10/5: Belmont (4th-11th); Keeneland (6th-11th)
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)
Might not be much of a betting affair, but worth highlighting with Lucky Dime a half to Mitole, Harlem Heights a half to Point of Entry/Pine Island, etc., and Highland Glory a full to Highland Sky..
Best Value: #3 Harlem Heights 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Highland Glory 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Always a Queen 4-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Maedean 3-1 WON ($9.80)
5th: BEL Turf Sprint, 3+, 6f-T (P3, DD)
The Lucky Coin trifecta back for this and merit respect, but new faces Hawkish (6-1) and Fully Vested (12-1) are competitive and nicely priced..
Best Value: #4 Hawkish 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Final Frontier 7-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Fully Vested 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Disco Partner 7-5 5th
6th: Matron (G3), 2yo-F, 6f-IT (Empire 6, P3, DD)
Best Value: #4 Pure Wow 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Karak 7-5 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Alms 1-1 WON ($3.30)
Super Add: #3 Time Limit 10-1 2nd
7th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)
Boys Division of 4th race with more pedigrees on parade including Tapage (out of Hystericalady), Jedi Master (half top Battle of Midway), Sonneman (out of Zardana) and debuting Vintage Print (Curlin), the $1,800,000 KEE’18 yearling for Larry Best. Deep and important-looking group going forward..
Best Value: #11 Cost Basis 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Sonneman 7-2 WON ($10.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Tapage 10-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Mo and Go 9-2 10th
8th: Hill Prince (G2), 3yo, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #8 Neptune’s Storm 8-1 WON ($22.40)
Next Best: #7 Standard Deviation 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Digital Age 9-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Taos 15-1 9th
9th: Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 Zulu Alpha 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Sadler’s Joy 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Channel Maker 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Ya Primo 6-1 7th
10th: Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (DD)
Even with SCR of Three Technique, this is a terrific Champagne. Tiz the Law is fastest coming in and merits long look as upseter, but that missed time for 2yo shin hiccup gives Green Light Go a slight edge. Alpha Sixty Six is the workmate of Breeders Futurity favorite Gouverneur Morris (KEE 10th) and right in line with the top pair. Gozilla is a 2yo people seem to want to hate on, but he fits with this cast..
Most Likely: #3 Green Light Go 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Tiz the Law 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Alpha Sixty Six 5-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Gozilla 6-1 4th
11th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T
Oopha. Mysterious group to close out very tricky sequences..
Best Value: #9 War Stopper 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Sul Moon 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 U S Army Corps 6-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Country Grammer 8-1 4th
P5 Grid:
7: 8-11 (A), 1-9 (B), 2-3-12 (C)
8: 5-7-8(A), – (B), 1-2-3 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 7 (B), 2-3-5(C)
10: 3-7(A), – (B), 1 (C)
11: 6-9 (A), – (B), 4-10-11 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
P4 Grid:
8: 5-7-8(A), 1-2-3 (B), – (C)
9: 1-6-7 (A), 2-3-5(B), – (C)
10: 3-7(A), – (B), 1 (C)
11: 6-9 (A), – (B), 4-10-11 (C)
Simple (A+B): 6x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
KEENELAND
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #9 Leinster 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Imprimus 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Extravagent Kid 3-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Satellite Storm 15-1 8th
7th: TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #1 Ours to Run 7-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Mia Mischief 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Chalon 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Spiced Perfection 7-2 WON ($10.20)
8th: First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #6 Vasilika 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Uni 4-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #11 Rushing Fall 9-5 4th
Super Add: #2 Awesometank 15-1 6th
9th: Breeders’ Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #2 By Your Side 6-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Gouverneur Morris 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Tap It to Win 3-1 10th
Super Add: #8 Ajaaweed 3-1 4th
10th: Shadwell Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Hi-5)
After the Vanderbilt effort, I was shocked that Biancone opted for this spot with Diamond Oops. But he’s improved with every start this year, is proven on turf and tactically fast. Dangerous under Leparoux at mammoth price..
Best Value: #7 Diamond Oops 30-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Valid Point 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Bowie’s Hero 8-1 WON ($18.40)
Super Add: #9 First Premio 12-1 4th
P5 Grid:
6: 2-3-9 (A), – (B), 6-8 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), – (B), 3-4-5-8 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 11 (B), 2-7 (C)
9: 2-10 (A), 1-8 (B), 5-6(C)
10: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), 3-8-9 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x3 = 216 x .50 = $108
All A’s: 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
11th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (Hi-5)
Best Value: #8 Street of Dreams 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Motu 9-2 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Further Lane 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Mom’s Pass 9-2 7th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Rising Seas 6-1 4th
P4 Grid:
8: 4-6 (A), 11 (B), 2-7 (C)
9: 1-2-8-10 (A), – (B), 5-6(C)
10: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), 3-8-9 (C)
11: 8-12(A), 4-5 (B), 3-9 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
$0.50 Pick-4 (4/6/5/12) Paid $978.95~ (A-C-A-A) $84