Travers Day should break chalk’s hold at Spa
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: NY-OC/C, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)
Jeter and Brigand are the likeliest winners but after that, in a 13 horse field, you can have some fun..
Most Likely: #13 Brigand 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #11 Jeter 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Overextended 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Southbeachsandy 12-1 5th
2nd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
#13 (AE) Archwarrior is a highly heralded juvy that cannot seem to draw into the body of a field. Comes with a big backstory if in. The rest of this cast is slightly non-descript..
Most Likely: #4 Delhomme 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Honorable Dillon 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #8 Hot West 7-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Howie’s Tiz 8-1 3rd
3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 Chuckle 3-1 6th
Best Value: #9 O’Prado Ole 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Saint Viguer 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Slamarama 7-2 WON ($13.00)
4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Best Value: #4 One Pretty Cat 15-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Milkyyourway 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Cinematize 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Super Add: #15 SCR
5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)
Incredibly difficult placement of this supercharged affair ending early P4 and starting middle quad. Feels like 7 or 8 of these are win candidates..
Most Likely: #10 Hon. de Leon 8-1 6th
Best Value: #11 Cribnote 20-1 12th
Next Best: #13 Reload 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Major Gain 12-1 8th
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 4-6-7-8
3: 4-5-9
4: 2-4-11
5: 7-10-11-13
4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Flashy Gal 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Worthwhile Pursuit 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Wave Theory 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Anita Chica 6-1 7th
7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2 Sneaky Kitten 7-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Gossip Column 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Kharafa 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Anaphylaxis 15-1 6th
8th: OC/C, 3+, 9.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Devon Rock 5-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Animal Spirits 6-1 6th
Super Add #6 Villandry 12-1 4th
<$100 P4 Play:
5: 7-9-10-11-12-13
6: 1-2-3-6
7: 2-9
8: 1-6-7-8
6x4x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
9th: 24th Ballston Spa (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Hungry Island 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Summer Soiree 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Zagora 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Tapitsfly 7-2 6th
10th: 87th Test (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Contested 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #10 Amie’s Dini 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Book Review 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Gypsy Robin 15-1 2nd
11th: 28th King’s Bishop (G1), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #9 Trinniberg 7-2 9th
Best Value: #2 Gun Boat 5-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Currency Swap 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Fort Loudon 12-1 2nd
12th: 143rd Travers (G1), 3yo, 10f (DD)
Most Likely: #8 Neck ‘n Neck 9-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Liason 8-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Nonios 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Alpha 5-2 WON-DH ($4.10)
<$100 P4 Play:
9: 2-4-5-6
10: 8-10
11: 2-3-4-7-8-9
12: 6-8-9-10
4x2x6x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
13th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT
Most Likely: #7 Night Site 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Reflecting 5-1 9th
Best Value: #9 Rollingwithetide 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Act of War 12-1 10th