No multis as P6 grows, but triple hits carry the day
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
As discussed on Wednesday ATR, Thursday has a plethora of interesting races throughout North America and that was before the carryover in New York pushed onward to $237k+. Despite the deteriorating conditions at the Big A Wednesday that saw the turf races scuttled, it was a fun afternoon of play commencing with an encouraging 3rd place effort from Dee Tee’s flippy filly Ausable Chasm. The soph miss broke sharp and stayed on gamely under Carlos Montalvo’s busy ride to earn her first board hit since the Saratoga maiden-breaker. Behind the easy winning favorite and Gary Sciacca’s other runner Valuable Lady, Ausable Chasm triggered a triple of nearly $300 for $1 when sent off at 75-1.
Later in the 4th, a DQ that put Eversoul ($23.40) up as the winner garnered an enormous $685 tri with penalized Assured Victory and Settle for Medal. While the P6 and P4 plays went south, the overall action for the day was positive. Hope everyone did OK… Thursday’s P6 sequence already is affected by changes with all AQU races off the turf, so the 4th, 7th and 9th will be see SCR’s and MTO inclusions. Elsewhere around the country, there are several spots worth your attention including LRL, HAW, CRC, HOL, RP and WO!
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: CLM, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)
This was an intriguing group on grass that might have required deep investment getting started in the P6. Now, the MTO’s should be enough..
Most Likely: #15 Stud Muffin 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 4-1 2nd/3rd
Next Best: #14 Summer Share 5-2 4th (3rd for wagering)
5th: CLM, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Sea Gaze is a giveaway that has won plenty in the off going and will be leaned on heavily the way McCarron Pink or Lady Cohiba was Wednesday; Dakota Roadhouse is a fit that may be necessary on back-up plays should the odds-on fave fail..
Most Likely: #7 Sea Gaze 1-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Dakota Roadhouse 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 SCR
Super Add: #3 The Roundhouse 15-1 WON ($22.80)
6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Challenging set with little seperating a largely undistinguished group..
Best Value:#5 My Unbridled Storm 8-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #6 Freud’s Dream 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Withalittlebit 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Saratoga Silver 7-2 4th
7th:OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #12 One Fast Bullet 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 SCR
Next Best: #11 My Piano Man 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #15 Cosmic King 5-1 WON ($9.70)
8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)
Question here revolves around what kind of pace battle we see develop between Bambi Bound and Ultimo Principe. And of course, either is dangerous loose. Good race..
Best Value: #8 Awesome Arceno 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Grand Strategy 9-2 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #9 The Fed Eased 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #10 David the Great 4-1 2nd
9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super)
Most Likely: #12 SCR
Best Value: #11 Vixen’s Roar 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #14 Honey Mou 7-2 3rd
<$100 P6 Play:
4: 1-15
5: 7
6: 5-6-7-8
7: 12
8: 4-8-9
9: 11-14
2x1x4x1x3x2 = 48 x $2 = $96
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 1-4-5-6-7-8
7: 12
8: 3-4-6-8-9-10
9: 11-14
6x1x6x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)
CALDER RACE COURSE
PRE-SCRATCHES
4th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, Super)
#3 Rockitude 15-1: Rock Hard Ten colt makes second career start and moves to proper surface for pedigree in the process. Half brother General John B was a real horse, winning the ’05 Turf Paradise Derby en route to half length beat in Santa Anita Derby behind Buzzard’s Bay and ahead of Wilko and Giacomo. Should like the two turns and the lawn and connections ensure the right price. Worth a flyer.. 7th
CHURCHILL DOWNS
PRE-SCRATCHES
9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 11f-T (DD, Super)
Best Value: #6 My Perfect Light 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Kathern’s Kitten 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Ratoath Special 5-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Our Delight 10-1 7th
HAWTHORNE
PRE-SCRATCHES
3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, .50 Tri, .10 Super)
Best Value: #7 Prime Speed 9-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Prospect Knight 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Electric Alphabet 5-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Jilly From Philly 7-2 6th
HOLLYWOOD PARK
PRE-SCRATCHES
1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, Place Pick All, DD, Super)
Pedigree fan alert! #7 Milania (Bernardini) is out of Bobby Frankel’s wonderful Keeper Hill and #3 Stormy Randie (Stormy Atlantic) is a half to the tragic Itty Bitty Pretty (El Corredor) and excellent MGSW Greeley’s Conquest (Mr. Greeley..)
Most Likely: #7 Milania 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #1 Sage d’Oro 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Late SCR
Super Add: #3 Stormy Randie 5-1 5th