6/23: Belmont (6th-9th); Hollywood ($137k P6, $40k Hi-5 C/O's)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Absolutely don't trust 2-1 ML fave #3 Holy Ego 2-1..

Most Likely: LATE SCRATCH #7 All Zipped Up 3-1: Should overwhelm this set..
Best Value: #1 Butterfield Road 6-1: Note major jock switch.. 4th
Next Best: #2 Western Connection 4-1: Why is Morrison using Studart? 2nd
Super Add: #4 Crescent Moon Dr 15-1: Priced right; Explosive pattern.. 5th


7th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Straight Romance 15-1: Wire threat off recent bullet.. 3rd
Most Likely: #7 Five Towns 3-1: 2nd off substancial break.. 5th
Next Best: #5 Sly 2-1: Consistent, but doesn't win.. WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #4 Dragon Fi 9-2: Reunited; Best on grass a fit.. 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Ready to Sing 5-2: Stidham shipper by noted turf sire.. WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #6 Atrea 9-2: 'Meaux's lone mount on day.. 4th
Next Best: #5 Lost Without You 4-1: Working well; Pace opportunity.. 6th
Super Add: #8 Citifiesta 6-1: Likes it back on lawn.. 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Best Value: #10 Blue Horseshoe 6-1: Loves Anacot Steel & Carlos off breaks.. 5th
Most Likely: #1 Montana Knight 8-5: No better than other ML faves.. WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #2 Something Gold 5-2: Consistently ordinary.. 3rd
Super Add: #3 Political Agenda 4-1: Takes precipitous drop for Shug.. 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-7/LATE SCR (3-SCR subtitute favorite rule)
7: 2-5-7
8: 4-5-6
9: 1-2-3-10

2x3x3x4 = $72

$1 P4 (3,7,8,9,10,11,12/5/2,4,9,10/1,5,7,9) Paid $35.00



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: Cal-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$137k P6 Carryover

Most Likely: #3 Lucky Mr. K 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #6 Buddha Belly 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Mr. Gennaro 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Certainly Certain 3-1 4th


4th: ALW/N$Y, 3+, 5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 A Lil Dumaani 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Triumphant Flight 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Lt. Hopeful 3-1 WON


5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Westwood Pride 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Glass of Red 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Sky Chant 10-1 WON ($17.40)
Super Add: #9 Warren's Ruby 15-1 7th


6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Remus 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Mind the Minister 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Full On 6-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Waafi 6-1 WON ($13.60)


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Via Veneto 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Brookie Girl 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Royal Taat 5-2 6th
Super Add: #6 Apt to Be Amazing 5-1 7th


8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

$40k Hi-5 Carryover

Most Likely: #5 Mister Jazz 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Connagher 6-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #15 Olympic Magic 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Justice Reigns 12-1


<$25 to <$100 High 5 Plays:

$24 (A) 5 with 7-15 with 7-15 with 2-8-9-10 with 2-8-9-10 (1x2x1x4x3 = $24)
$48 (B) 5 with 7-15 with 2-8-9-10 with 7-15 with 2-8-9-10 (1x2x4x1x3 = $24)
$72 (C) 7-15 with 5 with 7-15 with 2-8-9-10 with 2-8-9-10 (2x1x1x4x3 = $24)
$96 (D) 7-15 with 5 with 2-8-9-10 with 7-15 with 2-8-9-10 (2x1x4x1x3 = $24)


<$150 or <$50 P6 Plays:

3: 3-6
4: 1-2
5: 5
6: 3-4
7: 8 (4-5)
8: 5-7-15

Full (Using 3 in R7): 2x2x1x2x3x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
Budget (Single in R7): 2x2x1x2x1x3 = 24 x $2 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-5-7
6: 3-4
7: 4-5-8
8: 2-5-7-15

3x2x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve



JON WHITE'S <$100 P6 PLAY

3: 3
4: 1-4
5: 5-7
6: 3-4
7: 5-8
8: 3-5-15

1x2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96