Belmont week starts with $37k C/O
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)
Pacelessness adds layer of mystery to this group of mediocrities. After the obvious (2-4-6-7), Porvoo a goofy 30-1 player that is dropping in for tag after being run over her head in various ALW’s for ages. Gets weight break and rail and has numerous competitive races..
Most Likely: #2 Eddy’s Time 3-1
Next Best: #4 Barbara’s Smile 7-2
Best Value: #1 Porvoo 30-1
Exotics Use: #7 Casey Roo 5-2
5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)
Everything unfolds depending on what happens with Sweet Sway and Trail Walker up front. If they vie for lead, the stalkers benefit, but if one or the other gets away easy, everything goes up in the air..
Most Likely: #1 Bobby Jo 2-1
Best Value: #4 What the Frost 12-1
Next Best: #2 Mama Zee 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Trail Walker 6-1
6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Not convinced the obvious are the way to go here. Contessa’s ADK Posse a half to the good, fast 6x winner Too Tough Jake. May fire at first asking..
Most Likely: #3 Adirondack Posse 5-1
Best Value: #7 Black Friday Rush 12-1
Next Best: #1 Tiz a Chance 9-5
Exotics Use: #5 One Eyed Ray 3-1
Super Add: #4 Boldlee 7-2
7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)
If the pace players (5-7-8) gut each other, Castellano can pounce with Finding Candy..
Best Value: #3 Finding Candy 8-1
Next Best: #5 Groomedforvictory 5-1
Exotics Use: #8 Herbal Prospector 4-1
Super Add: #7 Big Town 7-2
8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD)
Best Value: #5 Here He Fitz 12-1
Next Best: #2 Groupthink 9-5
Exotics Use: #1 Bluegrass Flash 7-2
Super Add: #3 Here Comes Tommy 5-1
9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 2yo-F, 5.5f
Most Likely: #8 My Ellierose 4-1
Next Best: #9 Giant Hearted Lee 3-1
Best Value: #4 Writing 20-1
Exotics Use: #7 Captain Munnings 5-1
<$100 P6 Play:
4: 2-4
5: 1
6: 1-3-7
7: 3-5
8: 2-5
9: 8-9
2x1x3x2x2x2 = 48 X $2 = $96
$82 P4 Play:
6: 3-7 (A), 1 (B), 4-5 (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 8 (B), 7 (C)
8: 2-5 (A), 1 (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 8-9 (A), 4-7 (B), 3-5-6-10 (C)
All A’s
3,7/3,5/2,5/8,9 = 8.00
A’s with One B
1/3,5/2,5/8,9 = 4.00
3,7/8/2,5/8,9 = 4.00
3,7/3,5/1/8,9 = 4.00
3,7/3,5/2,5/4,7 = 8.00
A’s with Two B
1/8/2,5/8,9 = 1.00
1/3,5/1/8,9 = 2.00
1/3,5/2,5/4,7 = 4.00
3,7/8/1/8,9 = 2.00
3,7/8/2,5/4,7 = 4.00
3,7/3,5/1/4,7 = 4.00
A’s with One C
4,5/3,5/2,5/8,9 = 8.00
3,7/7/2,5/8,9 = 4.00
3,7/3,5/3,4/8,9 = 8.00
3,7/3,5/2,5/3,5,6,10 = 16.00
Total = $82.00
Good luck!
Steve