In Figures We Trust

[the_fat_man]

Interesting situation in SAR-08-30-10_R4

Two horses coming out of off-the-turf efforts, ran, apparently, significantly FASTER in their respective race than they ever had before. Now, I don't have the Beyers for these horses but I do know that they were incongruent enough for Serling to point them out; and, dismiss them. I do, however, have the BRIS speed numbers, and, I imagine, these capture the incongruence.

D'big Cat:
98
86
55
76
86
83

So, D'big Cat jumped up 12 points in an off-the-turf 5.5F sprint, claiming 25K.

Fastus Cactus:
109
94
87
88
84
82
85
81

Fastus Cactus jumped up 15 points in an off-the-turf 5.5F sprint, claiming 25K.

Now, RUDY trains the former and Dick Dutrow the latter but, still, the point is WHY are these figures so high, when, clearly, they're not representative, as neither horse won yesterday. (I have no idea what the number for the race was.)

I'm known as a critic of numbers but, surely, one has to wonder why these off-the-turf 5.5F sprints are coming back with such high numbers; both for BEYER (who should 'know' better) and BRIS (automated figures which, I hear, are not as accurate).