5/19-20: Hi Ho Pimlico (Preakness Wknd)
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
HI HO PIMLICO ~ 148th PREAKNESS DAY
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Rock the Boat 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Tapio 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 American Speed 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Bustinupishardtodo 20-1 6th
2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Half a dozen here are within range of each other including Tate, so may as well key off the price with him..
Best Value: #7 Tate 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Iywaan 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Rusty’s Gfivefifty 12-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Be Better 5-2 WON ($5.80)
3rd: MSW, 3/4/5yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD))
Most Likely: #5 Toofareastiswest 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Composer’s Dream 6-1 WON ($12.20)
Exotics Use: #10 He’s Got Swagger 7-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Weyhill Road 5-1 3rd
4th: Sir Barton, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Arabian Lion has the edge up front, but Denington and Tapit’s Conquest are not far off him and all are lightly raced. May not be as open and shut as 2-5 ML indicates..
Most Likely: #4 Arabian Lion 2-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #6 Denington 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tapit’s Conquest 4-1 2nd
5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)
Another good ALW and as indicated by Kali on ATR Wednesday, Aussie mystery horse Uncorked SCR’D may be a surprise package for ever dangerous Brittany Russell..
Most Likely: #6 Tequilera 7-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Sake 10-1 11th
Next Best: #5 Downtown Katie 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Thegirlfromireland 15-1 3rd
P5 Grid:
1: 2-3 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)
2: 5-7 (A), 3-8 (B), – (C)
3: 1-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 4 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x1x3 =144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-6 in 4th)
P4 Grid:
2: 5-7 (A), 3-8 (B), – (C)
3: 1-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 4 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A’s:2x3x1x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup: 2x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-6 in 4th)
6th: Chick Lang (G3), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #7 Prince of Jericho 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Havnameltdown 8-5 DNF
Exotics Use: #5 Super Chow 3-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Frosted Departure 8-1 3rd
7th: Gallorette (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)
Best Value: #7 Princess Theorem 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Whitebeam 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Sopran Basilea 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Traffic Song 12-1 6th
P5 Grid:
3: 1-5-10 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
4: 4 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
6: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 + 1x1x2x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6 (4 in 3rd)
P4 Grid:
4: 4 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
6: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 1x4x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)
All A’s: 1x2x2x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
8th: Dinner Party (G3), 3+, 9f-T (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Hurricane Dream 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Speaking Scout 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Atone 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Never Explain 10-1 WON ($32.40)
9th: Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)
SCR #2 Beguine
Most Likely: #5 Princess Kokachin 6-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Oxana 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Gunning 6-1 6th
Super Add: #3 I”m the Boss of Me 4-1 3rd
P5 Grid:
5: 6-12 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
6: 7 (A), 1 (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-5 in 6th)
P4 Grid:
6: 1-7 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
10th: Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #10 Coppola 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #13 Beer Can Man 8-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #1 Nothing Better 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Artemus Citylimits 5-2 4th
11th: Maryland Sprint (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Best Value: #4 Al Loves Josie Late SCR
Next Best: #7 Nakatomi 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Straight No Chaser 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #3 Threes Over Deuces 15-1
SCR Add: #2 Prevalence 8-1 2nd
2-day/All Dirt P5 Grid:
FRI 8: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ OC/N1X
FRI 12: 5 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C) ~ PIM Special
FRI 13: 8-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 11: 4/SCR-7-8 (A), 2-3-10 (B), – (C) ~ MD Sprint
SAT 13: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ Preakness
Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x6x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)
All A’s: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-7 in FRI 12th)
P5 Grid:
7: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5 (A), 1 (B), – (C)
10: 10-13 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
11: 3-7-8 (A), – (B), 2-9-10 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-9-10 in 11th)
P4 Grid:
