Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-03-2011, 05:35 PM
my miss storm cat's Avatar
my miss storm cat my miss storm cat is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 22,025
Default Hey DrugS...

How good did he look?

http://www1.drf.com/drfPDFChartRaces...=20111203&RN=3
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-03-2011, 05:37 PM
golfer's Avatar
golfer golfer is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,608
Default

I'm not Drugs, although I do take some, but he looked very good. I will say he didn't beat much, but was very impressive doing so.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-03-2011, 05:41 PM
my miss storm cat's Avatar
my miss storm cat my miss storm cat is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 22,025
Default

Sorry I missed it... will have to see the replay.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-04-2011, 02:55 AM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 4,552
Default

It was a statebred race and he was bet off the board. There have been a lot of exciting maiden winners across the country the last few weeks who have got no buzz on any boards.

The Mike Stidham debuter at Fair Grounds from a week or so ago -- Table Three Ten or something like that -- she wasn't bet and was fucl<ing awesome. Great upside -- and with turf route breeding top and bottom. The Macho Rocket debut race was pretty good out West. That will be a productive race.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-04-2011, 01:21 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
It was a statebred race and he was bet off the board. There have been a lot of exciting maiden winners across the country the last few weeks who have got no buzz on any boards.

The Mike Stidham debuter at Fair Grounds from a week or so ago -- Table Three Ten or something like that -- she wasn't bet and was fucl<ing awesome. Great upside -- and with turf route breeding top and bottom. The Macho Rocket debut race was pretty good out West. That will be a productive race.

The Gomez firster who won the last at Hollywood yesterday is that the horse you told me about over the summer? Same sire at least.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-04-2011, 02:00 PM
VOL JACK's Avatar
VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: @VOLJACK79
Posts: 2,578
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
It was a statebred race and he was bet off the board. There have been a lot of exciting maiden winners across the country the last few weeks who have got no buzz on any boards.

The Mike Stidham debuter at Fair Grounds from a week or so ago -- Table Three Ten or something like that -- she wasn't bet and was fucl<ing awesome. Great upside -- and with turf route breeding top and bottom. The Macho Rocket debut race was pretty good out West. That will be a productive race.
What about the Stidham 2nd timer that opened up at 1:5 at the FG Saturday (12-3) in the 6th race. I thought it was pretty weird. He end up going off at 4:5 and running a tiring 3rd.
The weird thing was, I was expecting the Asmussen full to Student Council to take all the beating. He went off as the 5:2 2nd choice and won.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 12-04-2011, 03:23 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

I hand-timed this race three times and here are the times I got: 1:04.03, 1:04.08 and 1:04.01. That's about 1.30 seconds off from what the track had--he got a 100 Beyer based on the incorrect time. The time was 6.5L off, which is 18 Beyer points at 5 1/2 furlongs. So he really ran an 82 if you keep the variant the same. . . assuming my math isn't off somewhere, which is entirely impossible. If they don't change it, that could be a pretty nice piece of info when he's 3-5 next out.
__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 12-04-2011, 06:41 PM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 4,552
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
I hand-timed this race three times and here are the times I got: 1:04.03, 1:04.08 and 1:04.01. That's about 1.30 seconds off from what the track had--he got a 100 Beyer based on the incorrect time. The time was 6.5L off, which is 18 Beyer points at 5 1/2 furlongs. So he really ran an 82 if you keep the variant the same. . . assuming my math isn't off somewhere, which is entirely impossible. If they don't change it, that could be a pretty nice piece of info when he's 3-5 next out.
Trackus had the race 1:02.33 and the offical timer had the race 1:02.34

There was a run-up of over 3 seconds.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 12-04-2011, 06:54 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

Duh. . . I'm stupid.
__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 12-04-2011, 09:45 PM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 4,552
Default

Don't be so hard on yourself.

Hopefully this debut winner from yesterday has a little more success than his half brother Travelin Man did when winning that type of race with that type of figure early in the GP meet last year.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 12-04-2011, 10:56 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

