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#1
08-30-2025, 03:55 AM
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8/30: Saratoga (R5-13); KY Downs (R5-12); Del Mar (R7-11)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 5th (2:13pm ET): NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Tough Street 3-1 2nd Next Best Value: #8 Midtown Lights 8-1 WON ($13.00) Next Best Value: #3 Scythian 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Embraceable Gal 6-1 5th 6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Classic 'Big Saturday' Saratoga MSW.. Best Value: #5 Further Ado 5-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Talkin 9-2 WON ($20.60) Exotics Use: #3 Accost 3-1 4th Super Add: #7 Souper Caliber 8-1 7th 7th: Prioress (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD) Best Value: #4 Stone Smuggler 8-1: Interesting spot for seasonal debut; Can surprise.. 5th Next Best: #3 Delightful Claire 6-5 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Long Neck Paula 8-5 4th Super Add: #1 Flat Out Time 10-1 3rd 8th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD) Tough, tough group the 2 that have started getting slightest edge over any number of the sharp working firsters.. Most Likely: #10 Grittiness 9-2 6th Next Best: #2 Our Magical Moon 5-1 4th Best Value: #7 Buntus Foclora 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 Dragones 5-2 2nd 9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Shoot It True 5-2: Way the filly to catch and beat.. WON ($3.60) Next Best: #1 Girls Rock 6-1 4th Best Value: #12 Miriam's Fire 12-1 6th Exotics Use: #5 La Salvadorena 8-1 7th P5 Grid: 5: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 3-4-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C) 7: 3-4 ( A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-10 (A), - (B), 5-6-7 (C) 9: 4 (A), 1 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x2x2 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAACA): 3x3x2x3x1 = 54 x .50 = $27 P4 Grid: 6: 3-4-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C) 7: 3-4 ( A), - (B), 1-5 (C) 8: 2-7-10 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C) 9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x2 = 100 x .50 = $50 All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (ACAA): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-5 in 7th) 10th: Flower Bowl (G2), F&M-4+, 11f-Inner (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 La Mehena 2-1 4th Best Value: #2 Amber Cascade 10-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Bellezza 4-1 WON ($7.50) Exotics Use: #7 Be Your Best 5-2 3rd 11th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD) Brett Brinkman knows what to expect at the Spa having won 2 Prioress runnings with Sina (Gun Runner) sisters Cilla (California Chrome) and Alva Starr (Lord Nelson). Sina is faster coming in than Alva Starr was as a juvenile (not yet as fast as Cilla) and at 15-1, I have faith she'll run what it takes to be competitive.. Best Value: #6 Sina 15-1 7th Next Best: #8 Tommy Jo 2-1 WON ($4.00) Exotics Use: #5 Percy's Bar 6-1 2nd Super Add: #4 Mythical 5-2 5th 12th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD) Most Likely: #4 Surveillance 7-2 4th Next Best: #2 Rookie Card 7-2 5th Best Value: #5 Acoustic Ave 8-1 WON ($15.60) Exotics Use: #8 Victory Way 4-1 3rd 13th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T Most Likely: #5 Debt Limit 3-1 4th Best Value: #10 Without Caution 8-1 3rd Next Best: #12 Main Beach 9-2 5th Exotics Use: #2 Candytown 8-1 WON ($17.60) P5 Grid: 9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 5-6-8 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C) 12: 4 (A), 2 (B), - (C) 13: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-12 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x2x2 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAAAC): 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-12 in 13th) P4 Grid: 10: 2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 5-6-8 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C) 12: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C) 13: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-12 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x2 = 60 x .50 = $30 All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAAC): 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-12 in 13th) Let's get lucky! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 08-30-2025 at 07:40 PM. 
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#3
08-30-2025, 07:03 AM
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KENTUCKY DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES 4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD) Many of the best candidates are front end types (1-11-12) and a real pace is appears assured here. Who stays on? Most Likely: #12 Northern Chill 6-1: Fast, well-campaigned 4yo returns to turf, lures Joel.. 4th Best Value: #9 No Ah A 10-1 6th Next Best: #1 Operation Sunrise 7-2 WON ($5.54) Exotics Use: #2 Floodlites 8-1 12th 5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Pointsetmatch 9-2: Best effort came turf sprinting at FG in March; "Summer of Amoss".. 7th Best Value: #8 Sunshine Daydream 15-1 6th Next Best: #12 Senora d'Oro 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #10 Mimi's Grace 12-1 7th 6th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Beer Run obviously fastest, but seemingly is on way to career maidenhood. Danner's Clear the Beach has turfy page and established himself in dirt debut. Block offers O' Patrick who screams turf being by Mo Town out of a Temple City mare. Showed some speed in debut and adds blinkers & Loveberry.. Most Likely: #11 Clear the Beach 6-1 2nd Best Value: #8 O' Patrick 20-1 10th Next Best: #7 Mr Bobo 9-2 7th Exotics Use: #3 Beer Run 3-1 WON ($4.58) 7th: Gold Cup, 3+, 16.5f (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Limited Liability 2-1: Back to defend title.. 