8/30: Saratoga (R5-13); KY Downs (R5-12); Del Mar (R7-11)
 

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th (2:13pm ET): NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Tough Street 3-1 2nd
Next Best Value: #8 Midtown Lights 8-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best Value: #3 Scythian 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Embraceable Gal 6-1 5th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Classic 'Big Saturday' Saratoga MSW..

Best Value: #5 Further Ado 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Talkin 9-2 WON ($20.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Accost 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Souper Caliber 8-1 7th


7th: Prioress (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Stone Smuggler 8-1: Interesting spot for seasonal debut; Can surprise.. 5th
Next Best: #3 Delightful Claire 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Long Neck Paula 8-5 4th
Super Add: #1 Flat Out Time 10-1 3rd


8th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Tough, tough group the 2 that have started getting slightest edge over any number of the sharp working firsters..

Most Likely: #10 Grittiness 9-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Our Magical Moon 5-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Buntus Foclora 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Dragones 5-2 2nd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Shoot It True 5-2: Way the filly to catch and beat.. WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #1 Girls Rock 6-1 4th
Best Value: #12 Miriam's Fire 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 La Salvadorena 8-1 7th


P5 Grid:

5: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-4-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
7: 3-4 ( A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-10 (A), - (B), 5-6-7 (C)
9: 4 (A), 1 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x2x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x3x2x3x1 = 54 x .50 = $27


P4 Grid:

6: 3-4-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
7: 3-4 ( A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
8: 2-7-10 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAA): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-5 in 7th)


10th: Flower Bowl (G2), F&M-4+, 11f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 La Mehena 2-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Amber Cascade 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Bellezza 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #7 Be Your Best 5-2 3rd


11th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Brett Brinkman knows what to expect at the Spa having won 2 Prioress runnings with Sina (Gun Runner) sisters Cilla (California Chrome) and Alva Starr (Lord Nelson). Sina is faster coming in than Alva Starr was as a juvenile (not yet as fast as Cilla) and at 15-1, I have faith she'll run what it takes to be competitive..

Best Value: #6 Sina 15-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Tommy Jo 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Percy's Bar 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Mythical 5-2 5th


12th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Surveillance 7-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Rookie Card 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Acoustic Ave 8-1 WON ($15.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Victory Way 4-1 3rd


13th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #5 Debt Limit 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Without Caution 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Main Beach 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Candytown 8-1 WON ($17.60)


P5 Grid:

9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-6-8 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
12: 4 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
13: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x2x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-12 in 13th)


P4 Grid:

10: 2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-6-8 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
12: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x2 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-12 in 13th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

What a day of racing today. Good luck Steve and everyone else.

KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Many of the best candidates are front end types (1-11-12) and a real pace is appears assured here. Who stays on?

Most Likely: #12 Northern Chill 6-1: Fast, well-campaigned 4yo returns to turf, lures Joel.. 4th
Best Value: #9 No Ah A 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Operation Sunrise 7-2 WON ($5.54)
Exotics Use: #2 Floodlites 8-1 12th


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Pointsetmatch 9-2: Best effort came turf sprinting at FG in March; "Summer of Amoss".. 7th
Best Value: #8 Sunshine Daydream 15-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Senora d'Oro 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Mimi's Grace 12-1 7th


6th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Beer Run obviously fastest, but seemingly is on way to career maidenhood. Danner's Clear the Beach has turfy page and established himself in dirt debut. Block offers O' Patrick who screams turf being by Mo Town out of a Temple City mare. Showed some speed in debut and adds blinkers & Loveberry..

Most Likely: #11 Clear the Beach 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 O' Patrick 20-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Mr Bobo 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Beer Run 3-1 WON ($4.58)


7th: Gold Cup, 3+, 16.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Limited Liability 2-1: Back to defend title.. 3rd
Next Best: #7 Flatten the Curve 8-5 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #1 Goldeneye 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Tawny Port 9-2 2nd


8th: Ladies Turf Sprint (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Wild group of experienced KYD runners where 5 own wins and 2 have placements. Defending winner Ag Bullet commands respect, but there's several here that can intercede..

