7/5: Belmont ($165k 2-day C/O)
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)
$165k C/O starts here..
Lone start winning fave No Mo Promises returns for Santulli/Duarte after 20 month layoff and seems plenty vulnerable, but many of the contenders sport ugly 1-fer records (1/18 Elenzee, 1/17 No Regrets, 1/24 La Maquina Gris, etc.). 3/1-0-0 Gallant Bid (6-1) SCR’Ddrops from starter company for Linda Rice, but may not get pace to chase. 6/1-0-1 Phil Gleaves homebred Yes and Yes (8-1) returns to site of his promising debut win..
Most Likely: #2 No Mo Promises 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 No Regrets 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Ellenzee 4-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: 6 Yes and Yes 8-1 3rd
5th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)
Happy Farm & Royal Asset look 1-2 from the break unless 7# bug Harkie gets aggressive with Swiping Dan SCR’D. Hard-hitting Bitumen turns back while first time for Jimmy Ryerson (22%) and his best races have come under a mile..
Most Likely: #1 Happy Farm 4-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #6 Bitumen 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Royal Asset 5-2 3rd
6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1-f-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Toughest event in the skein (as requested by Justin Dew) with new distance test for all involved save Monhegan who loped 11f last out. Pick (as many as you can afford) and pray..
Most Likely: #7 Romantic Interest 5-2 WON ($9.90)
Next Best: #5 Monhegan 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Giulla Ammannati 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Bacchanalia 4-1 4th
7th: River Memories, 4+, 12f-T (P3, DD)
SCRML favorite Gaining who runs in the G3 Dick at DEL Saturday and Dickinson on pair (Theodora B & Pamina) too..
Best Value: #12 Sky Full of Stars 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Semper Sententiae 9-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Fools Gold 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Scottish Jig 4-1 3rd
8th: Victory Ride (G3), 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD)
Brill & Cookie Dough get back to sprinting, but Royal Charlotte has tactical speed and I’d trust Castellano to place her appropriately from the outset..
Most Likely: #1 Royal Charlotte 9-5 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #4 Brill 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Sue’s Fortune 7-5 DNF/Eased
9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-T
Most Likely: #5 Moyne Spun 7-2 WON ($6.90)
Next Best: #1 Molly’s Nighthawk 9-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Pretty Spectacular 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #13 Fika 6-1 6th
P6 Grid:
4: 2 (A), 4 (B), 1-6 (C)
5: 1(A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
6: 5-7(A), – (B), 4-8 (C)
7: 2-4-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1(A), 4 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), – (B), 13-14 (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x1x2x3x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 1x1x2x3x1x3 = 18 x $2 = $36
$2 Pick-6 (1,3,10/1,5/7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) Paid $34.60 (5OF6)
$2 Pick-6 (1,3,10/1,5/7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) Paid $2,038.00 (6OF6) (C-A-A-A-A-A)
P5 Grid:
5: 1(A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
6: 4-5-7-8 (A), 1-2-6-10 (B), 3-9 (C)
7: 2-4-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1(A), 4 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), – (B), 13-14 (C)
Simple (A+B): 1x8x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 4x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $36
$0.50 Pick-5 (1,5/7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) All A’s Paid $219.25
P4 Grid:
6: 4-5-7-8 (A), 1-2-6-10 (B), 3-9 (C)
7: 2-4-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1(A), 4 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), – (B), 13-14 (C)
Simple (A+B): 8x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 4x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $36
$0.50 Pick-4 (7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) All A’s Paid $112.50