 6-12 (C)
8: 7 (A), 1-8-9 (B), 3-6-11 (C)
9: 8 (A), – (B), 2-4-6-7 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 2-4-5-11 (B), 7-9 (C)
Full (A/B/C): $68.00 (With All A’s for $1) $1.00 Pick-4 (8/4,5,7/1,8/6) Paid $206.80
Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A Entries
1 $1.00 pick P4: 8,11 with 7 with 8 with 1,6 – $4.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,9,14 with 7 with 8 with 1,6 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 1,8,9 with 8 with 1,6 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 7 with 8 with 2,4,5,11 – $4.00
A’s with Two B’s
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,9,14 with 1,8,9 with 8 with 1,6 – $12.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,9,14 with 7 with 8 with 2,4,5,11 – $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 1,8,9 with 8 with 2,4,5,11 – $12.00
A’s with One C
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,12 with 7 with 8 with 1,6 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 3,6,11 with 8 with 1,6 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 7 with 2,4,6,7 with 1,6 – $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 7 with 8 with 7,9 – $2.00
Total: $68.00
LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE
PRE-SCRATCHES
8th: 34th Starlet (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)
Always a good final G1 for 2yo fillies, this first Los Al running of the Starlet carries Championship implications given circumstances around Take Charge Brandi. Her presence also makes it a terrific wagering opportunity as she will be heavily bet and is not notably ahead of the rest of the cast on paper. But if Take Charge Brandi goes unmolested in the first half of the race, she’ll likely wire this. Key to beating the Lukas-Horton chestnut will be early challenge from Don’t Blame Me and/or Feathered or others. Hollendorfer stretch-out Achiever’s Legacy can be forward if Van Dyke wants to gain position from the rail off the break and emergent Baffert-Bejarano Maybellene might also want to go with the favorite from her outside. All of this adds up to standing against Take Charge Brandi with an eye toward her or any stretch leader being particularly vulnerable to Danette. The ideal money-making scenario will be to hope the East to West ship doesn’t suit Feathered, as keeping her and Take Charge Brandi out of the money would supercharge the exotics..
Best Value: #3 Danette 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Achiever’s Legacy 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Majestic Presence 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Maybellene 5-1 3rd