Spa 40% complete w/ best to come; Big DMR C/O
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Traditional 4 weeks lie ahead at the Spa starting today with Sword Dancer, Alabama, Travers/Personmal Ensign and Labor Day Closing extravaganza yet to come. Had lots of winners scattered around Monday but was doomed by bad ticket building decisions. Hope you did OK… Nice morning in the Capital District and a quirky and seemingly challenging afternoon of racing looms. And don’t forget that Del Mar has a $178k carryover that begins at 6pm ET.
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Start of a card that features many deep and tricky races, with this one among them. As usual in a turf sprint (and non-winners of 2 lifetimes), can make a case for 7-8 of these, so settle on a race flow scenario that is plausible and include the price horses that can make it pay for you. Note that 2-1 ML fave Flying Sappho (7yo) has NOT improved for Rudy Rodriguez in her two starts under his helm. Should be respected but not feared..
Most Likely: #8 Song for Pupcake 3-1: Third off break..
Best Value: #4 Auric Girl 8-1: Alternating efforts..
Next Best: #1 Glory Chaser 6-1
Exotics Use: #2 Flying Sappho 2-1
2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Tremendous amount of speed signed on here, so unless strip is carrying frontenders, meltdown distinctly possible..
Best Value: #8 Conflicted 8-1: Was better on main before trio of turf tries..
Most Likely: #7 One Note Samba 5-2: Of speeds, best shot with repeat of last..
Next Best: #9 Zone Breaker 6-1: Earned nice fig in MSW debut; Got rest..
Exotics Use: #4 Audies Champ 20-1: Will try him again after good 3rd at 23-1..
3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Albany Road 2-1
Best Value: #2 Roulette Winner 10-1
Next Best: #10 Il Senatore 5-2
Super Add: #8 Speciale Giorno 12-1
4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Here’s another of the mad scrambles of the day with the major contending state bred maiden fillies all within a length or two of each other..
Best Value: #4 By M K 6-1
Next Best: #7 Song of Broadway 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Silver City Dreams 10-1
Super Add: #11 Julie’s Ina Frenzy 6-1
5th: 8th NY Stallion-Cab Calloway, 3yo, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Along with Thursday’s Statue of Liberty, a contentious and fun pair of betting races..
Most Likely: #3 Lubash 3-1
Best Value: #4 Adirondack Warrior 10-1
Next Best: #10 Seattle Mission 2-1
Super Add: #2 Zealous Boy 6-1
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 7-8-9
3: 2-7
4: 4-5-7
5: 2-3-4-10
3x2x3x4 = $72
6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Day’s 2nd turf sprint and even more of a crapshoot than R1. Group has little experience with grass and dash, so find angles you like and run with them..
Best Value: #5 Moon Raven 15-1: OK in lawn bow; Has speed, drops & priced right..
Next Best: #8 Real Rooster 4-1: Showing slight progress, but one paced and sure underlay..
Exotics Use: #4 Mission Mike Clark 3-1: Nov ’09 CRC bow was OK; Working well for return..
Super Add: #6 Ex Pat 6-1: Has races that were good enough; Player if sod hop to his liking..
7th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
An eclectic collection of former stakes performers, near stars and never weres. Hard to guage preparedness of several here..
Best Value: #5 Greeley’s Legacy 12-1: Hard to pass price given solid form..
Next Best: #8 Sean Avery SCRATCHED: Away since super key Fall Highweight; Tough if right..
Exotics Use: #1 Trinity Magic 8-1: 2nd off break; Chased sharp splits in return..
Super Add: #4 Ramsgate 6-1: Everything working for C. Brown; Veteran OK in return for 20k..
SCA ADD: #6 Tall Poppi 6-1
8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (DD)
Most Likely: #2 Atomic Rain 2-1
Next Best: #5 Birdrun 7-2
Best Value: #3 Seniors Pride 6-1
9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)
Most Likely: #1 Circleboundbay 3-1
Best Value: #7 Upper Gulch 5-1
Next Best: #9 E Z Passer 6-1
Super Add: #8 Deputy’s Citizen 6-1
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 4-5-6-7-8-10
7: 1-4-5
8: 2-5
9: 1-7
6x3x2x2 = $72
Good luck!
Steve