BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-OCLM/CND, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Bust Another won Mike Lee here and at this trip last year and race 2 back will win this; Bobby On Fleek clearly a different horse on dry fast strip; Bavaro may be coming back to best and Davis will see that he makes lead; Toohottoevenspeak runs his best races at 7/8th and took step forward for Schos last out. Won’t be 20-1

Best Value: #7 Bavaro 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Bobby On Fleek 1-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Toohottoevenspeak 20-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Sudden Surprise 5-1 6th

2nd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Favorites look solid, but Sand City (City Zip) has license to like move to lawn..

Most Likely: #1 Dreamy Margarita 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #10 Sand City 10-1 9th
Next Best: #5 She’s Dreamin 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Spring Folly Late SCR

3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Looks like a bit of a chess match with not a lot of obvious pace signed on other than good ol’ Fox Rules who lands ideal pilot in Jose Ortiz. Monster Bea was OK v. serious company as a 3yo and should be better 2nd off break..

Best Value: #5 Monster Bea 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Fox Rules 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Turbo Street 7-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Zennor 5-2 WON ($8.90)

4th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Mr Classical debuts for Juddmonte/Brown and has tab that says go; Rough Sea a potentially clever debut claim ($50k) by savvy Niall Saville; $375k Marshall Plan doggedly pursued leader in debut before being caught late; Well bred Newman totes dangerous ‘eased last’ line; Emancipation is the full brother of Orb..

Most Likely: #2 Mr Classical 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Marshall Plan 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Newman 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Irst 8-1 6th

5th: 120th Tremont, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Nick Tammaro made good case for Pletcher fave as more than just speed of the speed..

Most Likely: #7 Salmanazar 2-1 7th
Best Value: #1 He Hate Me 8-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #5 Direct Dial 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Analyze the Odds 6-1 5th

P5 Grid:

1: 7-8 (A), – (B), 1-3 (C)
2: 1-10 (A), 5-7 (B), 4-12 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-8 (C)
4: 2-5-6 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)
5: 7 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

2: 1-10 (A), 5-7 (B), 4-12 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-8 (C)
4: 2-5-6 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)
5: 1-5-7 (A), – (B), 2-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x = 36 x .50 = $18

6th: MSW, 3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Im the Captain Now 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Into the Breach 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Rocketry 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #9 Markitoff 12-1 8th

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Top pair own edge on good group, but Rice’s Tiz He the One (first turf) and Pletcher’s J. S. Choice (first as 3yo) offer price options..

Most Likely: #3 Bricks and Mortar 7-2 WON ($7.30)
Next Best: #8 Snap Decision 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #12 J. S. Choice 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Cruz Diez 8-1 5th

8th: 39th True North (G2), 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Plenty of pace to set up Whitmore..

Most Likely: #8 Whitmore 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Roy H 12-1 WON ($14.80)
Next Best: #3 Noholdingback Bear 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Stallwalkin’ Dude 3-1 4th

9th: 74th New York (G2), F&M-4+, 10f-IT (P3, NY-Met Mile DBL, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dacita 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Kitten’s Roar 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Sea Calisi 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Suffused 6-1 5th

DBL Grid:

NY: 4-8 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-7-9 (C)
Met: 2-3-5-9-12 (A), 8-10-11 (B), 1-4-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4×8 = $32

10th: 4th Belmont Gold Cup (G3), 4+, 16f-T (Gold Cup-Belmont DBL, DD)

UK shoppes market via Oddschecker: https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-ra…k/22:46/winner

Most Likely: #12 Wicklow Brave 5-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Red Cardinal 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #5 Clondaw Warrior 12-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 St Michel 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Wall of Fire 8-1 8th

DBL Grid:

GC: 10-12 (A), 5-11-13 (B), 3-9 (C)
BS: 2-7-8 (A), 1-6 (B), 3-4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5×5 = 25 X $2 = $50
Backup (C+A/B/C): 2×8 = $16

11th: 61st Bed o’ Roses (G3), F&M-4+, 7f

Most Likely: #9 By the Moon 2-1 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #7 Mia Torri 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 High Ridge Road 4-1 –
Exotics Use: #5 Lightstream 7-2 3rd

P4 Grid:

8: 8 (A), – (B), 3-7-9 (C)
9: 2-4-6-8 (A), – (B), 1-3-5-7 (C)
10: 5-10-12 (A), 4-11-13 (B), 9 (C)
11: 7-9 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 1x4x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

This entry was posted on Friday, June 9th, 2017 at 6:08 am and is filed under 2017. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Responses are currently closed, but you can trackback from your own site.