3/30: GP (Derby Day; P6 Force Out)

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value ~ Spot Play: #2 Donegal Aces(6-1): Full brother to long-winded $1.2MM earning Hard Aces debuts for Gargan who has won with 3 of his last 5 first time starters. Gives away experience to several that have run well against the likes of Country House, et al, so price could hold..

9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T/60′ (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Rainbow 6 Force Out starts here..

Brutally tough start to sequence where coverage of nearly everyone is necessary to guarantee safe passage. Four first time starters (2 Casses for Barber/Oxley & Farmer, a Brown/Klaravich and Motion/Sam-Son) complicate matter. Watch board for clues..

Best Value: #2 Overbold 15-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Machine Learning 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Trashmanscoming 20-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Social Paranoia 3-1 WON ($4.20)
Hi-5 Play: #5 Blameless 30-1 6th

10th: Sand Springs, F&M-4+, 1m-T/0′ (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Proctor’s Ledge 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Fire Key 10-1 4th
Next Best : #8 Andina Del Sur 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Valedictorian 5-2 WON ($7.40)

11th: Cond. CLM, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

A lot of speed signed on here..

Best Value: #4 Rock Doc 8-1 11th
Next Best: #5 Restoring Hope 9-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Gleason 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Fast Pass 6-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Green Mansions 20-1 7th

12th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-T/60′ (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Squirrely bunch. Along with the 9th, the most inscrutable event in the skein..

Most Likely: #8 Battle of Blenheim 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Tombelaine 9-2 WON ($21.00)
Best Value: #4 Space Mountain 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Second Mate 4-1 2nd

13th: Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T/0′ (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Focus Group 4-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #2 Melmich 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Canessar 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Bigger Picture 6-1 7th

14th: Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Hidden Scroll 5-2 6th
Next Best: #9 Code of Honor 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Harvey Wallbanger 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Bourbon War 7-2 4th
Super/Hi-5: #10 Union’s Destiny 30-1 7th

P6 Grid:

9: 2-7-8-10 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-4-6-12 (C)
10: 2-9 (A), – (B), 4-5-6-8 (C)
11: 3-4-5(A), 1-8 (B), 9-10-11 (C)
12: 2-8 (A), 4-11 (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 1-2 (A), – (B), 4-9 (C)
14: 1 (A), – (B), 3-4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x5x4x2x1 = 480 x .20 = $96
All A’s: 4x2x3x2x2x1 = 96 x .20 = $19.20

P5 Grid:

10: 2-9 (A), – (B), 4-5-6-8 (C)
11: 3-4-5(A), 1-8 (B), 9-10-11 (C)
12: 2-8 (A), 4-11 (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 1-2-4-9 (A), – (B), 3-8 (C)
14: 1 (A), – (B), 3-4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x4x4x1 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x3x2x4x1 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

11: 3-4-5(A), 1-8 (B), 9-10-11 (C)
12: 2-4-8-11 (A), 1-6 (B), 3-9 (C)
13: 1-2-4-9 (A), – (B), 3-8 (C)
14: 1 (A), – (B), 3-4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x6x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x4x4x1 = 48 x .50 = $24

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