Despite the scratchfest at Gulfstream when turf races were abandoned, P6 paid close to $40k and was hardly impossible. Personal play that had 4 winners was trimmed to $64 post-changes, and when seeing the final return, I was floored. Good news at Hallandale was the P4 hit for $243 and terrific $15.80 win mutuel on “OTT” standout Shift It in the 8th.

At Fair Grounds, concern over Pletcher’s Ailalea resulted in my leaving Oaks winner Quiet Temper (4th choice) off the P4 play which meant a miss of the $285 result. Overall, a good day and fun lead-up to today’s endless action. Hope you did well!

Meydan early before Fair Grounds and Turfway edge close to their respective meet ends with big Louisiana Derby and Lanes’ End Day cards. Last pass for the Magna 5 this week, and suggest you look at Gus Alonso’s advice on it as well as he’s come perilously close the last 2 weeks.

MEYDAN

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Duty Free, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Best Value: #11 Alexandros 10-1 14th
Most Likely: #15 Presvis 4-1 11th
Next Best: #1 Imbongi 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Courageous Cat 6-1 9th

7th: Sheema Classic, 12f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #13 Spanish Moon 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #12 Mourilyan 20-1 13th
Next Best: #10 Buena Vista 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Precious Passion 9-2 16th

8th: World Cup, 10f (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Red Desire 10-1 11th
Best Value: #13 Mr. Brock 30-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Gitano Hernando 9-2 6th
Super Add: #10 Richard’s Kid 5-1 7th

<$50 P3 Play:

6: 1-11-15
7: 9-10-12-13
8: 2-3-10-13

3x4x4 = $48

Dick Powell’s Dubai World Cup Card Analysis

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 59th Kenner, 3+, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #5 Cash Refund 7-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #4 Euroears 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Grand Traverse 8-1 4th

7th: 38th Crescent City Derby-LA, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #8 Target Flash 15-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Heavenville 5-1 WON
Exotics Use: #12 Pioneering Native 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Brave Day 20-1 9th

8th: 85th New Orleans H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P6, P3, Super)

No reason to accept short prices here..

Best Value: #7 Star Guitar 10-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Battle Plan 6-1 WON
Exotics Use: #2 Tone It Down 20-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Hold Me Back 8-1 9th

9th: 18th Muniz H. (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Best Value: #7 Baletti 8-1 8th
Most Likely: #4 El Caballo 4-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Blues Street 3-1 WON
Super Add: #10 Feels All Right 8-1 7th

10th: 97th Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #9 Stay Put (10-1): Caps Margolis’ amazing Nola season.. 5th
Next Best: #4 The Program (10-1): Being ignored in first dirt chance.. 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Fly Down (8-1): Reprize of Zito-Lezcano Gulf heroics.. 9th
Super Add: #2 Mission Impazible (8-1): OP trip impazible; Maragh a plus.. WON

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-4-5-8-10-12
8: 2-7-9
9: 4-7
10: 2-3-4-9

6x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

10th: 3rd Grindstone, 3yo, 7.5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Workin for Hops 7-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Striking Hight 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Daddy Forty Nice 9-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Night Vision 8-1 5th

TURFWAY PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: 24th Queen, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Favorite (#8) is a big underlay here..

Most Likely: #7 Proud Heiress 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Rinterval 8-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Secret Gypsy 7-5 3rd
Super Add: #10 Silver Time 12-1 WON ($42.00)

6th: 16th Hansel, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Cool Bullet 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #7 Lucky Chuck 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Kera’s Kitten 5-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Strapping Groom 5-2 2nd

7th: 28th Bourbonette Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Cascading 4-1 9th
Best Value: #4 Helen Belen 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Orchestrator 5-1 WON ($16.60)
Super Add: #9 Age of Humor 5-1 2nd

8th: 25th Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Activity Report 4-1 7th
Best Value: #6 Instant Message 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Positive Split 8-5 4th
Super Add: #2 Lonesome Street 5-1 2nd

<$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-4-7-8-10
6: 1-3-4-7-8
7: 2
8: 1-2-5-6

5x5x1x4 = 100 x .50 = $50

9th: 39th Lane’s End (G2), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super, Super High 5)

With the Blue Grass, a race that feels marginalized by the advent of synthetics..

Most Likely: #1 Connemara 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Doubles Partner 10-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Northern Giant 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Vow to Wager 20-1 5th
High 5 Play: #8 Letsgetitonmon 20-1 6th

MAGNA 5

POST-SCRATCHES

A-LRL 10th: Johnson Mem., 3+, 9f

Most Likely: #3 Indian Dance 7-5
Best Value: #1 Zarroc 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Eddie C. 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Lord Justice 5-2 4th

B-SA 4th: CLM, 4+, 7f

Most Likely: #3 Changing 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Partywithlarryz 9-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Mind the Minister 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 SCR

C-GG 4th: S/ALW, 3yo-F, 1m

Most Likely: #1 Miss Edgar 2-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Profound Elegance 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Category Ten 7-2 7th
Super Add: #6 Dark Delores 4-1 2nd

D-SA 5th: MSW, 4+, 6.5f-T

Most Likely: #2 Danzing Tribal 3-1
Best Value: #4 Thermal Wave 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Uncle Greg 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Sweet Maker 7-2 5th

E-GP 10th: 49th Pan American (G3), 4+, 12f-T

Most Likely: #7 Brass Hat 4-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Brother Nick 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Winchester 5-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Never On Sunday 3-1 2nd

<$100 P6 Play:

A: 1-2-3-4
B: 2-3-7
C: 1-4
D: 2
E: 2-3-5-7

4x3x2x1x4 = $96

This entry was posted on Saturday, March 27th, 2010 at 7:00 am and is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.