Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 02-08-2012, 01:23 PM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,862
Default

Steve, I realize that the Rainbow 6 is a foolish bet on a regular basis, but is today not a decent day to take a swing. May not take more than 3-4 irregular results. Here is my logic. You're playing against others here, trying to be the only ticket standing at the end. By virtue of it being a Wednesday you are automatically up against the fewest opposing tickets all week. With 4 OFF THE TURF races lots of people that may normally play won't even bother 'capping meaning you are up against even less than a normal Wednesday. I would think that today may end up being one of the smallest days at Gulfstream all year, at least handle-wise. With the opposition passing on today, why not give it a spin.

Does this make sense or am I just looking for an excuse to play an otherwise decimated racecard?
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 02-08-2012, 01:29 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fantini33 View Post
Steve, I realize that the Rainbow 6 is a foolish bet on a regular basis, but is today not a decent day to take a swing. May not take more than 3-4 irregular results. Here is my logic. You're playing against others here, trying to be the only ticket standing at the end. By virtue of it being a Wednesday you are automatically up against the fewest opposing tickets all week. With 4 OFF THE TURF races lots of people that may normally play won't even bother 'capping meaning you are up against even less than a normal Wednesday. I would think that today may end up being one of the smallest days at Gulfstream all year, at least handle-wise. With the opposition passing on today, why not give it a spin.

Does this make sense or am I just looking for an excuse to play an otherwise decimated racecard?
http://www.gamblersanonymous.org/ga/hotlines
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 02-08-2012, 01:34 PM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,862
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK View Post
I know.....still reeling a bit from the Patriots loss and me having a $400 7 5 square that would have returned big beans if the last few minutes have gone a tad differently.

Hotline on speed dial.
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 02-08-2012, 01:35 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fantini33 View Post
I know.....still reeling a bit from the Patriots loss and me having a $400 7 5 square that would have returned big beans if the last few minutes have gone a tad differently.

Hotline on speed dial.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 02-08-2012, 01:52 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,322
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fantini33 View Post
Steve, I realize that the Rainbow 6 is a foolish bet on a regular basis, but is today not a decent day to take a swing. May not take more than 3-4 irregular results. Here is my logic. You're playing against others here, trying to be the only ticket standing at the end. By virtue of it being a Wednesday you are automatically up against the fewest opposing tickets all week. With 4 OFF THE TURF races lots of people that may normally play won't even bother 'capping meaning you are up against even less than a normal Wednesday. I would think that today may end up being one of the smallest days at Gulfstream all year, at least handle-wise. With the opposition passing on today, why not give it a spin.

Does this make sense or am I just looking for an excuse to play an otherwise decimated racecard?
It may be... I'm not convinced that any time other than mandatory payout day is the right time. Races 8, 9 and 10 look tight and clear, so there's no mystery there... 7 has a slight chance for a random winner and 11 a good chance someone other than the top choices. Haven't looked at R6.

You need at least 2 big prices and typically 2 mid-priced shots to clear the decks for a unique winner. I'm playing a P5 today between my published $72 play and $90 if I add a horse in the 7th. As I've said on air, there unique ticket plays have me a tad baffled as to their playability.

G/L whatever you do!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 02-08-2012, 05:19 PM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,862
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fantini33 View Post
Steve, I realize that the Rainbow 6 is a foolish bet on a regular basis, but is today not a decent day to take a swing. May not take more than 3-4 irregular results. Here is my logic. You're playing against others here, trying to be the only ticket standing at the end. By virtue of it being a Wednesday you are automatically up against the fewest opposing tickets all week. With 4 OFF THE TURF races lots of people that may normally play won't even bother 'capping meaning you are up against even less than a normal Wednesday. I would think that today may end up being one of the smallest days at Gulfstream all year, at least handle-wise. With the opposition passing on today, why not give it a spin.

Does this make sense or am I just looking for an excuse to play an otherwise decimated racecard?
Looks like 7 8 9 11 15 take the whole pot of $237,765. Sequence so far was $7.60 $5.40 $6.20 $84.40 $10.20. Two favorites, two second choices, one bomb.

I think I may have had the right idea.
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 02-08-2012, 05:41 PM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,862
Default

Blah blah ...chicken dinner. Whole pot......
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 02-08-2012, 05:42 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Nice call in the last at Gulfstream, Steve!
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 02-08-2012, 07:51 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,322
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman View Post
Nice call in the last at Gulfstream, Steve!
Thanks Nick. Was a nice consolation for a day that was full of potential and some OK opportunities. Hope everybody got something along the way..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 02-08-2012, 08:28 PM
dagolfer33's Avatar
dagolfer33 dagolfer33 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Baton Rouge, LA
Posts: 2,524
Default

I had $10WP in the last as well Steve, action money for the week!!

Thanks Steve. Your cappin has been very good lately, something huge is coming soon.
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 02-08-2012, 07:49 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,322
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fantini33 View Post
Looks like 7 8 9 11 15 take the whole pot of $237,765. Sequence so far was $7.60 $5.40 $6.20 $84.40 $10.20. Two favorites, two second choices, one bomb.

I think I may have had the right idea.
You had the right idea but I can't imagine using Who is Camille in that 9th race with anything but an 'all'.. Apparently the ticket was bought in Vegas.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:52 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.