7/14: Saratoga (Day 4; Coronation Cup)
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P5, P3, DD)
Open group of 2yo fillies. No superfecta combo will shock. Think you need to spread wide if you’re serious about the P5..
Best Value: #8 Sign of the Times 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Days of Spring 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Sweet Melania 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #4 Pearlescent 6-1 4th
2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Keeping the Peace 5-2 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #6 Hot Mesa 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Passcode 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Elios Milos 9-2 4th
3rd: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Crack Shot 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Bears Mafia 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Wild Boar 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Risp 4-1 5th
4th:NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)
Best Value: #5 Our Destiny 12-1: Could speed pop while 1st Lasix and under featherweight..7th
Next Best: #8 No Salt 3-1: Mott debuters showing well; Tonalist 0/8 so far with his get..8th
Exotics Use: #7 South Africa 5-1: Out of SW mare, Schettine homebred has steady worktab..4th
Super Add: #6 Kobe 15-1: 1st starter for sire Japan is half to the quick Saucon Valley..5th
5th: CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Positive Skew 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Zandora 12-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Decorated Ace 10-1 WON ($20.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Sundrenched 12-1 7th
P5 Grid:
1: 5-8-9(A), 4-7-10 (B), 3-6 (C)
2: 3-6 (A), – (B), 7 (C)
3: 4-7 (A), 2-8 (B), – (C)
4: 5-7-8 (A), – (B), 1-6 (C)
5: 8 (A), – (B), 7 (C)
Simple (A+B): 6x2x4x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
P4 Grid:
2: 3-6-7 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
3: 2-4-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 5-7-8 (A), 1-4-6 (B), – (C)
5: 8 (A), 7 (B), 1-11(C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x4x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)
Best Value: #9 Danielle’s Pride 12-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Fetching 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Flush 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1e Tri County entry 4-1 7th/11th
7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #8 Binkster 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Cerretalto 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Zonic 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Sudden Surprise 7-2 5th
8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)
Best Value: #6 Xanthique 8-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Varenka 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Quiet Dignity 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Catch a Bid 5-2 2nd
9th: Coronation Cup, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)
Interesting move by Cox shifting Test targeting Break Even to turf, though note Klein family sire Country Day is 17% with his first grass starters. Abyssinian (ran Thursday) will SCR and Bit of Both (Entered at MTH) is expected to SCR..
Most Likely: #4 Break Even 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #6 Eyeinthesky 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Lyrical Lady 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 My Gallina 6-1 5th
10th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f
Best Value: #11 Star of the West 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Mine That Coin 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Wicked Trick 6-1 WON ($20.40)
Super Add: #4 Pickle Rick 8-1 7th
P5 Grid:
6: 4-9 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
7: 4-8 (A), – (B), 1-2 (C)
8: 6-11(A), 3-8 (B), – (C)
9: 4(A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 6-8-11 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x1x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
P4 Grid:
7: 4-8 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
8: 6-11(A), 3-8 (B), – (C)
9: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), 8 (C)
10: 6-8-11 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18