11/3-4 (SA): 40th Breeders’ Cup
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
SANTA ANITA: 40TH BREEDERS’ CUP ~ SATURDAY
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: TAA Marathon (G2), 3+, 13f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Speaking of aftercare, may be time to retire this event..
Most Likely: #5 Salesman 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #6 Kiss Today Goodbye 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Siskany 8-5 5th
2nd: Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Really fun, interesting group..
Best Value: #8 Amandares 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Webslinger 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Be Your Best 12-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Reincarnate 8-1 9th
3rd: BC Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Zozos has some steam with expectation that he’ll be loose up front, but Cody’s Wish has been on edge here every morning..
Most Likely: #3 Cody’s Wish 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #4 Zozos 6-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Stage Raider 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Skippylongstocking 12-1 3rd
4th: BC Filly & Mare Turf (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (All Turf P4, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Like Friday with Hard to Justify & She Feels Pretty, hoping top pair is enough to get through the leg..
Most Likely: #6 Inspiral 5-2 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #1 In Italian 4-1 5th
Best Value: #12 State Occasion 20-1 9th ~ Reverse Tri Key
Exotics Use: #4 Moira 12-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Lindy 12-1 8th
.50 REV TRI KEY: 1-2-3-4-6-7-8-9 w/ 1-2-3-4-6-7-8-9 w/ 12 = 8x7x1 = 56 x .50 = $28
All Turf P4 Grid:
4: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-10-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 5-11-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 10-12 (A), 5-8-11 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
5th: BC Filly & Mare Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (All Dirt P4, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Society steps in and up for Asmussen and while Goodnight Olive would be no surprise, repeating in this event has proven difficult (except for Groupie Doll)..
Most Likely: #7 Society 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Goodnight Olive 6-5 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Matareya 6-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Kirstenbosch 10-1 5th
All Dirt P4 Grid:
5: 1-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 8-12 (B), – (C)
11: 2-7-8 (A), 6-9 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
$0.50 Pick 4 () Paid $50.40
P5 Grid:
1: 1-5 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
2: 6-8 (A), 2-3 (B), – (C)
3: 3 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (4 in 3rd)
P4 Grid:
2: 6-8 (A), 2-3 (B), – (C)
3: 3 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x3 = 24 x $1.50 = $36
All A’s: 2x1x2x3 = $12
Backup (A-C-A-A): 2x1x2x3 = $12 (4 in 3rd)
6th: BC Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (Pick 6, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Songline is thought of as Japan’s best chance on the weekend and she is stunning ibn the flesh. Casa Creed takes another shot though and is going to get a potentially perfect scenario for a successful run with Saez..
Most Likely: #3 Casa Creed 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Songline 5-2 5th
Best Value: #13 More Than Looks 15-1 6th ~ Reverse Tri Key
Exotics Use: #2 Gina Romantica 12-1 4th
Super/Hi-5: #11 Kelina 6-1 9th
.50 REV TRI KEY: 3-10 w/ All w/ 8-13 = 2 x 12 x 2 = 48 x .50 = $24
7th: BC Distaff, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Top 2 feel most likely, but Adare Manor has looked tremendous and Desert Dawn feels like this year’s version of Blue Stripe..
Most Likely: #9 Clairiere 4-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Idiomatic 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #10 Desert Dawn 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Adare Manor 4-1 7th
Super Add: #11 Le Da Vida 20-1 3rd
P5 Grid:
3: 3 (A), 4 (B), – (C)
4: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-10 (A), – (B), 2-13 (C)
7: 4-5-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = 48 x $1.50 = $72
All A’s: 1x2x3x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 1x2x3x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-13 in 6th)
P4 Grid:
4: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-10 (A), – (B), 2-13 (C)
7: 4-5-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 2x3x2x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
Backup (A-A-C-A): 2x3x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-13 in 6th)
8th: BC Turf, 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
King of Steel the best price of the Euro players, but War like Goddess is going to get her table setting and make one run that scores..
Best Value: #13 War Like Goddess 12-1 7th
Next Best: #11 King of Steel 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Auguste Rodin 3-1 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #9 Mostahdaf 5-2 8th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Onesto 8-1 6th
2-day Juvy Turf/Turf DBL:
FRI 9: 6-8-9
SAT 8: 2-5-9-11-13
All A’s: 3×5 = 15 x $5 = $75
$1 JUV TURF/TURF Paid $11.50 x 5 = $57.50
P4 Grid:
5: 1-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-10 (A), – (B), 2-13 (C)
7: 4-5-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 11-13 (A), 2-5-9 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-C-A-A): 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-13 in 6th)
9th: BC Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Top 4 all look eligible for laurels, but White Abarrio wins with repeat of Whitney and has sparkled coming in to assignment. Zandon always runs his race. Ushba Tesoro is a bruiser that would be no surprise. Arabian Knight has been on tilt leading up to today. No stars, just talent..