3rd Next Best: #7 Flatten the Curve 8-5 WON ($6.20) Best Value: #1 Goldeneye 10-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Tawny Port 9-2 2nd 8th: Ladies Turf Sprint (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD) Wild group of experienced KYD runners where 5 own wins and 2 have placements. Defending winner Ag Bullet commands respect, but there's several here that can intercede.. Best Value: #7 Oujda 20-1: Walden 0 for 6 here but sure to earn laurels this season; WO STK winner looms large at bonus tote.. 9th Next Best: #6 Ag Bullet 7-5 WON ($5.34) Exotics Use: #10 Time to Dazzle 8-1 4th Super Add: #2 Zeitlos 6-1 5th P5 Grid: 4: 9-12 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C) 5: 3-8 (A), 10-12 (B), - (C) 6: 7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96 All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-2 in 4th) P5 Grid: 5: 3-8 (A), 10-12 (B), - (C) 6: 7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 9th: Turf Sprint (G2), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) The most difficult race of the day? Hard not to side with the ones that have run well here.. Most Likely: #2 Howard Wolowitz 7-2 2nd Best Value: #1 Implementation 10-1 8th Next Best: #6 Khaadem 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 One Timer SCR 10th: Nashville Derby (G3), 3yo, 12.5f (P3, DD) Burnham Square was always going to get a turf try given turf stake winning dam Linda (a Scat Daddy daughter who was 2/1-0-1 over this course). Test Score is the division leader. Tiztastic won twice here in 10 days last season. Wimbledon Hawkeye is a small, agile type that kept top company abroad.. Most Likely: #5 Burnham Square 6-1 2nd ~ BEAT BYK Next Best: #2 Test Score 4-1 4th Best Value: #7 Tiztastic 20-1 10th Exotics Use: #12 Wimbledon Hawkeye 7-2 WON ($6.54) 11th: Ladies Turf (G3), F&M-3+, 1m (DD) Wait.. This is the most difficult race of the day.. Most Likely: #2 Special Wan 7-2 WON ($6.44) Next Best: #6 Lady Ilze 9-2 7th Best Value: #7 Sacred Wish 8-1 8th Exotics Use: #3 Cheshire Dancer 6-1 4th 12th: MSW, 2yo, 6f Tough call on well bred/well meant firsters v. those that have had starts.. Most Likely: #4 Drop Shot 9-2 4th Next Best: #1 Boonesboro 5-1 6th Best Value: #7 Wexford One 12-1 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Judicial Review 8-1 WON ($20.06) P5 Grid: 8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 5 (A), 2 (B), 7-11-12 (C) 11: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 12: 1-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AACAA): 2x3x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54 (7-11-12 in 10th) P4 Grid: 9: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 2-5 (A), 7 (B), 1-11-12 (C) 11: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 12: 1-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x4 = 108 x .50 = $54 All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (ACAA): 3x3x3x2 = 54 x .50 = $27 (1-11-12 in 10th) Let's get lucky! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 08-30-2025 at 08:02 PM.
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#4
08-30-2025, 07:04 AM
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DEL MAR
POST-SCRATCHES 7th: OC-$100k/C, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Sneaker 9-2 9th Next Best: #4 Vibez 7-2 WON ($5.40) Best Value: #8 Khinjani 10-1 7th Exotics Use: #2 Spicybug 6-1 2nd 8th: CA-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #7 LADY K WESTFALL 15-1: Luis Mendez special.. 3rd Next Best: #5 Miss Kona 5-2 WON ($4.40) Exotics Use: #3 Cecilia Street 12-1 9th Super Add: #2 Cashed 6-1 2nd 9th: Green Flash H. (G3), 3+, 6f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #10 Motorious 5-2: Hard not to respect as he goes for 3rd straight.. WON-Up via DQ ($5.60) Best Value: #2 No Nay Hudson 12-1 4th Next Best: #11 Queen Maxima 9-2 6th Exotics Use: #9 First Peace 5-1 11th 10th: Pacific Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (DD) Incredible to get this match up with Fierceness going West and Journalism ready for elders already. Meanwhile Nysos SCR'D is laying in wait for his first 10f test. Feels like a rare circumstance where regularly favored Fierceness is the value play.. Best Value: #1 Fierceness 3-1 WON ($5.20) Next Best: #6 Journalism 9-5 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Indispensable 15-1 4th 11th: Del Mar H. (G2), 3+, 11f-T (Hi-5) Gold Phoenix looks for 4th DMR H. win, but Prat will need to be a magician working out the trip.. Most Likely: #4 Stay Hot 5-1 2nd Best Value: #7 Truly Quality 6-1 4th Next Best: #11 Gold Phoenix 3-1 WON ($6.20) Exotics Use: #5 Atitlan 5-1 3rd P5 Grid: 9: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 7 (A), 5 (B), - (C) 11: 2-10-11 (A), 5-8-9 (B), - (C) 12: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 13: 4-7 (A), - (B), 5-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAAAC): 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-11 in 13th) P4 Grid: 10: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 2-10-11 (A), 5-8-9 (B), - (C) 12: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 13: 4-7 (A), - (B), 5-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-11 in 13th) $0.50 Pick 4 (5/10/12-3/10/14/15-1-2/3//11) Paid $65.80 (A-A-A-C) Let's get lucky! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 08-30-2025 at 10:44 PM.
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#5
08-30-2025, 10:34 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
08-30-2025, 01:09 PM
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Quote:
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#8
08-30-2025, 01:17 PM
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Quote:
 maybe 
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"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
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