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Old 01-15-2014, 07:16 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,060
Default 1/15: Gulfstream Park (5th-10th)

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 1m-T/60' (Jackpot Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Tremendously intriguing group with surface switchers possessing decent back form on grass (20-1 Molly Morgan; 5-2 Via Villaggio), a trio of barn movers (3-1 Long Face and 6-1 Euro Import Triple Charm to Clement; 4-1 Alaura Michelle to Pletcher) and a pair of medium priced 'shots with races two back that can win (10-1 Gamay Noir; 8-1 Royal Fury). No bad combos for you to try here and be thankful this isn't in the P5 or late P4..

Best Value: #3 Gamay Noir 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Via Villaggio 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Long Face 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Molly Morgan 20-1 8th


6th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Isutalkintome 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Megalith 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Playing a Joke 12-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Sinorice 8-1 3rd


7th: MCLM/$50k, 3yo-F, 5f-T/60' (P4, P3, DD)

Torturous set of $50k maidens featuring eye-crossing assembly of turf movers, barn switchers, class droppers and first time starters. There are some gaudy trainer stats in tow here that may be clues or may confound including Herman Wilensky (20-1 When We Act) hitting at an astounding 50% W's with his last 24 acquisitions ($3.17 ROI). If you want to go back further, he's still good for a 26% clip with his last 148 for a $2.73 ROI..

Most Likely: #5 Rogue Lady 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 When We Act 20-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Claque 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Starship Journey 6-1 WON ($17.60)


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Slightly awkward group of fillies and mares with potential for a surprise. Eastern Atlantic (Stormy Atlantic) makes a late-in-life first start on dirt and there is reasonable expectation that she might like it. The 5yo mare is out of Echo d'Or, a full sister to the excellent Meyerhoff-owned, Buddy Delp-trained sire Western Echo. Echo d'Or herself was a good dirt sprinter and Eastern Atlantic merits an upset look..

Most Likely: #5 Private Ensign 4-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #7 Eastern Atlantic 12-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Arriba Anna 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Pixie Devil 3-1 3rd


9th: MCLM/$35k, 3yo, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Ack Rider 4-1 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #2 Tappintothemusic 6-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Mesa Way 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Valid Concept 8-1 4th


10th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 5f-T/60' (Super Hi-5)

Wire Funds appears very imposing here. Consistent and already fastest coming in, he should get targets to stalk as well. First turf Full Moon's Back mildly interesting with unraced dam Moonshot a half sis to very nice Drysdale GSW & G1PL mare Cat By the Tale..

Most Likely: #3 Wire Funds 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #1 Full Moon's Back 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Didn't Take It 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Statutorial 10-1 8th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Thomas Hill 8-1 2nd


<$100 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 $6.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P5: 5 with 5 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $2.00
3 $1.00 pick P5: 2,6 with 4,7 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $8.00
4 $1.00 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 2,7,9 with 2,3 with 3 - $12.00
5 $1.00 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 5 with 6,7 with 3 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 4,7 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 5 with 2,7,9 with 2,3 with 3 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 5 with 5 with 6,7 with 3 - $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 4,7 with 2,7,9 with 2,3 with 3 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 4,7 with 5 with 6,7 with 3 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 2,7,9 with 6,7 with 3 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 6,8,12 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 4,6 with 2,3 with 3 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 5 with 2,3 with 1,8 - $4.00

Total: $75.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $9.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 2,7,9 with 2,3 with 3 - $9.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 5 with 6,7 with 3 -$3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 5 with 2,3 with 1 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 2,7,9 with 6,7 with 3 - $9.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 2,7,9 with 2,3 with 1 - $9.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 5 with 6,7 with 1 - $3.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8,12 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $3.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (3/1,3,5/1,3,11/2,3) Paid $105.85
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 4,6,8 with 2,3 with 3 - $9.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 5 with 2,3 with 8 -$3.00

Total: $60.00


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-16-2014 at 05:13 AM.
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