Opening Wknd ends with $333k C/O
By kasept. Filed in 2016 |
Challenging opening days of Spa session continued Sunday with $28, $26, $40 and $60 horses dotting the landscape. The last 2 numbers were piloted by exploding Ricardo Santana Jr., bracketed Songbird’s efficient dispatching of the CCA Oaks and triggered a 2-day P6 carryover of $333,445 on an otherwise mundane Monday.
Turf events are always going to be deep and contentious, but notably over the first 72 hours of racing in 16 main track events, only 2 horses have managed to go wire to wire: Bowie, desperate for the line at 5.5f Friday, and 3-10 Songbird. As suggested Saturday here and with Rich Migliore on Loose on the Lead Sunday, the advantage for outside stalker-closers on the dirt may continue until the area gets some significant rain. Meanwhile, dig in the heels and keep shopping for prices. The scores are out there!
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Girl Talk 8-5
Next Best: #2 Verve’s Tale 9-5
Exotics Use: #4 Reknown 8-1
2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Grey Glory 2-1
Best Value: #6 Boomerang Toy 5-1
Next Best: #5 Saratoga Sight 7-2
Exotics Use: #7 New York’s Zip 8-1
3rd: CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2 Patton Proud 4-1
Best Value: #3 Pinstripe 8-5
Next Best: #4 Zoo Yorker 5-2
4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)
$333,445 DBL P6 C/O starts here..
Watch board for clues in this exceedingly murky NY-bred quagmire that starts $1,000,000+ sequence in difficult fashion..
Best Value: #2 With Wings 20-1
Next Best: #6 Lady Joan 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 Jacqueline D 8-1
Super Add: #4 Stichy G 8-1
5th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)
Half this field (3-5-6-7-8-12) is making no more than 3rd career start while other half (1-2-4-9-10-11) is 0/64. Danger here is that among the 0/64 set you have some fillies (like Flying K C) that will see the roulette ball fall into their slot at some point..
Most Likely: #7 Thin Dress 5-1
Best Value: #6 Brooklyn Gal 20-1
Next Best: #5 Tattletale Grey 8-1
Exotics Use: #12 Laurel Heights 9-5
P5 Grid:
1: 1-2
2: 6-8
3: 2-3
4: 2-4-5-6-9
5: 5-6-7
Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
P4 Grid:
2: 6-8 (A), 5 (B), 2-3-7 (C)
3: 2-3 (A), – (B), 1-4-5-6 (C)
4: 2-6 (A), 4-5-9 (B), 7-8-10 (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 5-12 (B), 2-8-10-12 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x2x2 = $16 ($8 for .50)
6th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Respect but don’t fear Startwithsilver (3-1) who can certainly can win. There are several here who are just as eligible at more attractive pricing..
Best Value: #6 Dreamboat Annie 12-1
Next Best: #8 Animal Appeal 2-1
Exotics Use: #4 She’s All Ready 5-1
Super Add: #3 Little Bear Cat 8-1
7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)
Best Value: #3 Mills 5-1
Next Best: #2 Tale of Life 9-2
Exotics Use: #4 Watershed 5-2
Super Add: #5 Doyouknowsomething 6-1
8th: Lucky Coin, 4+, 5.5f-T (DD)
Most Likely: #9 Long On Value 6-1
Next Best: #12 Undrafted 8-5
Best Value: #7 Beantown Saint 20-1
Exotics Use: #4 Spring to the Sky 4-1
9th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f
Best Value: #9 Two Putt 8-1
Next Best: #8 Here and There 9-2
Exotics Use: #2 Bermuda Triangle 5-1
Super Add: #6 Porch Pounder 8-1
P6 Grid:
4: 2-6 (A), 4-5 (B), 7-8-9-10 (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 5 (B), 2-10-12 (C)
6: 6-8 (A), 4 (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 3 (A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
8: 9-12 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 9 (A), 8 (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x1x2x2 = 144 x $2 = $288
All A’s: 2x2x2x1x2x1 = 16 x $2 = $32
P4 Grid:
6: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 2-3-4 (A), – (B), 1-5-6-7 (C)
8: 9-12 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-5-10 (C)
9: 8-9 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-4 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Good luck!
Steve