6/23: Belmont (6th-9th); Hollywood ($137k P6, $40k Hi-5 C/O's)
 

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Absolutely don't trust 2-1 ML fave #3 Holy Ego 2-1..

Most Likely: LATE SCRATCH #7 All Zipped Up 3-1: Should overwhelm this set..
Best Value: #1 Butterfield Road 6-1: Note major jock switch.. 4th
Next Best: #2 Western Connection 4-1: Why is Morrison using Studart? 2nd
Super Add: #4 Crescent Moon Dr 15-1: Priced right; Explosive pattern.. 5th


7th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Straight Romance 15-1: Wire threat off recent bullet.. 3rd
Most Likely: #7 Five Towns 3-1: 2nd off substancial break.. 5th
Next Best: #5 Sly 2-1: Consistent, but doesn't win.. WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #4 Dragon Fi 9-2: Reunited; Best on grass a fit.. 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Ready to Sing 5-2: Stidham shipper by noted turf sire.. WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #6 Atrea 9-2: 'Meaux's lone mount on day.. 4th
Next Best: #5 Lost Without You 4-1: Working well; Pace opportunity.. 6th
Super Add: #8 Citifiesta 6-1: Likes it back on lawn.. 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Best Value: #10 Blue Horseshoe 6-1: Loves Anacot Steel & Carlos off breaks.. 5th
Most Likely: #1 Montana Knight 8-5: No better than other ML faves.. WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #2 Something Gold 5-2: Consistently ordinary.. 3rd
Super Add: #3 Political Agenda 4-1: Takes precipitous drop for Shug.. 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-7/LATE SCR (3-SCR subtitute favorite rule)
7: 2-5-7
8: 4-5-6
9: 1-2-3-10

2x3x3x4 = $72

$1 P4 (3,7,8,9,10,11,12/5/2,4,9,10/1,5,7,9) Paid $35.00



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: Cal-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$137k P6 Carryover

Most Likely: #3 Lucky Mr. K 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #6 Buddha Belly 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Mr. Gennaro 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Certainly Certain 3-1 4th


4th: ALW/N$Y, 3+, 5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 A Lil Dumaani 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Triumphant Flight 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Lt. Hopeful 3-1 WON


5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Westwood Pride 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Glass of Red 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Sky Chant 10-1 WON ($17.40)
Super Add: #9 Warren's Ruby 15-1 7th


6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Remus 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Mind the Minister 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Full On 6-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Waafi 6-1 WON ($13.60)


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Via Veneto 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Brookie Girl 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Royal Taat 5-2 6th
Super Add: #6 Apt to Be Amazing 5-1 7th


8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

$40k Hi-5 Carryover

Most Likely: #5 Mister Jazz 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Connagher 6-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #15 Olympic Magic 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Justice Reigns 12-1


<$25 to <$100 High 5 Plays:

$24 (A) 5 with 7-15 with 7-15 with 2-8-9-10 with 2-8-9-10 (1x2x1x4x3 = $24)
$48 (B) 5 with 7-15 with 2-8-9-10 with 7-15 with 2-8-9-10 (1x2x4x1x3 = $24)
$72 (C) 7-15 with 5 with 7-15 with 2-8-9-10 with 2-8-9-10 (2x1x1x4x3 = $24)
$96 (D) 7-15 with 5 with 2-8-9-10 with 7-15 with 2-8-9-10 (2x1x4x1x3 = $24)


<$150 or <$50 P6 Plays:

3: 3-6
4: 1-2
5: 5
6: 3-4
7: 8 (4-5)
8: 5-7-15

Full (Using 3 in R7): 2x2x1x2x3x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
Budget (Single in R7): 2x2x1x2x1x3 = 24 x $2 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-5-7
6: 3-4
7: 4-5-8
8: 2-5-7-15

3x2x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve



JON WHITE'S <$100 P6 PLAY

3: 3
4: 1-4
5: 5-7
6: 3-4
7: 5-8
8: 3-5-15

1x2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96

Belmont grass races stay ON THE TURF today..

That 4th race at Hollywood is about as tricky a 5 horse field as you are going to find. With 3 or 4 of them seemingly needing the lead, I think it becomes a real chess match with the jocks.

Agreed Mike. That's why I keep coming back to Dumaani. Appears guaranteed to get a pace into which he can close.. The worst part of this race is that the syndicates will 'buy' it, so you're compelled to stand somewhat narrow if you're on any kind of budget. Very slippery spot.

great avatar steve..gl

BEL SCR/CHG'S


6TH

8 Spicy Steve Early
9 Raffinator Early
10 Who's Willie Fitz Early
11 Winning Token Early
12 Jello Shot Early



7TH

1 (poe) Lemon Shore Early



8TH

2 Spiritual Tune Early
9 Sorority Sister Early
10 Zonga Zing Early



9TH

7 River Smoke Early
9 Terrox Early

Exactly where I am at right now, singling Dumaani, and it doesn't give me a warm and fuzzy.

Steve, I'm not the greatest math wizard, but the way you have your Belmont pick four listed, shouldn't it be a $72 play rather than $54

rg,

Thx.. Fixed. I had changed from a 2x3x3x3 play and forgot to adjust the price.

Good luck today...!

Oy vey.. What a mess. First the Late SCR because All Zipped Up won't move, and then Left Tee takes a bad step and is pulled up...

Holy Ego wires the thing, so those that SCR'd with the Serpe get the rare substitute winner under post time favorite rule...

Wow.. Suddenly this P6 could go to Thursday. Pays to these only...

5 pays $130.7k
10 pays $81.7k
15 pays $108.9k

Pool was $738k!

Youbet has it paying to the
2 = 327k
5 = 131k
7 = 218k
8 = 218k
9 = 654k
10 = 82k
15 = 109k

1,3,4,6,11,13 & 14 carry.

That's weird...

Last race was run on concrete. Could of run around again, and nothing would of been able to move up. Look at the Justice horse. Horse can't get anywhere near contention. At HWD, AT THIS LEVEL, that Horse usually finishes within 3-4 lengths of the winner. He couldn't get any position at all on that track. You'd think people would notice that. He's the track quality control tool. He isn't good for much, but he is real good at that task.