Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-01-2008, 11:02 AM
justindew's Avatar
justindew justindew is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 1,640
Default War Pass.....

...is 14-1 to win the Derby at Bodog.

Not an April Fools Joke.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-01-2008, 11:08 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,776
Default

If I could I would buy at 14-1 now and sell after the Wood but things don't work that way.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-01-2008, 11:09 AM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
If I could I would buy at 14-1 now and sell after the Wood but things don't work that way.
You can probably do that on E-Horse or whatever that site is
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-01-2008, 07:39 PM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: niskayuna
Posts: 1,861
Default

why not take 14-1 now and keep it ? ever hear of something called VALUE, if he wins this saturday there is not chance he goes off anything over 4-1 in the derby, why not keep the 14-1, even if you dont like him ? he will be forwardley placed and give you a good thrill for your money, at odds that are a lot better then you will get on derby day
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-01-2008, 07:40 PM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: niskayuna
Posts: 1,861
Default

also if i am not accurate on this one then tell me....

diden't war pass run a similar race to big brown, actually twice ? the grade 1 at belmont and the breeders cup, twice as a 2 yr old he ran very fast early and kept going late.... i dont like war pass, but i just think ppl are way to big brown crazy
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-01-2008, 07:54 PM
skippy3481 skippy3481 is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Indiana
Posts: 1,289
Default

Why would you take a horse you dont like just because he has value? If you dont think the horse can win the derby, why bet him. A great thrill for your money.... If your looking for a thrill go play craps or blackjack..... I wouldn't bet a horse that had early speed just so i could have a "thrill" for my money....
__________________
Inveniemus viam aut faciemus
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-01-2008, 07:58 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,278
Default

the war pass saga continues.........he will destroy all comers in the wood...
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-01-2008, 08:13 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
the war pass saga continues.........he will destroy all comers in the wood...
And? The Wood ain't the final destination, and if he doesn't learn how to relax, he's toast in the Derby, regardless of his performance on Saturday.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 04-01-2008, 09:32 PM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,401
Default

"1. war pass isn't even a consideration for winning the derby. Come on guys. I put him on my vulture list the second he staggered in the lane that time.
A sprinter breed, who runs like a sprinter... wins some 8.5 furlong races and you think he gets 10 furlongs in a 15 horse+ field? WTF? Is anyone who considers themselves beyond a "fan" actually touting warpass? War pass will be lucky if he wins his 9 furlong prep(s)."
2-10-2008
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 04-01-2008, 10:09 PM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: niskayuna
Posts: 1,861
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
the war pass saga continues.........he will destroy all comers in the wood...
DO YOU REALLY THINK SO ?
I HOPE SO !
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 04-01-2008, 10:14 PM
JJP JJP is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,220
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
"1. war pass isn't even a consideration for winning the derby. Come on guys. I put him on my vulture list the second he staggered in the lane that time.
A sprinter breed, who runs like a sprinter... wins some 8.5 furlong races and you think he gets 10 furlongs in a 15 horse+ field? WTF? Is anyone who considers themselves beyond a "fan" actually touting warpass? War pass will be lucky if he wins his 9 furlong prep(s)."
2-10-2008
I agree. His Tampa race was horrible and even his prep where he beat a terrible field was questionable since his 6f fraction was slower than what 10K claimers went running the same distance that day. Going back to last year, he handled slop and Pyro didn't. And Pyro wasn't going to beat him at 6f. But he has the look of a Capote, Arazi and those other 2YO champs who didn't move forward (or regressed) at age 3.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 04-01-2008, 10:22 PM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,401
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JJP
I agree. His Tampa race was horrible and even his prep where he beat a terrible field was questionable since his 6f fraction was slower than what 10K claimers went running the same distance that day. Going back to last year, he handled slop and Pyro didn't. And Pyro wasn't going to beat him at 6f. But he has the look of a Capote, Arazi and those other 2YO champs who didn't move forward (or regressed) at age 3.

I wanted to play against at the BC, but when it rained it was going to be hard to catch horses like War Pass. To their credit he ran very well that day. The 2yo season is basically to crown a champion miler. It helps to be precocious. They don't always match the kind of horses that have to run 10 furlongs. I actually hope War Pass bounces back and shows some heart.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:31 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.