Most Likely: #3 White Aborrio 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #2 Zandon 12-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Ushba Teroro 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Arabian Knight 3-1 4th
Super Add: #13 Proxy 12-1 3rd
P4 Grid:
6: 3-10 (A), 2-13 (B), – (C)
7: 4-5-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 11-13 (A), – (B), 2-5-9 (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 8-12 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-C-A-A): 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-13 in 6th)
10th: BC Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 5f-T (DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #10 Motorious 5-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Arzak 6-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Aesop’s Fable 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Live In The Dream 9-2 4th
Super Add: #11 Jasper Krone 12-1 12th
11th: BC Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #2 Dr. Schivel 5-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Elite Power 9-5 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Speed Boat Beach 3-1 4th
Super Add: #6 The Chosen Vron 5-1 5th
P5 Grid:
7: 4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 5-11-13 (A), – (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 3 (A), 2-8-12 (B), – (C)
10: 8-10-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-8 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 2x2x1x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-9 in 8th)
Backup (A-A-A-A-C): 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-7 in 11th)
P4 Grid:
8: 5-11-13 (A), – (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 8-12 (B), – (C)
10: 8-10-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-8 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (C-A-A-A): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-9 in 8th)
12th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-Downhill (Hi-5)
Best Value: #5 Alvina 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Irish Patsy 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Gem Mine 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Real Fire 6-1 5th
P4 Grid:
9: 2-3 (A), 8-12 (B), – (C)
10: 8-10-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-8 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)
12: 3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
SANTA ANITA ~ 40TH BREEDERS’ CUP ~ FRIDAY
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: Golden Mile, 2yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #6 Mo Fox Given 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Ace of Clubs 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Go With Gusto 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Ultra Power 3-1 6th
2nd: CA-Golden State Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #5 Mirinda 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #7 Grand Slam Smile 5-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #6 Prancingthruparis 8-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Petit Filet 20-1 2nd
3rd: Sen. Ken Maddy, F&M-3+, 6.5f-Downhill Turf (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #2 White Moonlight 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Elm Drive 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Playlist 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 Rose Maddox 8-1 4th
4th: CA-Golden State Juvenile, 2yo/Colts & Geldings, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #11 Magic Spoon 6-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #10 Last Call London 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Dr. No No 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #9 Tiger in My Tank 15-1 12th
5th: BC Juvenile Turf Sprint (G1), 2yo, 5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3/5-7-9, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #3 Tiger Belle 15-1 12th
Next Best: #11 Slider 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Shards 15-1 5th ~ Reverse Tri Key
Super Add: #9 Amidst Waves 8-1 10th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Committee of One 8-1 7th
.50 REV TRI KEY: 1-2-3-4-9-11-12 w/ 1-2-3-4-9-11-12 w/ 7 = 7x6x1 = 42 x .50 = $21
$3 Turf P5 Grid:
5: 3-7-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 11-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 3x2x3 = $18 x $3 = $54
P5 Grid:
1: 1-6 (A), – (B), 4-5 (C)
2: 5 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 2-4 (A), 12-13 (B), – (C)
4: 10-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 3-7-9-11-12 (A), 1-2-4 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x2x8 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x1x2x2x5 = 40 x .50 = $20
Backup (C-A-A-A-A): 2x1x2x2x5 = 40 x .50 = $20 (4-5 in 1st)
P4 Grid:
2: 5 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 2-4 (A), 12-13 (B), – (C)
4: 10-11 (A), – (B), 3-4-6 (C)
5: 3-7-9-11 (A), 1-2-4-12 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 1x4x2x8 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A’s: 1x2x2x4 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (A-A-C-A): 1x2x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-4-6 in 4th)
6th: BC Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (2-Day DBL/Distaff, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #6 Chatalas 8-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Candied 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Just F Y I 8-1 WON ($16.00)
Super Add: #7 Tamara 4-5 7th
Hi-5 Play: #9 Brightwork 12-1 6th
7th: BC Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #12 Hard to Justify 6-1 WON ($20.20)
Next Best: #11 She Feels Pretty 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Laulne 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #3 Buchu 6-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Porta Fortuna 5-1 2nd
8th: BC Juvenile (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (2-Day DBL/Classic, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #4 Timberlake 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Wine Me Up 15-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Muth 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Locked 7-2 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #8 General Partner 8-1 6th
2-day Juvenile/Classic DBL:
FRI 8: 3-4-10
SAT 9: 2-3-8-12-13
All A’s: 3×5 = 15 x $5 = $75
9th: BC Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (2-Day DBL/Turf, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #8 Unquestionable 4-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #9 Endlessly 5-1 8th
Best Value: #6 Stay Hot 20-1 10th ~ Reverse Tri Key
Exotics Use: #12 Carson’s Run 6-1 9th
Super/Hi-5: #5 My Boy Prince 8-1 3rd
.50 REV TRI KEY: 4-5-7-8-9-12-14 w/ 4-5-7-8-9-12-14 w/ 6 = 7x6x1 = 42 x .50 = $21
2-day Juvy Turf/Turf DBL:
FRI 9: 6-8-9
SAT 8: 2-5-9-11-13
All A’s: 3×5 = 15 x $5 = $75
P5 Grid:
5: 3-7-11 (A), 1-2-4-9-12 (B), – (C)
6: 1-6 (A), 7-12 (B), 3-9 (C)
7: 11-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 6-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 8x4x2x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 3x2x2x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
P4 Grid:
6: 1-6 (A), 7-12 (B), 3-9 (C)
7: 11-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)
9: 6-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3= 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (C-A-A-A): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-9 in 6th)
10th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (Hi-5)
Best Value: #2 Ghost of Midnight 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Bus Buzz 9-5 DNF
Exotics Use: #3 Hejazi 7-5 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #7 Ferociously 20-1 5th
P4 Grid:
7: 11-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-3-4 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)
9: 8-9 (A), 6 (B), – (C)
10: 2-3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18