6/23: Churchill (P5); Santa Anita ($160k C/O)

By kasept. Filed in 2018  |  
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Please take a moment today to pay respects to Shantel Lanerie who was taken by cancer Friday at 42. She was valiant in her fight and leaves anguished family and friends heartbroken. Our collective love and sympathy to Corey and especially 10yo Brittlyn..

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Shoreline 2-1: Asmussen side of potent Farish pair..2nd/5th
Best Value: #4 Apollo’s Leap 12-1: 2nd time for son of MGSW Aspenglow; 3/4 to Shimmering Aspen..4th
Next Best: #6 Travelling Midas 5-2: Nibbler, now gelded, moves to trusty Rusty..WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Fox Red 8-1: Debuting for Norm Casse and working well.. 7th

8th: Opt CLM/$80k, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Mile ALW stacked with stakes winners and the like. Hate leaving board regular Saham out of quad, but he hasn’t won since 2015..

Most Likely: #8 Le Ken 9-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Archanova 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Siem Riep 10-1 WON ($10.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Tweet Kitten 9-2 5th

9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Mysterious 2nd level ALW/Opt CLM group that includes trip of 6 & 7 time winners Majestic Affair, Icatiro and Bordini. Last two are first/claim for powerful next out conditioners Kenneally (40%) & Amoss (31%)..

Best Value: #8 Bordini 12-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Icatiro 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Barry Lee 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Majestic Affair 6-1 WON ($11.20)

10th: Roxelana, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Vertical Oak the filly to beat but has been known to react to big efforts. There’s some heat on the front end here and perhaps Golden Domer sits behind and gets to leaders late?

Best Value: #2 Golden Domer 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Vertical Oak 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Astrollinthepark 3-1 WON ($9.80)
Super Add: #7 Miss Kentucky 5-2 2nd

11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (Hi-5)

Tricky ending to fun, challenging sequence..

Best Value: #8 Red Clay Magic 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Seize 4-1 WON ($15.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Extricate 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Parade Blue 6-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #5 Time On Target 6-1 6th

P5 Grid:

7: 1-4 (A), – (B), 3-5-6(C)
8: 1-8 (A), 2-6(B), 3-5 (C)
9: 1-8 (A), – (B), 2-4-9 (C)
10: 2-3 (A), 6(B), 7 (C)
11: 1-2-8 (A), – (B), 4-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

8: 1-8 (A), 2-6(B), 3-5 (C)
9: 1-8 (A), 2 (B), 4-9 (C)
10: 2-3 (A), 6(B), 7 (C)
11: 1-2-4-8 (A), – (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Swayze 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Explorer 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Clear the Mine 4-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Kona Coast 12-1 7th

8th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 I Am the Danger 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Outlaw 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Facts Matter 12-1 WON ($22.40)
Super Add: #8 Paddock Pick 5-2 3rd

9th: MCLM/$30k, 3uo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Brighton Boy 4-1 9th
Best Value: #11 Michael Mundo 8-1 WON ($25.60)
Next Best: #1 Friendly Steve 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: ##10 Imagineimfastest 8-1 2nd

10th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 California Journey 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Cool Green 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Six Point Rack 5-2 6th
Super Add: #1 Save Ground 4-1 3rd

11th: 80th San Carlos (G2), 3+, 7f (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Stone Hands 4-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Touching Rainbows 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 American Anthem 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Super Add: #8 Dabster 4-1 5th

12th: MCLM/$50k, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Temple Princess 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Our Slick Chick 5-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #5 Chalky 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Conformation 4-1 7th

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