4/10: Aqueduct (7th-10th); Keeneland (6th-11th); Oaklawn (9th)

[Kasept]

Caught the nice late P4 at Keeneland Friday for $422.55 on strength of overlaid Pletcher comebacker Commandeered ($15.00) in the 8th and square priced Elision ($16.40) to start the sequence in the 7th. Good way to begin fun and important Saturday, as the Blue Grass and Arkansas Derby seek to sort out the Derby earnings quagmire. In addition to the second half of the Keeneland action and the Arky, Aqueduct has the $250,000 Late P4, where Tony Dutrow appears to have a solid single for the Comely in She'll Be Doggone. Hope you did well Friday and are excited about the penultimate Derby Trail prep season Saturday!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Buffalo Tsunami 3-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Dade City 12-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Nearly There 7-2 3rd
Exotic Use: #6 Measure Up 6-1 WON


8th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Overextended 5-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Api Mohkat 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Golden Man 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Matthew T C 6-1 4th


9th: 61st Comely (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 She'll Be Doggone 5-2 DNF
Best Value: #1 Indian Burn 10-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Touching Beauty 3-1 WON
Super Add: #2 C C's Pal 6-1 3rd


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #11 Relatively Ready 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Next Day 10-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Monastir 6-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Volponi Dragon 8-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-8-10
8: 2-4-6-9
9: 4
10: 3-4-5-6-8-11

3x4x1x6 = $72



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 14th Shakertown (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Chamberlain Bridge 8-5 4th
Next Best: #2 Silver Timber 7-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Free Brave 12-1 5th


7th: 24th Commonwealth (G2), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

A turf sprint stake, filled to capacity elsewhere, draws 7, and then Keeneland puts together this assembly for $250k. If it was being run in New York, the internet would be full of screeds about how pathetic and inept the racetrack is, but somehow the teflon palace, the darling of armchair racing secretaries, is immune to criticism..

Most Likely: #3 Ravalo 8-5 5th
Next Best: #5 Congressional Page 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Not for Silver 3-1 4th


8th: 22nd Jenny Wiley (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Forever Together 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Quiet Harbor 8-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Carribean Sunset 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Hot Cha Cha 6-1 3rd


9th: 86th Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Interactif (7-2): Multiple turf stake winner has right package for this.. 4th
Best Value: #7 Paddy O'Prado (10-1): Keeps improving; Showed tactical gears last.. 2nd
Next Best: #1 Odysseus (7-2): Padua hopeful needs purse portion; Working well over strip.. 9th
Super Add: #4 Make Music for Me (6-1): Credentialed Cali bay is going to be overlooked.. 6th


<$75 All Stakes P4 Play:

6: 1-2-4
7: 2-3-5
8: 2-5-6-7
9: 1-4-7-9

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


10th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Hatheer 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 La Gran Balladora 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 How Far to Heaven 7-2 6th
Super Add: #8 Zodiac Girl 9-2 5th


11th: MSW, F&M-4+, 8.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #5 Wynchase 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Llamrei 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Dream Delight 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Here Oui Go Again 5-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-5-6-7
9: 1-4-7-9
10: 3-5-6
11: 1-5-8

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72



OAKLAWN


PRE-SCRATCHES


9th: 74th Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P4, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Dublin (7-2): Back with Thompson; Gets ideal slot for staklk and pounce run.. 3rd
Next Best: #3 Noble's Promise (2-1): Albarado now with better feel for launching honest colt's bid.. 5th
Best Value: #5 Uh Oh Bango (15-1): Zona-bred needs pocket change to assure Derby berth.. 4th
Super Add: #1 Super Saver (9-5): Pletcher calls WinStar bay unrateable; Pressure aplenty here.. 2nd


Good luck!
Steve