Prices fly sending Spa Carryover to stratosphere
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Crazy action at the Spa Thursday leaves $656k two day carryover on the table going into final Friday of the meet. The day started beautifully with $22 Best Value jump event winner Terpsichorean, and rolled through sweet $120 ($1) early P3 to BEST BET Tapitsfly in the third. But $40 Hennig-Dattt baby busted up the early quad while simultaneously burying many a P6 try. When 15-1 ML ‘Exotics Use’ Crossfirehurricane ($86.00) won the 7th at a ridiculous 42-1, another carryover was assured. Late P4 paid a remarkable $76k+, with tricky but not impossible horses Silver Reunion ($30.20) and McVictory ($20.40) with obvious West Ocean ($4.80).
Not to say the Pick 4 was going to be strung together easily, but the three big price winners were hardly ‘rank outsiders’. NYRA’s Andy Serling tabbed McVictory as his nightcap top choice and he suggested Silver Reunion as his third pick. I regularly include Ronny Werner babies in my selections based on his good work with early runners. Thoro-Graph Trainer Profile showed that Werner is hitting at 20% wins ($2.00 ROI), 55% ITM, with maiden claiming debuters. He was 15/1-5-3 over the last 90 days, and I thought Crossfirehurricane was atr least an exotics candidate.
Anyway, we all get another shot this afternoon with fun twilight action on tap in front of the mamouth closing weekend which includes Rachel Alexandra in the Woodward, the Forego, Spinaway, Saranac and Three Chimneys Hopeful. Let’s try to finish with a flourish!
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES (1:25pm)
1st: ALW/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1a (POE) Life at Ten 5-2
Next Best: #8 Mother Ruth 8-5
Best Value: #2 Acronym 6-1
Exotics Use: #9 Lisa B 20-1
2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #4 Wanted Alive 9-2
Most Likely: #7 Dixie Frolic 7-2
Next Best: #5 Justin 3-1
Super Add: #8 Futuristic 4-1
3rd: With Anticipation (Gr. III), 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)
Best Value: #3 Paddy O’Prado 8-1
Most Likely: #1a (POE) Strike the Tiger 3-1
Next Best: #7 Jung Man Scot 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Red Rally 4-1
4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #10 Precious Penny 12-1
Most Likely: #2 Bernie’s Pal 9-2
Next Best: #5 Lovely Lil 10-1
Super Add: #8 On the Best 15-1
5th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)
Best Value: #2b (POE) Big Jerome 6-1
Most Likely #4 Valtrus 3-1
Next Best: #9 Tiger Woodman 9-2
Exotics Use: #3 Tahoe Warrior 10-1
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 4-5-7-8
3: 1-3-7
4: 2-10
5: 2-4-9
4x3x2x3 = $72
6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Over the past 5 years, Linda Rice has sent only 19 firsters (all ages) over a mile on the grass winning once with Yankee Master (9/24/05). Overall, she is 19/1-0-1 with Zipolina third late in the Spa meet a year ago. Segregating 2yo’s, she is 9/1-0-1. With several interesting players from accomplished turf route conditioners signed on, this may be a spot to toss Rice..
Best Value: #2 (POE) Nurse Dolce 10-1
Most Likely: #6 Pearl River 3-1
Next Best: #4 Adriatic Magic 10-1
Exotics Use: #1 Breton Woods 5-1
7th: Voodoo Dancer, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)
Ridiculously competitive overnight stake..
Best Value: #8 Indescribable 6-1
Most Likely: #9 Savoir Bien 9-2
Next Best: #10 Colina Verde 6-1
Super Add: #1 Remarkable Remy 12-1
8th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)
Most Likely: #8 Iberian Gate 4-1
Next Best: #1 Thoroughly Holy 3-1
Best Value: #2 Catty Madeline 5-1
Exotics Use: #7 Linsalata 9-2
9th: NYB-OC/C, 3+, 11f-IT (Super)
Best Value: #1 Pegasian 8-1
Most Likely: #6 Quiet On the Tee 3-1
Next Best: #7 Tobruk 7-2
Super Add: #8 Gold Pageantry 12-1
$200 P6 Play:
4: 2-10
5: 2-4-9
6: 1-2-4-6
7: 8-9
8: 8
9: 1-6
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 1-2-3-4-5-6
7: 8-9-10
8: 8
9: 1-6-7-8
6x3x1x4 = $72
Good luck!
Steve