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#1
04-10-2010, 06:32 AM
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4/10: Aqueduct (7th-10th); Keeneland (6th-11th); Oaklawn (9th)
Caught the nice late P4 at Keeneland Friday for $422.55 on strength of overlaid Pletcher comebacker Commandeered ($15.00) in the 8th and square priced Elision ($16.40) to start the sequence in the 7th. Good way to begin fun and important Saturday, as the Blue Grass and Arkansas Derby seek to sort out the Derby earnings quagmire. In addition to the second half of the Keeneland action and the Arky, Aqueduct has the $250,000 Late P4, where Tony Dutrow appears to have a solid single for the Comely in She'll Be Doggone. Hope you did well Friday and are excited about the penultimate Derby Trail prep season Saturday!
AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 7th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Buffalo Tsunami 3-1 5th Best Value: #10 Dade City 12-1 4th Next Best: #2 Nearly There 7-2 3rd Exotic Use: #6 Measure Up 6-1 WON 8th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Overextended 5-2 5th Best Value: #9 Api Mohkat 8-1 6th Next Best: #6 Golden Man 4-1 3rd Super Add: #4 Matthew T C 6-1 4th 9th: 61st Comely (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 She'll Be Doggone 5-2 DNF Best Value: #1 Indian Burn 10-1 4th Next Best: #8 Touching Beauty 3-1 WON Super Add: #2 C C's Pal 6-1 3rd 10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #11 Relatively Ready 3-1 3rd Best Value: #3 Next Day 10-1 8th Next Best: #6 Monastir 6-1 5th Super Add: #4 Volponi Dragon 8-1 5th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 2-8-10 8: 2-4-6-9 9: 4 10: 3-4-5-6-8-11 3x4x1x6 = $72 KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 6th: 14th Shakertown (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Chamberlain Bridge 8-5 4th Next Best: #2 Silver Timber 7-5 WON Best Value: #4 Free Brave 12-1 5th 7th: 24th Commonwealth (G2), 3+, 7f (P3, DD) A turf sprint stake, filled to capacity elsewhere, draws 7, and then Keeneland puts together this assembly for $250k. If it was being run in New York, the internet would be full of screeds about how pathetic and inept the racetrack is, but somehow the teflon palace, the darling of armchair racing secretaries, is immune to criticism.. Most Likely: #3 Ravalo 8-5 5th Next Best: #5 Congressional Page 2-1 2nd Best Value: #2 Not for Silver 3-1 4th 8th: 22nd Jenny Wiley (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Forever Together 7-5 2nd Best Value: #6 Quiet Harbor 8-1 7th Next Best: #5 Carribean Sunset 4-1 4th Super Add: #7 Hot Cha Cha 6-1 3rd 9th: 86th Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Interactif (7-2): Multiple turf stake winner has right package for this.. 4th Best Value: #7 Paddy O'Prado (10-1): Keeps improving; Showed tactical gears last.. 2nd Next Best: #1 Odysseus (7-2): Padua hopeful needs purse portion; Working well over strip.. 9th Super Add: #4 Make Music for Me (6-1): Credentialed Cali bay is going to be overlooked.. 6th <$75 All Stakes P4 Play: 6: 1-2-4 7: 2-3-5 8: 2-5-6-7 9: 1-4-7-9 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 10th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Hatheer 5-2 4th Best Value: #6 La Gran Balladora 6-1 2nd Next Best: #3 How Far to Heaven 7-2 6th Super Add: #8 Zodiac Girl 9-2 5th 11th: MSW, F&M-4+, 8.5f (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #5 Wynchase 2-1 WON Best Value: #8 Llamrei 6-1 6th Next Best: #1 Dream Delight 5-1 5th Super Add: #4 Here Oui Go Again 5-1 4th <$75 P4 Play: 8: 2-5-6-7 9: 1-4-7-9 10: 3-5-6 11: 1-5-8 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 OAKLAWN PRE-SCRATCHES 9th: 74th Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P4, Super) Most Likely: #2 Dublin (7-2): Back with Thompson; Gets ideal slot for staklk and pounce run.. 3rd Next Best: #3 Noble's Promise (2-1): Albarado now with better feel for launching honest colt's bid.. 5th Best Value: #5 Uh Oh Bango (15-1): Zona-bred needs pocket change to assure Derby berth.. 4th Super Add: #1 Super Saver (9-5): Pletcher calls WinStar bay unrateable; Pressure aplenty here.. 2nd Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 04-10-2010 at 05:54 PM. 
