Solid start to Spa session; Tough C/O skien for Day 2
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: ALW/N1X, F&M/3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Rockettes Escapade 7-2: Out-photoed by Hungry Island last.. DNF
Best Value: #6 Up in Lights 15-1: 2nd/break for Wilkes; Close-up twice here ’10.. 7th
Next Best: #8 Font 5-1: Beat little in nice debut but had time and Tagg OK stretching.. 5th
Super Add: #3 Great Gracie Dane 8-1 3rd
2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Whinston 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 How Do I Win 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Zellers 12-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Mr. Continental 6-1 6th
3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)
Against Saddleranch here who will be overbet. Of the Cal invaders getting dirt, Wall Dance feels more interesting as a full to Violette’s zippy Summer Doldrums. Meanwhile, turnback Glickman — who Andy Serling also lauded Friday on ATR — wins this race with effort comparable to the one two back when bested by the nice Arch Traveler…
Best Value: #3 Glickman 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Global Power 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Wall Dance 4-1 5th
4th:CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Quirky-looking bunch of in-and-outers..
Most Likely: #2 Houston Harbor 3-1 9th
Best Value: #8 Good to Be Me 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Wishingonastar 6-1 WON ($24.60)
Super Add: #7 Jungle Rain 5-1 3rd
5th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #3 Ordained 10-1: Speed held well all strips Opening Day; Why not? 3rd
Next Best: #4 Dynafortwo 6-1: Another that may love firmer going after boggy bow.. WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #9 SCR
Super Add: #8 Self Control 7-2: Solid debut downstate though foes from that just OK.. 4th
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 6-7
3: 1-3-4
4: 1-2-4-5-6-7-8-13
5: 3-4–9/SCR
2x3x8x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)
$68k P6 C/O starts here..
Most Likely: #1e Darley entry 7-2: Potent pair.. WON/6th ($8.50)
Best Value: #9 Clear Attempt 5-1: Enjoyed 10f.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Code of Conduct 6-1: Gaudy synth/turf stats.. 4th
Super Add: #2 Pretty Boy Freud 20-1: Nice effort this lawn.. DNF
$1 Pick 3 (6-4-1) Paid $275.00
7th: MSW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Backdown 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Eastside Train 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 R King of the Road 6-1 WON ($11.40)
Super Add: #7 Perfect Slam 8-1 4th
$1 Pick 3 (4-1-2) Paid $160.50
8th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Mediocre set of state-bred gals. No one looks overly-appealing..
Most Likely: #6 Dancing Tiz 3-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Notell 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Strikealinethruit 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Crypto Kitten 12-1 12th
9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)
Yikes.. Very deep and compelling group with plenty of pace signed on..
Best Value: #5 Gathering Cloud 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Farish entry 7-2 4th/7th
Exotics Use: #8 Colonialism 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Jimmy Simms 8-1 WON ($7.50)
10th: 95th Coaching Club American Oaks (G!), 3yo-F, 9f (DD)
As discussed on ATR, as good and intriguing a set of 5 as you could want for the historic race..
Most Likely: #4 Royal Delta 2-1: TAM flop long forgotten; G2 Susan winner still has upside.. 3rd
Next Best: #5 It’s Tricky 3-1: GP fiasco dismissed after Acorn; Can survey inside speed and go on.. WON ($$10.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Plum Pretty 3-1: Missed Goose but figures dangerous with return to dirt.. 2nd
$1 Exacta (5-2) Paid $17.70
$1 Trifecta (5-2-4) Paid: $36.50
11th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super)
Best Value: #2 Surf King 10-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Binks Forest 3-1 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #11 Fast Grievance 5-1 9th
Super Add: #12 Conway 8-1 8th
$1 Pick 3 (4-5-5) Paid $107.25
<$200 P5 P6 Play:
This is a VERY difficult P6 sequence. Limited bankroll are likely best applied elsewhere..
6: 1-9
7: 2-8-10
8: 2-6
9: 1-4-5-8
10: 4
11: 2-5
2x3x2x4x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 2-6-9
9: 1-4-5-8
10: 1-2-4-5
11: 2-5-11
3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72