Blind Luck leaves no doubt; Wet, sloppy day at Spa
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
All around poor afternoon with little production upon which to positively reflect. The racing highlight of the Spa day was certainly the feature, which turned into a showcase for the undeniable 3yo filly division leader Blind Luck, ultra-professional moving to the lead late against a slow pace and winning by a long neck over Tony Dutrow’s Havre de Grace. Wagering disappointments aside, the lowlight of the day was the bafflingly empty performance authored by Todd Pletcher and John Velazquez with favorite Devil May Care. The Pletcher filly underwent the same race dynamic restrictions that Quality Road did in the Whitney, ‘rated to death’ through fractions of :49.2, 1:14.4 and 1:39.1. And just as Quality Road had no excelerating punch on which to rely in the late stages, Devil May Care was absent of any of the kick she had displayed annexing the the CCA Oaks, Mother Goose and Bonnie Miss.
The win by Blind Luck, who now has three G1 wins on the year (Alabama, KY Oaks, Las Virgennes), distinctively places her atop the soph gal standings. In dismissing Devil May Care, Blind Luck also helped create a clear runner up in the Eclipse competition as her closest persuer is now Evening Jewel who won the G1 Del Mar Oaks later in the afternoon. Jim Cassidy’s lovely Cal-bred was beaten two noses by Blind luck in the KY Oaks and Las Virgennes, but owns 2 G1 wins of her own (DMR Oaks, Ashland), as well as scores in the San Clemente and Honeymoon (G2’s). It will be interesting to see what decisions Cassidy makes with Evening Jewel between now and into the Cup.
Heavy rain overnight and this morning in Upstate NY, and a wet main track is assured today. The feature and ALL 4 other races originally scheduled for grass (5, 8, 9 and 10) are OFF THE TURF…
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Rumors of Glory 8-5
Best Value: #5 Kaffiend 15-1
Next Best: #4 Laylaben 4-1
2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #5 Bricklayer 6-1
Next Best: #2 Jim’s Applemartini 5-1
Exotics Use: #4 Living for This 20-1
3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Kid Tornado 3-1
Best Value: #4 Storm Falcon 15-1
Next Best: #2 On Vacation 4-1
Super Add: #3 Broken Home 6-1
4th: 27th Lake Placid (G2), F&M-3+, 9f OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)
#2 Triple Cream
#1 Hatheer
5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #10 Fight for V L T’s 4-1
Best Value: #2 Aces Mark 6-1
Next Best: #1 Quick Money 3-1
Super Add: #4 Zone Breaker 10-1
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 2-5
3: 2-4-7
4: 1-2-6
5: 1-2-4-10
2x3x3x4 = $72
6th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 Accredit 4-1
Next Best: #6 Belo Sorto 3-1
Exotics Use: #4 Samhoon 7-2
Super Use: #3 Cave’s Valley 5-1
7th: NY-MDN CLM, 2+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD,
Most Likely: #6 Lion Knight 9-2
Next Best: #5 Local Legacy 7-2
Best Value: #7 Disco Capote 10-1
Exotics Use: #2 For Wes 7-2
8th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #8 Pewter 8-1
Next Best: #14 Aquino 5-2
Exotics Use: #6 Big Push 3-1
Super Use: #5 Close to the Vest 7-2
9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f OFF THE TURF (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #5 I Dreamt I Was 9-2
Best Value: #4 My Honey Laurie 20-1
Next Best: #2 New York Kitten 3-1
10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 9f OFF THE TURF (Super)
No way to know at this hour who stays and who goes in this utterly mysterious maiden guess event..
Best Value: #1 Dazzle Her 12-1
Next Best: #3 Flying Vision 6-1
Exotics Use: #4 Street Chimes 10-1
Super Add: #10 Tapit Dancer 15-1
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 5-6
8: 6-8-14
9: 4-5
10: 1-3-4-10-13-14
2x3x2x6 = $72
It’s a real messy day… Hope everyone does OK!
Good luck!
Steve