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#2
04-10-2010, 07:50 AM
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Quote:
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#3
04-10-2010, 08:02 AM
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Steve a question you. Not considering Saratoga, do you think NYRA is currently delivering a quality product? If so why do you rarely Cap a AQU card or carry their races on your show. Not too long ago you capped Aqu every day and carried all their races on your show. We complain because the short fields are the Rule not the Exception. Hopefully you can answer without ripping me a new one.
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Game Over
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#4
04-10-2010, 09:46 AM
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My additional point was that the undue vitriole unendingly directed at NYRA has an underlying agenda that has nothing to actually do with field size in stakes. If there was real, legitimate angst on that topic, there would have been threads at all the horsey boards deriding the pitiful Beaumont, Madison, Commonwealth and Shakertown fields Keeneland offered this week. There wasn't... As to the show and capping AQU, I never featured as much New York winter racing because it doesn't suit the radio Wed-Fri with only one race (the 9th) available to broadcast before Daylight Savings Time starts. As a result, I do a lot of Gulfstream (7th-9th on air), and complied with requests for more Santa Anita capping/audio this winter. I'm making the transition back to the New York action now.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
04-10-2010, 09:46 AM
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best of luck today -bt- Last edited by -BT- : 04-10-2010 at 10:15 AM.
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#6
04-10-2010, 10:05 AM
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Scratches & Changes
Saturday, April 10, 2010 Race Description 1 1st Race -- NO CHANGES 2nd Race #6--Silver La Belle--Jockey change to Miguel Mena 3rd Race #4--Rich City Dude--SCRATCH 4th Race -- NO CHANGES 5th Race -- NO CHANGES 6th Race -- Shakertown (G3) #7--Affirmatif--SCRATCH 7th Race -- Commonwealth (G2) -- NO CHANGES 8th Race -- Jenny Wiley (G2) #4--Stardom Bound--SCRATCH 9th Race -- Toyota Blue Grass (G1) -- NO CHANGES 10th Race #9--Ithinkihadthatone--SCRATCH #10--Ambitoness--SCRATCH 11th Race #2--Broad Quality--SCRATCH Track Conditions, Maintenance & Weather Saturday, April 10, 2010 8:00 AM Polytrack is Fast Turf is Firm After Training The Gallop Master will be used at settings of 3.5 inches. Water will be added to the track. During Races After races 1-2-4-6-8-10, The Gallop Master will be used at settings of 3 inches. Turf course grass height is at 6 inches and the rail is down. Turf course was watered last night. Weather Conditions at 04/10/10 10:45am Air Temperature: 55°F | Humidity: 45% | Pressure: 29.65" Avg Wind Speed: 10.9 mph | Gust: 15.0 mph | Wind Direction: 202° Rainfall Last 15 Minutes: 0.00 in. | Track Temperature: 53°
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#7
04-10-2010, 10:28 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 04-10-2010 at 12:45 PM.
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#8
04-10-2010, 10:34 AM
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I love Dublin today as well. GL Steve
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#13
04-10-2010, 12:27 PM
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I made the same mistake as well earlier this AM but the NYRA website as well as Youbet and Twinspires all have this horse scheduled to run in the 7th. This is a key horse IMO for the late P4 today. GL DD Last edited by Kasept : 04-10-2010 at 12:44 PM.
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#14
04-10-2010, 12:44 PM
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That's why the link is there, so people can check...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 04-10-2010 at 12:58 PM.
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#15
04-10-2010, 01:40 PM
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i like coolcullen times in the 4th at keeneland. 5-1 is fair imo
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#16
04-10-2010, 01:45 PM
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no chance with that pace
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#17
04-10-2010, 02:11 PM
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in the 5th at keeneland my enticement figures to improve second out. wire to wire threat
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