Well, he did finish second in a Grade II and then win another one. . . But I hear you--he fell apart pretty badly after that.
__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 12-04-2011, 11:35 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
I hand-timed this race three times and here are the times I got: 1:04.03, 1:04.08 and 1:04.01. That's about 1.30 seconds off from what the track had--he got a 100 Beyer based on the incorrect time. The time was 6.5L off, which is 18 Beyer points at 5 1/2 furlongs. So he really ran an 82 if you keep the variant the same. . . assuming my math isn't off somewhere, which is entirely impossible. If they don't change it, that could be a pretty nice piece of info when he's 3-5 next out.
If you were right about the 1.3 seconds it was about 8 lengths, or 22 points at 5 1/2 furlongs....not that it matters, but since you were dumping on yourself already.....
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 12-05-2011, 12:12 AM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
If you were right about the 1.3 seconds it was about 8 lengths, or 22 points at 5 1/2 furlongs....not that it matters, but since you were dumping on yourself already.....
Isn't a length 1/5 of a second? Or is it .16? As you can see, I've never bothered to learn how to really make figures beyond the absolute basics--and I've never once even contemplated run-ups. I pretty much just trust the Beyers and spend my time on other places where I can find an edge. I'm barely aware of what a naked time for a given distance should be.
__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 12-05-2011, 12:34 AM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 4,552
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
Isn't a length 1/5 of a second? Or is it .16?
The old rule of thumb is that a length equals 1/5th of a second .... but to steal a line from Steve Davidowitz's book...."mathmatically speaking, a length should equal 1/5th of a second only when a horse travels a furlong in 15 seconds. The only horses who go that slow charge 10 cents a ride."
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 12-05-2011, 08:13 AM
cmorioles's Avatar
cmorioles cmorioles is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 3,169
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
Trackus had the race 1:02.33 and the offical timer had the race 1:02.34

There was a run-up of over 3 seconds.
Disappointing that Trakus doesn't give us time and distance from the gate, don't you think?
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 12-05-2011, 08:57 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,940
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles View Post
Disappointing that Trakus doesn't give us time and distance from the gate, don't you think?
i don't think so. all tracks use run up timers. trakus should be tied in to that.
__________________
Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all.
Abraham Lincoln
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 12-05-2011, 09:29 AM
cmorioles's Avatar
cmorioles cmorioles is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 3,169
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig View Post
i don't think so. all tracks use run up timers. trakus should be tied in to that.
So basically we get the same data twice save a few hundredths.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 12-05-2011, 10:11 AM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: DubaiRaceNight.com
Posts: 1,263
Default

Trakus is programmed to know how long the run-up is and eliminate that data from the timing. That being said, there are still, and always will be differences in the timings.

Watching tracks time races is like making hot dogs (or for us guys from Philly...scrapple) - you REALLY REALLY don't want to see the process, but you absolutely salivate over the end result.

I know of one track where the beams don't work at all, and someone actually just hits a button when they think the horses pass a pole, and I wouldn't be surprised, at all, if that happens more than one place.

From an overall perspective, North Americans are once again the crazy ones, as no one else in the rest of the world uses run-ups. The timing starts when the gates open everywhere else, and they run truer distances.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 12-05-2011, 11:04 AM
cmorioles's Avatar
cmorioles cmorioles is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 3,169
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by PatCummings View Post
Trakus is programmed to know how long the run-up is and eliminate that data from the timing. That being said, there are still, and always will be differences in the timings.

Watching tracks time races is like making hot dogs (or for us guys from Philly...scrapple) - you REALLY REALLY don't want to see the process, but you absolutely salivate over the end result.

I know of one track where the beams don't work at all, and someone actually just hits a button when they think the horses pass a pole, and I wouldn't be surprised, at all, if that happens more than one place.

From an overall perspective, North Americans are once again the crazy ones, as no one else in the rest of the world uses run-ups. The timing starts when the gates open everywhere else, and they run truer distances.
Anyone can see that runup is not included in Trakus. I'm just saying it would be better to include it. Runups are really an unfortunate part of US racing as they distort the times. It isn't a huge deal, but it does have an effect. For the record though, distances in Europe are often a joke, so I wouldn't say they run truer distances. They are just wrong for different reasons not related to run up.

Some of these differences are just unexplainable, other than to say our timing systems suck. Gulfstream timing has been a running joke for years. Just look at some of the races from yesterday comparing Trakus to Equibase:

R-2, T: 1:35.15, E: 1:34.27
R-3, T: 1:43.86, E: 1:43.08
R-6, T: 1:40.39, E: 1:39.78

You have differences equating to about 4 and 5 lengths there alone. Is Gulfstream really advertising "Our system sucks, but we're putting it in the PPs anyway"? Why not just get rid of the bad timer and report Trakus times? Doesn't the chart man just report what is on the infield timer? How hard it is to switch?
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 12-05-2011, 03:05 PM
cmorioles's Avatar
cmorioles cmorioles is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 3,169
Default

Steve, you going to ask Ritvo about this stuff?
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:35 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.