8: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 10-13 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
11: 2-3-7-8 (A), 9-10 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $18
12th: James Murphy, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)
Best Value: #7 Kingfish Stevens 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Circling the Drain 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Nagirroc 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #1 Funtastic Again 3-1 2nd
13th: Preakness (G1), 3yo, 9.5f (DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #3 Mage 4-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Perform 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 National Treasure 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Blazing Sevens 5-1 2nd
$100 Black-Eyed Susan/Preakness DBL:
FRI 13: 9 (A), – (B), 8-10 (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 13: 3 (A), – (B), 6 (C) ~ Preakness
2.) 8-10 with 3 (2×1 = 2 x $10 = $20) C-A
4.) 8-10 with 6 (2×1 = 2 x $5 = $10) C-C
2-day/All Dirt P5 Grid:
FRI 8: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ OC/N1X
FRI 12: 5 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C) ~ PIM Special
FRI 13: 8-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 11: 4/SCR-7-8 (A), 2-3-10 (B), – (C) ~ MD Sprint
SAT 13: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ Preakness
Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x6x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)
All A’s: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-7 in FRI 12th)
2-day/All STK P5 Grid:
FRI 11: 3-10 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C) ~ Hilltop
FRI 13: 9-10 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 10: 1-10-13 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ Jim McKay
SAT 12: 5-7-9 (A), 1-6-8 (B), – (C) ~ James Murphy
SAT 13: 3 (A), – (B), 6 (C) ~ Preakness
Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6 in SAT 13th)
P5 Grid:
9: 1-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-10-13 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
11: 3-7-8 (A), – (B), 2-9-10 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 1-9 (B), – (C)
13: 3 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-9-10 in 11th) + 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6 in 13th)
P4 Grid:
10: 1-10-13 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
11: 3-7-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 9-10 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 1-9 (B), – (C)
13: 3 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x5x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 3x3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: 3x2x2x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 (9-10 in 11th) + 3x3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $9 (6 in 13th)
HI HO PIMLICO
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)
Favored #13 Battle of Normandy (5-2) has to run new top to win and is outposted. Irad sticks and does get pace to chase. Iffy..
Best Value: #8 Tiz a Giant 12-1 10th
Next Best: #13 Battle of Normandy 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Evan Harlan 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Monjid 12-1 7th
2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Robbie Bailes runs Outkissed SCR for his long-time client Marshall Dowell who passed away 2 weeks ago. The pair famously campaigned Scrappy T. Outkissed broke MDN firing off bench last winter and Xavier Perez gets call, a Bailes go to move..
Most Likely: #4 Ruggs 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Cees Get Degrees 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Holy Synchronicity 6-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Saffa’s Day 9-2 2nd
3rd: MSW, F&M-3/4/5yo, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)
Firsters won’t have to be all that special to intercede here..
Best Value: #11 Caroline Krystyna 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #12 Lady Wildcat 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Up For It 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Watch This Birdie 4-1 4th
4th: Allaire DuPont, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)
Cox returns last year’s B/E Susan winner (Interstatedaydream) back for this, but Falconet looks loose up front and could be tough to reel in..
Most Likely: #6 Falconet 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Interstatedaydream 1-1 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Le Da Vida 7-2 3rd
5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 American Starlet 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Roses for Debra 9-2 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #5 Above the Limit 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Respectfully 10-1 9th
P5 Grid:
1: 8-13 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
2: 4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 11-12 (A), – (B), 1-2 (C)
4: 2-6 (A), 1 (B), – (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (1-2 in 3rd)
P4 Grid:
2: 4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 11-12 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
4: 1-2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
$0.50 Pick 4 (3,5,7/11/2/7) Paid $90.00 (A-A-A-A)
6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5f (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #7 Liquidator 9-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Royal Whisper 2-1 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Italian Dressing 6-1 4th
Super Add: #4 And Whistle 10-1 6th
7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)
Doctor Davis stretches out from sprints and will provide target for lone route speed (and not Sicilian) Tom Hagen..
