G1 Paddy Smithwick highlights Thursday
By kasept. Filed in 2016 |Tags: Saratoga
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: 20th A.P. Smithwick (NSA-G1), 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Bob Le Beau 5-2
Best Value: #1 Spirit of Shankly 10-1
Next Best: #2 Maserati 9-2
Exotics Use: #3 Schoodic 6-1
2nd: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)
Always dangerous Rivelli a rash on this card with desperate Cocked/Loaded here, Tizway baby in 3rd and live Daddy’s Boo in 8th..
Most Likely: #6 Cocked and Loaded 9-5
Best Value: #4 Zen Papa 9-2
Next Best: #1 Pinstripe 2-1
Exotics Use: #3 Formal Summation 8-1
3rd: MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2 Bellelarama 4-1
Best Value: #1e E. Barker entry 6-1
Next Best: #7 Tizway That Way 6-1
Exotics Use: #8 Murrell’s Belle 7-2
4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 MADCAP HEIRESS 3-1
Best Value: #4 Midnight Visitor 10-1
Next Best: #5 Catsadiva 5-1
Exotics Use: #2 Timido 9-2
5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Tizanillusion 9-5
Next Best: #6 Cosmic Tale 4-1
Best Value: #4 Sober On Sunday 6-1
Exotics Use: #5 Wildcat Belle 7-2
6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)
#12 (AE) Swing and Sway (15-1) not into body of race, but add her to your stable mail..
Most Likely: #5 Great Neck 8-1
Next Best: #4 Miss Horoscope 12-1
Exotics Use: #6 Tiznow’s Smile 10-1
Super Add: #1 Passporttovictory 5-1
P5 Grid:
2: 4-6 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-5 (C)
3: 1-2 (A), 7-8 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
4: 3 (A), – (B), 1-2-4-5-6-8 (C)
5: 1-6 (A), – (B), 4-5-7-9 (C)
6: 4-5-6 (A), 1-3-7 (B), 2-9-10-11 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x2x6 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x1x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)
P4 Grid:
3: 1-2-7-8 (A), – (B), 3-4-5 (C)
4: 3 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-2-6-8 (C)
5: 1-6 (A), – (B), 4-5-7-9 (C)
6: 4-5-6 (A), 1-3-7 (B), 2-9-10-11 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 4x1x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)
7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Wide open and while Downside Scenario (8-5) will be heavily bet on the fire sale, she’s no better than the next half dozen..
Most Likely: #2 Same Kinda Crazy 6-1
Next Best: #5 Downside Scenario 8-5
Best Value: #1 Bobbe Zena 20-1
Exotics Use: #8 May Flowers 15-1
Super Add: #10 Barrier to Entry 9-2
8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 Daddy’s Boo 20-1
Next Best: #9 Songoffireandice 8-5
Exotics Use: #2 Joyful Hope 4-1
Super Add: #8 Coming Attraction 9-2
9th: 7th Quick Call, 3yo, 5.5f-T (DD)
Most Likely: #7 Holding Gold 5-2
Best Value: #2 Bust Another 10-1
Next Best: #9 Too Discreet 2-1
Exotics Use: #5 Don’t Be So Salty 12-1
10th: NY-CLM, 3+, 6.5f
Best Value: #8 More Zen Tea 6-1
Next Best: #3 Bug Juice 5-2
Exotics Use: #1 Readbytheline 3-1
Super Add: #5 Street Lord 8-1
P4 Grid:
7: 1-2-5-8 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)
8: 1-9 (A), 2 (B), 8 (C)
9: 7 (A), 2-9 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
10: 1-3-8 (A), 1-2-5 (B), 4-6-7 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x6 = 216 x .50 = $108
All A’s: 4x2x1x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)
Good luck!
Steve