11/11: Aqueduct (Full card)

[Kasept]

Saturday an exersize in frustration, especially at Calder, with principals identified nicely and agonizing misses in both P4's. No beat was tougher than the late quad though, where 15-1 Marchesa carried hopes of a $1,500+ score within yards of the wire before 5-2 Demurrer came late. $172 tri offered a bit of a consolation. In the early all stakes P4, 30-1 Jack Price Juvy upsetter He's Eze was my third choice in race tabs, but single of Wise Answer knelled death to hopes for monster $5,373 payout. Hope your day was better...


AQUEDUCT


1st: The Smartangle, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #2 Swap Fliparoo 7-2: Chief adds blinks.. 3rd
Most Likely: #7 Stormy Kiss 5-2: Tagg on amazing stakes skien.. 4th
Exotics Use: #6 More Angels 3-1: Levine 4yo will gets front end company.. WON


2nd: NYSS-Thunder Rumble, C&G-3+, 7f (P4, P3)

Best Value: #7 Private Number 15-1: Race 3 back competitive; Best underneath.. 3rd
Most Likely: #3 Gold and Roses 9-5: Bush doffs blinks to shakeup 5yo.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Stunt Man 2-1: Gelding always around at wire.. WON


3rd: NYSS-Great White Way, C&G-2yo, 6f (P3)

Best Value: #2 LATE SCR
Most Likely: #6 Spanky Fischbein 4-5: Rig sat out 4 weeks after Bongard placement.. WON
Exotics Use: #1 Fort Drum 5-1: $135k bay legged up in quality lawn stake 10/21.. 3rd


4th: NYSS-Perfect Arc, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, Super)

Best Value: #9 Hoosick Falls 20-1: Can get piece if grass to her liking.. 8th
Most Likely: #3 FACTUAL CONTENDER 6-5: Tagg 6yo lays over these.. WON
Exotics Use: #6 Higher Incentive 15-1: Rested; Eligible for big effort.. 2nd
Super Add: #1 Follow My Dream 6-1: Moves back to cozy ground.. 4th

.10 SUPER PLAY: #3 over 1-4/SCR-6-7-8-9 (1x5x4x3 = 60/10 = $6.00) 3-6-7-1 pays $12.07


5th: NYSS-Fifth Avenue, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, GS)

Best Value: #2 Ocala Gator 12-1: Upset chance; Pilot hit LRL stake Sat. @ $50.. 6th
Most Likely: #9 Noble Fire 9-5: Best of the 3 L. Rice gals signed on.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Beam of Love 2-1: No match for state's 2 best baby girls last pair.. 5th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-7
3: 1-2-4-5-6
4: 3
5: 2-6-9

3x5x1x3 = $45


6th: 51st Long Island H. (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 12f (P4, DD)

Best Value: #2 Green Girl 4-1: Now with Clement; Goes FTL.. 4th
Most Likely: #5 ROYAL HIGHNESS 7-5: May get cut in ground and easy trip.. 6th
Exotics Use: #1e Tanaka entry 5-2: 1a Barancella came at Mrs. Lindsay & Sealy at WO.. 2nd/5th
Longshot: #7 Mary Louhana 15-1: Offers tri value under top pair.. 7th


7th: NYSS-Staten Island, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #2 Magic Momentum 12-1: Has jumped up 2nd/break before.. 4th
Most Likely: #9 Cammy's Choice 7-5: KMc bay 2nd too often; Adds Garcia and should 'trip'.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Laurentide Ice 6-1: NYB stakes reg rarely misfires.. 8th
Super Add: #7 Motor City Mama 10-1: Has changed to stalking style lately.. 9th


8th: NYSS-Cormorant, C&G-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #7 Get Serious 5-1: Forbes' red gets blinks; Chased First Defense.. 6th
Most Likely: #2 Hammock 4-1: Sharp Schosberg grey gets 8# from ML fave below.. 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Red Zipper 3-1: Morrison's 4yo City Zip quite capable.. WON
Consider: #1a The Confidence Man 6-1: Both very intriguing in this good events.. 3rd


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (Super)

Dreadful bunch.. None can win..

Best Value: #1 Greely's Girl 30-1: No worse than any here.. 9th
Most Likely: #11 Luck 9-2: Better last with blinks but Corny goes below.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Golden Manna 5-2: C. Velasquez sticks around for her.. WON
Super Add: #8 Lucky Val 5-1: Reversed trend of being distanced last pair.. 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-5
7: 2-9
8: 1-2-4-7
9: 1-9-11

2x2x4x3 = $48


Good luck!
Steve