Best Value: #13 Tom Hagen 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Chulainn 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Cannon’s Roar 10-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Shadow Sphinx 5-2 3rd
P5 Grid:
3: 11-12 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
4: 1-2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
6: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
P4 Grid:
4: 1-2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 5-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)
8th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 6f (2-day/All Dirt P5,
Most Likely: #6 Johnyz From Albany 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Fort Warren 7-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Contempt 15-1 5th
9th: The Very One, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)
Best Value: #4 Can the Queen 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Spicy Marg 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Spun Glass 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Her World 7-2 7th
P5 Grid:
5: 6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
6: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-6-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 1x2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16
P4 Grid:
6: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-6-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 2x2x2x4 = $32 ($16 for .50)
10th: Miss Preakness (G3), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Key of Life has won without the lead but feels disadvantaged with Maple Leaf Mel to her outside. Can a different filly pounce on the pace-depending top pair? Afternoon Tea perhaps?
Most Likely: #6 Maple Leaf Mel 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #2 Key of Life 1-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Afternoon Tea 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Bound by Destiny 30-1 6th
11th: Hilltop, 3yo-F, 1m-T (2-day All STK P5, P3, DD)
ATR listeners know more about After Eight than the betting public..
Best Value: #10 After Eight 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Aspray 8-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Breath Away 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Up and Down 6-1 4th
2-day/All STK P5 Grid:
FRI 11: 3-10 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C) ~ Hilltop
FRI 13: 9-10 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 10: 1-10-13 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ Jim McKay
SAT 12: 5-7-9 (A), 1-6-8 (B), – (C) ~ James Murphy
SAT 13: 3 (A), – (B), 6 (C) ~ Preakness
Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6 in SAT 13th)
P5 Grid:
7: 4-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-6-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6 (A), 2 (B), – (C)
11: 3-10 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x2x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A’s: 2x2x4x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: 2x2x4x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (1-8 in 11th)
P4 Grid:
8: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-6-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-10 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)
All A’s: 2x4x2x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)
Backup: 2x4x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $24 (1-8 in 11th)
12th: Pimlico Special (G3), 3+, 9.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 Law Professor 5-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Rattle N Roll 9-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #7 Speed Bias 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Clapton 6-1 3rd
2-day/All Dirt P5 Grid:
FRI 8: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ OC/N1X
FRI 12: 5 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C) ~ PIM Special
FRI 13: 8-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 11: 4-7-8 (A), 2-3-10 (B), – (C) ~ MD Sprint
SAT 13: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ Preakness
Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x6x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)
All A’s: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-7 in FRI 12th)
13th: Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (Susan/Preakness DBL, DD, $1 Jackpot Hi-5)
Faiza obviouslty the one to beat, but Taxed was second only to Pretty Mischievous preparing for Kentucky Oaks and I can’t miss opportunity to use her liberally here..
Most Likely: #9 Faiza 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #10 Taxed 15-1 WON ($24.00)
Next Best: #8 Balpool 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Hoosier Philly 10-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #1 Sacred Wish 10-1 9th
$100 Black-Eyed Susan/Preakness DBL:
FRI 13: 9 (A), – (B), 8-10 (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 13: 3 (A), – (B), 6 (C) ~ Preakness
1.) 9 with 3 (1×1 x $40 = $60) A-A
2.) 8-10 with 3 (2×1 = 2 x $10 = $20) C-A
3.) 9 with 6 (1×1 x $10 – $10) A-C
4.) 8-10 with 6 (2×1 = 2 x $5 = $10) C-C
P5 Grid:
9: 4-6-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 2-3/SCR–6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-10 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
12: 5 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
13: 9 (A), 8-10 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x1x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x2x2x1x1 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup: 4x2x2x1x1 = 16 x .50 = $8 (2 in 12th)
P4 Grid:
10: 2-3/SCR–6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-10 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
12: 5 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
13: 8-9-10 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x5 = $40 ($20 for .50)
All A’s: 2x2x1x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup: 2x2x1x3 = 12 x .50 = $6
$0.50 Pick 4 (6/3/2,6/10 Paid $195.40 (A-A-C-A)
14th: MCLM/$45k, 3/4/5yo, 5f-T
Most Likely: #10 S. Muffin 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Covert Kat 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Mission Man 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Certain 9-2 4th