Spa and DMR near end with attractive carries
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Had largely exasperating afternoon Monday getting beat in early P4 despite being live to 6. Uggh. Did land very nice price on Urban Flight in the 8th for day’s best banker. Last week of somewhat grueling Spa meet upon us Wednesday, and fun carryover cards in NY and CA should keep us all entertained through 9pm tonight! Hope you’ve been doing well and enjoying ATR coverage as the summer season of live broadcasts from Carolina Barbecue wind down. Just 4 more days from the backyard before turning our attention towards the fall meets and Breeders’ Cup…
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Tremendous opener with half dozen fillies/mares within a length of each other on paper..
Most Likely: #6 Lost Without You 7-2
Best Value: #3 Eightyfive S 15-1
Next Best: #5 Strike the Bell 4-1
Super Add: #8 Tempest Storm 6-1
2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #2 Triple Glory 12-1
Most Likely: #3 Big Flirt 9-2
Next Best: #9 Kelode 6-1
Super Add: #8 Unbridled Cardinal 7-2
3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2 Headache 2-1
Next Best: #3 Matador Run
4th: Loudonville, F&M-3+, 6f (Pe, DD, Super)
SCR #2 Tar Heel Mom
Most Likely: #4 Fascinatin’ Rhythm 7-2
Best Value: #5 Choragus 6-1
Next Best: #7 J Z Warrior 3-1
Super Add: #1 Simplify 5-2
5th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Have to respect those that have started already, but of firsters, Pletcher (#6 Bonavento) is a ‘fast early’ Speightstown; Hough’s #2 Royal Stocks is a full to the SW Razor; #9 Roulette Winner (Rock Hard Ten) from Serpe is a half to Yes It’s True, while #8 Baatesh (Pulpit) is a KMc trainee that was a $400k Shadwell purchase, and half to Tazarine and SW Resplenency..
Most Likely: #3 Chief Council 5-2
Best Value: #1 Rein King 8-1
Next Best: #5 Fayoum 7-2
Super Add: #9 Roulette Winner 15-1
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 2-3
3: 2-3
4: 1-3-4-5-7-8
5: 1-3-5
2x2x6x3 = $72
6th: NYM-MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
ML top choices are lined up widest and are NO BETTER than the top pair starting out anyway.. Will play thick exactas with 2-4 and key off them in tri/super..
Most Likely: #2 American Land 5-1
Best Value: #4 Caterina’s Terms 15-1
Next Best: #7 Grace’s Valentine 2-1
Super Add: #8 Split Pot 5-2
7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Fascinating baby turf route.. Too many options..
Most Likely: #6 Senada 5-1
Best Value: #7 Limeheart 15-1
Next Best: #2 Orchestrator 3-1
Super Add: #1 (POE) Veil of Tears 8-1
8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Ziptronic 3-1
Best Value: #10 C T Chimes 20-1
Next Best: #1e Broman entry 7-2
Exotics Use: #7 Success Fee 8-1
9th: Lena Spencer, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)
Most Likely: #4 Smart and Fancy 3-1
Best Value: #1 Sly Storm 12-1
Next Best: #6 Ahvee’s Storm 7-2
10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)
Most Likely: #9 Monastir 3-1
Best Value: #2 Mr. Vantastic 9-2
Next Best: #3 Star of New York 7-2
Super Add: #6 One Diamond 15-1
[B][U]@$200 P6 Play:[/U][/B]
[I]Murderous sextet that could see elusive $10-$15 3rd/4th choice types win every leg..[/I]
5: 3
6: 2-4
7: 2-6-7
8: 3-10
9: 1-4-6
10: 2-3-9
1x2x3x2x3x3 = 108 x $2 = $216
[B][U]<$75 P4 Play:[/U][/B]
[I]Very tough sequence..[/I]
7: 2-6-7
8: 3-10
9: 1-4-6
10: 2-3-6-9
3x2x3x4 = $72
DEL MAR
PRE-SCRATCHES
4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Launch the Bull 5-2
Next Best: #1 The Whammer 3-1
Best Value: #2 Tropical Heat 15-1
Super Add: #3 Game A.P. 12-1
5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Cinnamon Dove 7-2
Best Value: #9 Spirited Lady 8-1
Next Best: #6 Moon O’er Cashel 4-1
Super Add: #10 Cassablanca 8-1
6th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Ur Turn Dubai 4-1
Best Value: #1 Scare Package 8-1
Next Best: #12 Buyer’s Remorse 5-2
Super Add: #11 Dust in Your Face 8-1
7th: Cal-bred OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #3 De Car Guy 12-1
Most Likely: #6 Adam Suances 3-1
Next Best: #4 The Usual Q. T. 5-2
Super Add: #2 Renegade Storm 8-1
8th: 17th Generous Portion, Cal-bred 2yo-F, 6f (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 La Nez 7-2
Best Value: #5 Royalty Gone Wild 9-2
Next Best: #6 Unbridled Meeting 5-2
Super Add: #4 Magic Yodeler 5-1
9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)
SCR: 6-7-13-14
Most Likely: #4 Hotsie 7-2
Best Value: #9 No Pun Intended 6-1
Next Best: #3 Jamieson 9-2
Exotics Use: #10 Eisenheim 5-1
High 5 Play: #2 Good Newsman 4-1
$150 P6 Play:
4: 1-4
5: 3-6-9
6: 1-7-12
7: 3-6
8: 3
9: 4-9
2x3x3x2x1x2 = $144
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 1-7-12
7: 2-3-4-6
8: 3
9: 2-3-4-5-9-10
3x4x1x6 = $72
Good luck!
Steve