2/29: Gulfstream Park (4th-14th)
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST SCRATCHES
4th: Palm Beach (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T/24′ (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #12 Vitalogy 9-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #10 Famished 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 South Bend 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Life On Top 12-1 7th
5th: Honey Fox, F&M-4+, 1m-T/96′ (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Will try again with Getmother after Rosario left her with too much to do last time. Junior Alvarado a nice fit for her..
Best Value: #7 Getmotherarose 15-1 WON ($24.80)
Next Best: #11 Valedictorian 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Atomic Blonde 9-2 8th
Super Add: #4 La Feve 6-1 4th
6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #8 Plus Que Parfait 3-1 6th
Next Best: #7 McErin 9-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Just Whistle 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Scars Are Cool 5-2 3rd
7th: The Very One (G3), F&M-4+, 11f-T/96′ (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Quite a few making seasonal debuts here and feels like those that are in form are the prefered leans..
Best Value: #5 Cap de Creus 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 La Signare 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Touriga 8-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Lemon Zip 9-2 12th
8th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #2 Precise Dancer 4-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Awakened 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Mister Candy Ride 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #11 Hero d’Oro 6-1 10th
9th: Herecomesthebride (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/24′ (Rainbow P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #8 Stunning Sky 10-1 11th
Next Best: #7 Abscond 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Declarationwarrior 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Sunset Promise 12-1 6th
10th: Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #6 Spice Is Nice 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Emily’s Oasis 10-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Tonalist’s Shape 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Reluctant Bride 15-1 4th
P4 Grid:
7: 2-5-8 (A), 3-6-7-10 (B), – (C)
8: 2 (A), – (B), 4-6(C)
9: 3-7-8-11 (A), 5-10 (B), – (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), 3-5-9(C)
Simple (A+B): 7x1x6x1 = $42 ($21 for .50)
All A’s: 3x1x4x1 = $12 ($6 for .50)
11th: Canadian Turf (G3), 4+, 1m-T/96′ (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #4 Hembree 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Mr Dumas 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Sombeyay 9-2 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Caribou Club 6-1 6th
12th: Gulfstream Mile (G2), 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #11 Hog Creek Hustle 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Phat Man 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Mr Freeze 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #7 True Timber 15-1 4th
13th: Mac Diarmida (G2), 4+, 11f-T/24′ (DD, Hi-5)
Stopped looking back at past charts after awhile, but note that the favorite has won this race 6 of the last 7 runnings (and 9 of the last 11). And while there isn’t much speed signed on here, that’s been true the last 2 years when Zulu Alpha stalked up close and Sadler’s Joy came from far back. Don’t know if this is a spot to get too creative..
Most Likely: #6 Zulu Alpha 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #4 Sadler’s Joy 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Spooky Channel 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Admission Office 15-1 2nd
14th: Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)
I’d be quite happy to see Dennis’ Moment (2-1) run big and fulfill every expectation, but he isn’t a good bet today at a short price. Meanwhile, front end interested parties Chance It (SCR’d), Ete Indien (8-1) and Shotski (10-1) are significantly hindered by outposts, leaving Breen’s As Seen on Tv (9-2) as the compromise candidate at the best price. Mucho Macho Man runner up has been relaxing in the morning with an eye on finishing well and if Paco Lopez gets him to relax behind the contesting outside speeds, he’ll get first run..
Best Value: #6 As Seen on Tv 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Dennis’ Moment 2-1 10th
Exotics Use: #11 Ete Indien 8-1 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #8 Gear Jockey 20-1 6th
P5 Grid:
10: 6 (A), – (B), 3-9(C)
11: 4-5-7 (A), 1-2-3 (B), – (C)
12: 3-7-9-11 (A), – (B), 5-8-10 (C)
13: 6(A), 4 (B), 3-7-8 (C)
14: 5-6-11(A), – (B), 7-8-9 (C)
Simple (A+B): 1x6x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x4x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
$0.50 Pick-5 (9/5,13,14/9/6,9/11) Paid $382.50 (C-A-A-A-A)
$0.50 Pick-5 (9/5,13,14/9/6,9/11) Paid $7.85 (4OF5)
P4 Grid:
11: 4-5-7 (A), 2-3 (B), 1 (C)
12: 3-7-9-11 (A), – (B), 5-8-10 (C)
13: 6(A), 4 (B), 3-7-8 (C)
14: 5-6-11(A), – (B), 7-8-9 (C)
Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x4x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
$0.50 Pick-4 (5,13,14/9/6,9/11) Paid $110.85 (A-A-A-A)