Best Value: #7 Oujda 20-1: Walden 0 for 6 here but sure to earn laurels this season; WO STK winner looms large at bonus tote.. 9th
Next Best: #6 Ag Bullet 7-5 WON ($5.34)
Exotics Use: #10 Time to Dazzle 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Zeitlos 6-1 5th


P5 Grid:

4: 9-12 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
5: 3-8 (A), 10-12 (B), - (C)
6: 7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-2 in 4th)


P5 Grid:

5: 3-8 (A), 10-12 (B), - (C)
6: 7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


9th: Turf Sprint (G2), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

The most difficult race of the day? Hard not to side with the ones that have run well here..

Most Likely: #2 Howard Wolowitz 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Implementation 10-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Khaadem 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 One Timer SCR


10th: Nashville Derby (G3), 3yo, 12.5f (P3, DD)

Burnham Square was always going to get a turf try given turf stake winning dam Linda (a Scat Daddy daughter who was 2/1-0-1 over this course). Test Score is the division leader. Tiztastic won twice here in 10 days last season. Wimbledon Hawkeye is a small, agile type that kept top company abroad..

Most Likely: #5 Burnham Square 6-1 2nd ~ BEAT BYK
Next Best: #2 Test Score 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Tiztastic 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #12 Wimbledon Hawkeye 7-2 WON ($6.54)


11th: Ladies Turf (G3), F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Wait.. This is the most difficult race of the day..

Most Likely: #2 Special Wan 7-2 WON ($6.44)
Next Best: #6 Lady Ilze 9-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Sacred Wish 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Cheshire Dancer 6-1 4th


12th: MSW, 2yo, 6f

Tough call on well bred/well meant firsters v. those that have had starts..

Most Likely: #4 Drop Shot 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Boonesboro 5-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Wexford One 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Judicial Review 8-1 WON ($20.06)


P5 Grid:

8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5 (A), 2 (B), 7-11-12 (C)
11: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 2x3x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54 (7-11-12 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

9: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-5 (A), 7 (B), 1-11-12 (C)
11: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x4 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAA): 3x3x3x2 = 54 x .50 = $27 (1-11-12 in 10th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: OC-$100k/C, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Sneaker 9-2 9th
Next Best: #4 Vibez 7-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #8 Khinjani 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Spicybug 6-1 2nd


8th: CA-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 LADY K WESTFALL 15-1: Luis Mendez special.. 3rd
Next Best: #5 Miss Kona 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Cecilia Street 12-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Cashed 6-1 2nd


9th: Green Flash H. (G3), 3+, 6f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Motorious 5-2: Hard not to respect as he goes for 3rd straight.. WON-Up via DQ ($5.60)
Best Value: #2 No Nay Hudson 12-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Queen Maxima 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #9 First Peace 5-1 11th


10th: Pacific Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

Incredible to get this match up with Fierceness going West and Journalism ready for elders already. Meanwhile Nysos SCR'D is laying in wait for his first 10f test. Feels like a rare circumstance where regularly favored Fierceness is the value play..

Best Value: #1 Fierceness 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #6 Journalism 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Indispensable 15-1 4th


11th: Del Mar H. (G2), 3+, 11f-T (Hi-5)

Gold Phoenix looks for 4th DMR H. win, but Prat will need to be a magician working out the trip..

Most Likely: #4 Stay Hot 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Truly Quality 6-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Gold Phoenix 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Atitlan 5-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

9: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 7 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
11: 2-10-11 (A), 5-8-9 (B), - (C)
12: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 4-7 (A), - (B), 5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-11 in 13th)


P4 Grid:

10: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-10-11 (A), 5-8-9 (B), - (C)
12: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 4-7 (A), - (B), 5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-11 in 13th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (5/10/12-3/10/14/15-1-2/3//11) Paid $65.80 (A-A-A-C)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

SAR SCR/CHG'S

KYD SCR/CHG'S

DMR SCR/CHG'S

Wow...3 horse photo in the Spa 3rd:eek:

I hate to redboard but that 2nd race at kd was alright :)

:$: maybe :D