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Old 02-08-2012, 06:28 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,133
Default 2/8: Aqueduct ($30k C/O); Gulfstream (7th-11th)

Got lucky enough Super Bowl Sunday to catch Santa Anita double carryover for modest $2,200 ($1,900 + 9 consos). Parlay was half that number, so return was fine. The best feature of getting through the sequence was the three hours it devoured of the wait for gametime. Happy to hear that a few people came along or at least used first leg top tab Seeking Solace, $16.60 and the key to hitting the otherwise chalky set. $30k carry on a rather fun six pack at Aqueduct today and even though they are off the turf at Gulfstream, the P5 and P4 may be worth playing. I'll wait for the scratches at GP before forging thoughts.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$30k P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #3 Guyana Star Dweej 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Bird Tale 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Quiet Man 2-1 WON ($5.30)
Super Add: #6 War Hitch 5-2 5th


5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Chief Wild Eagle drops and cuts back. Return to November N2L effort at Philly beats this group by half dozen lengths..

Most Likely: #5 Chief Wild Eagle 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Howie and the Cat 20-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Mark It Man 7-2 WON ($11.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Kid Wando 3-1 3rd


6th: NY-$25k OC/C, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky group and there is every opportunity for favorites Bold Deed and Wise Stop to drill each other into submission. At that point, cutback Precious Metal and consistant Coaltown Legend -- both 6-1 ML items -- become interesting stalking and closing. Won Great Classic and Premium Wine are first off claims and have positives. Jupiter Trio (10-1) is going to be ignored and is certainly employable with return to mud win 2 back..

Best Value: #4 Precious Metal 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Won Great Classic 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Coaltown Legend 6-1 WON ($15.20)
Super Add: #8 Jupiter Trio 10-1 3rd


7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Will be scary singling Worth a Buck who just has no interest in hitting the wire first, but he has no excuse not beating these..

Most Likely: #9 Worth a Buck 1-1 WON ($2.70)
Best Value: #6 Purge Bird 10-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Gramercy 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Jazzbo 12-1 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m (DD, Super)

Another good group..

Most Likely: #8 Star of New York 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #7 Cribnote 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Cosmic King 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Crushing 12-1 4th


$1 Exacta (8-7) Paid $13.80
$1 Trifecta (8-7-6) Paid $36.75
$1 Superfecta (8-7-6-3) Paid $208.00



9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m (Super)

Zodiac Girl will be singled on most tickets, but remember that bad horses win bad races..

Most Likely: #6 Zodiac Girl 6-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #1 Marie's Babe 10-1
Next Best: #3 Quite a Feat 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Sundae's a Meese 20-1


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-3-5-6
5: 5
6: 2-3-4-5-6-7-8
7: 9
8: 6-7-8
9: 6

4x1x7x1x3x1 = 84 x $2 = $168

$2 Pick 6 (5/8/3/7,9/8,9/6,9) Paid $23.40 (5OF6)


<$25 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-5-6-7-8
7: 9
8: 6-7-8
9: 6

7x1x3x1 = $21

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/7,9/8,9/6,9) Paid $25.00



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P5, P3 , DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Sting Boy 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #10 Fancy Runner 20-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Gulf Ruckus 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Sweetlandofliberty 5-1 8th


8th: MSW, 3yo, 7.5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Al Mudeer 5th
Next Best: #3 Heavy Breathing WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Cybertron 4th


9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Cloudwatcher 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Martini 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Curahee Assault 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Seaside Escape 8-1 5th


10th: OC/N1X, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Dancing Solo 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Hearts of Red 10-1 WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #5 SCR


11th: MDN CLM-$35k, 3yo, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #15 Purest Form 15-1 WON ($39.00)
Next Best: #13 Minestrone 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Old Puerto 15-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Slinger 12-1 7th


<$75 P5 Play:

7: 4-7-9-10-12
8: 3-4
9: 4-8-9
10: 6
11: 4-9-11-13-15

5x2x3x1x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 3-4-10
9: 1-4-5-6-8-9
10: 6
11: 4-9-11-13-15

3x6x1x5 = 90 x .50 = $45


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 02-08-2012 at 06:46 PM.
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